Friday, September 7, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Mexican peso gains on Fed stimulus expectations

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Mexican peso gains on Fed stimulus expectations
Sep 7th 2012, 22:45

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Fri Sep 7, 2012 6:45pm EDT

  * Weaker-than-expected U.S jobs data raises QE3 hopes      * Mexico central bank leaves rates unchanged      * Mexican peso gains 0.7 pct, Chilean peso up 0.04 pct          By Gabriel Stargardter      MEXICO CITY Sept 7 (Reuters) - The Mexican peso rose on  Friday as below-forecast jobs data from the United States drove  investors toward emerging markets and further raised the  prospect of the Federal Reserve pumping additional money into  the sluggish American economy.      A public holiday in Brazil shuttered the week's trading in  the real  a day early.       The Mexican peso rose 0.72 percent to 12.9760 per  U.S. dollar after trading as low as 12.9413.       U.S government data on Friday showed non-farm payrolls rose  by a weaker-than-expected 96,000 jobs in August, setting the  stage for a third round of quantitative easing, or QE, when Fed  policy-makers meet next week.       In the Fed's two previous rounds of easing, it pumped about  $2.3 trillion into the economy to buy bonds with the aim of  lowering long-term interest rates. That encouraged more  investors to look for higher interest rate returns elsewhere,  including in emerging markets such as Mexico.      "The market now expects that the chances of the Fed coming  out and throwing money at the economy, of printing more money,  has improved, so the price of the dollar has fallen leading  other currencies to appreciate," said Ezequiel Aguirre, a Latin  American strategist at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch in New  York.       With the annual rate of inflation in Mexico reaching a more  than two-year peak of 4.57 percent in August on the back of  rising food prices, the central bank on Friday left interest  rates unchanged at 4.5 percent. In contrast, regional peers  Colombia and Brazil have slashed rates to record lows to  stimulate growth..      The Mexican central bank aims for annual inflation of 3  percent, plus or minus 1 percentage point.       "With inflation well above target and core steadily going  up, I think there'll be resistance from some members of the  board to consider a cut at this point," said Rafael de la  Fuente, an economist at UBS.      "And a hike (in interest rates) I don't think is warranted  given that most of the price pressures are supply shock driven."      The Chilean peso jumped 0.04 percent to 475.70 per  dollar, despite news that Chile's yawning trade deficit   has grown to its largest levels - $843 million -  since October 2008.             Latin American FX prices at 2220 GMT:      Currencies                         daily %    YTD %                                       change   change                              Latest              Brazil real               Holiday                                                                    Mexico peso               12.9760     0.72     7.66                                                  Argentina peso*            6.3100     0.48   -25.04                                                  Chile peso               475.7000     0.04     9.17                                                  Colombia peso          1,800.8000    -0.03     7.64                                                  Peru sol                   2.6080     0.00     3.41                                                  * Argentine peso's rate between                       brokerages  
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