Friday, October 5, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar hits two-week high vs yen on jobs; euro rallies

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Dollar hits two-week high vs yen on jobs; euro rallies
Oct 5th 2012, 16:37

Fri Oct 5, 2012 12:37pm EDT

  * U.S. unemployment rate drops to 4-year low      * Jobs report won't keep Fed from doing QE      * Bank of Japan keeps monetary policy steady        By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss      NEW YORK, Oct 5 (Reuters) - The dollar climbed to two-week  highs against the yen on Friday after U.S. data showed the  unemployment rate dropped to a near four-year low in September.      The euro also soared to a two-week high versus the greenback  and yen after the U.S. jobs data increased investors' confidence  about the U.S. economy and prompted them to buy currencies that  offer higher returns than the dollar and the yen. The New  Zealand dollar, as well as the Norwegian and Swedish kronas,  also gained against the greenback and the yen as a result of  this improvement in risk sentiment.      While the number of new jobs created last month was broadly  in line with expectations, the unemployment rate was lower than  expected, and payroll figures for July and August were revised  higher by 86,000 jobs.       "The details were about as good as they realistically could  be under the circumstances," said Michael Woolfolk, senior  currency strategist at BNY Mellon in New York.      The euro rose as high as $1.3071, the highest since  Sept. 19. It was last at $1.3047, up 0.2 percent.      Against the yen, the euro advanced to a two-week peak of  102.80, and by midday, it was up 0.5 percent at 102.63  yen.      Some analysts said the U.S. jobs data was not strong enough  for the Federal Reserve to consider ending monetary easing.       Marc Chandler, global head of currency strategy at Brown  Brothers Harriman in New York, for instance, described the U.S.  employment report as "decidedly mixed." He cited the household  survey, which showed 873,000 new jobs created - "the most in a  couple of decades" - but two-thirds of those positions were  part-time jobs.       He also pointed to data in the report showing factories lost  16,000 jobs in September. Over the past three months, factories  have lost about 21,000 net jobs.      "The favorable trend for manufacturing employment has  clearly leveled off," Chandler said.      The employment report temporarily took investors' minds away  from the euro zone's debt crisis. While the euro posted gains on  the U.S. jobs data, investors were wary of pushing it higher.             WAITING FOR SPAIN , WATCHING THE BOJ       Market participants are still awaiting Spain's request for  aid, a move that would prompt the European Central Bank to buy  its bonds and lower the country's borrowing costs. That would be  be viewed as positive for the euro.      ECB President Mario Draghi said on Thursday that everything  was in place for the central bank to buy the bonds of struggling  euro-zone countries like Spain and conditions linked to it need  not be punitive.       Spanish 10-year debt yields have declined - a positive sign  - and the euro has rallied since the ECB announced its plan to  buy bonds of debt-stricken countries, in anticipation of Spain  eventually seeking financial assistance. But that positive  momentum may not last.      "The longer Spain prevaricates on the aid front, the more  likely it is that the market will price out this bailout  premium," said Richard McGuire, senior fixed-income strategist  at Rabobank, in London.      Investors are also wary of buying the yen on concerns that  the Japanese authorities could intervene to weaken it. Japanese  officials have expressed concerns about the strength of the yen  in recent weeks.      The yen earlier nudged higher after the Bank of Japan kept  monetary policy unchanged and held off from additional easing  measures. The reaction was limited, however, as Friday's  decision was in line with expectations.       Traders said the dollar would probably find support from  buyers at 78.00 yen, while resistance came in at the  100-day moving average around 78.83 yen.  
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