Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ sags on post-U.S. election fiscal anxiety

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ sags on post-U.S. election fiscal anxiety
Nov 7th 2012, 21:33

Wed Nov 7, 2012 4:33pm EST

  * C$ at C$0.9961 vs US$ or $1.0039      * Currency reached C$0.9875 shortly after Obama victory      * Status quo results spark jitters over U.S. fiscal cliff      * German manufacturing data, ECB comments weigh on sentiment        By Solarina Ho      TORONTO, Nov 7 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened  toward parity with the greenback on Wednesday as gains made  overnight following U.S. President Barack Obama's re-election  gave way to concerns about brewing fiscal problems in the United  States and Europe.      Obama defeated Republican challenger Mitt Romney on Tuesday,  while Obama's fellow Democrats retained control of the Senate  and Republicans kept their majority in the House of  Representatives.       The results signaled no dramatic shift in U.S. economic  policies. But investors, worried about the looming U.S. "fiscal  cliff," sought safety in assets considered less risky than the  Canadian dollar.      The fiscal cliff refers to a $600 billion package of tax  increases and spending cuts is scheduled to take effect  automatically beginning at the end of 2012, which many fear  would drive the U.S. economy back into recession, unless the  White House and Congress reach a deal to avert the budget  actions.       The prospect of a possible recession drove stock markets  down sharply on Wednesday.      "The steep slide in equity prices tells the story for risk  assets in general and that includes the Canadian dollar. So the  weakness in the (Canadian dollar) is pretty much following on  that trend," said Greg Moore, FX strategist at TD Securities.      "We're basically in the same place we were before the  election. The division is still there. Basically the market  sense would be that negotiations might be just as difficult as  they were before the election."      The Canadian dollar ended the North American  session at C$0.9961 to the U.S. dollar, or $1.0039, weaker than  Tuesday's finish at C$0.9918, or $1.0083. It also underperformed  against most other major currencies.      Overnight, the currency strengthened briefly to a near  three-week high of C$0.9875, or $1.0127, a move shared by its  commodity-linked counterparts. It touched its strongest level  against the euro in nearly a month and had its best  showing against the pound in about two weeks.            EURO CRISIS WEIGHS ON GERMANY      Also on Wednesday, data signaled that manufacturing in  Germany, Europe's largest economy, is running out of steam three  years into the euro zone debt crisis.       That data was a catalyst for the initial risk-asset  sell-off, Moore said, but as the North American session opened,  focus turned to fears the fiscal cliff could crush U.S. economic  recovery.      Separately, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi  said the bank expects the euro zone economy to remain weak "in  the near term." The ECB is expected to maintain its monetary  policy when the group meets this  week.        "The comments from the ECB ... weighed on sentiment a little  bit. So you saw Canada weaken off on that news, and I think U.S.  dollar gained some of that safe-haven flow on the risk-off  reaction to it," said Don Mikolich, executive director, foreign  exchange sales at CIBC World Markets.      A huge rally in Greece involving nearly 100,000 protesters  that turned violent underscored the ongoing unrest over the  euro-zone crisis. The demonstration was held as Greek lawmakers  neared a vote on an unpopular austerity package to win aid from  lenders.       Mikolich expected the trading range for the Canadian dollar  to hold to C$0.9850 to U.S. dollar parity in the near term.      The price of Canadian government debt rose across the curve.  The two-year government of Canada bond was up 8  Canadian cents to yield 1.077 percent, while the benchmark  10-year bond was up 60 Canadian cents to yield 1.741  percent.  
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