Sunday, March 31, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro stays near 4-month low, yen unmoved by BOJ tankan

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro stays near 4-month low, yen unmoved by BOJ tankan
Apr 1st 2013, 01:09

Sun Mar 31, 2013 9:09pm EDT

* Euro hurt by concerns about Cyprus deal, Italian politics

* Investors focus on BOJ moves at April 3-4 meeting

* BOJ tankan:improvement in sentiment tad weaker than f'cast

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, April 1 (Reuters) - The euro started the quarter on a weak note on Monday, staying near a four-month low on worries that the euro zone's rescue for Cyprus might have opened a can of worms and as Italy struggles to find a way out of its political impasse.

The yen was little moved by the Bank of Japan's tankan survey, which showed Japanese business sentiment had improved slightly less than anticipated, as investors looked ahead to the central bank's policy meeting later this week.

The euro traded at $1.2801, down about 0.1 percent from late Asian trade on Friday and near a four-month low of $1.2750 hit on Wednesday. European and U.S. markets were closed for a holiday on Friday.

Having steadily descended from a 14-month peak of $1.3711 hit in February, the euro has major support around $1.2680, a 61.8 percent retracement of its July-February rally. But a break there could open the way for a test of last year's low near $1.20.

Against the yen, the common currency fetched 120.68 yen , not far from a one-month low of 119.745 yen hit on Thursday and off a three-year high of 127.71 yen hit in February.

At the weekend, the Cypriot central bank confirmed that major depositors in Cyprus's biggest bank would lose around 60 percent of savings over 100,000 euros, well above initial talk of a cut of 30 to 40 percent.

"I don't think cuts in deposits would be applied to every other country in the euro zone. Still, investors will see some risk and there are also some issues with Italy, so the euro is likely to head toward $1.25," said a trader at a European bank.

Investors fear the shock of deposit cuts could tempt savers in other fragile euro zone countries to shift funds to German bunds and other safe assets, unwinding months of fund flows of the opposite direction.

In Rome, President Giorgio Napolitano summoned 10 "wise men" to propose a series of urgent measures that could be backed by all parties, as he tries to end the standoff preventing a new government being formed more than a month after elections.

But the move, in line with a long tradition in Italian politics, offered little hope of overcoming the deep divisions among the parties.

TANKAN

The yen barely moved after the BOJ's tankan survey, which also showed companies' capital spending plans were much weaker than economists had expected, even as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's push for easy monetary policy has boosted Japanese share prices over the past few months.

"The weak capex plans suggests that companies do not feel confident about spending even though 'Abenomics' has boosted markets," said Yunosuke Ikeda, senior currency economist at Nomura Securities. "In the past, when companies were bullish on spending, Japanese investors became eager to take more risks in foreign bond investment, so the data was mildly negative for the dollar/yen."

The dollar traded at 94.30 yen, almost flat on the day, but above its March 18 low of 93.45 yen, supported by expectations of strong easing from the Bank of Japan at its monetary policy review on April 3-4.

The BOJ is widely expected to scale up its bond buying and to extend the maturities of the bonds it purchases under new Governor Haruhiko Kuroda.

"Much of the aggressive easing has been already priced in and the dollar could fall below 94 yen on profit-taking. Still, investors will focus on the contrast between the BOJ, which is to expand stimulus, and the Fed, which is seeking an exit from stimulus," said Ikeda, adding that the dollar is likely to remain well-supported.

The dollar has risen 20.9 percent in the last two quarters, rising as high as a 3-1/2 year high of 96.71 yen last month as investors bet on a radical shift in the BOJ's policy manoeuvring.

The Aussie was subdued at $1.0407, down slightly from late last week and off a two-month high of $1.0497 hit last Tuesday.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: TABLE-Foreign brokers set to buy Japanese stocks

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TABLE-Foreign brokers set to buy Japanese stocks
Mar 31st 2013, 23:04

Thomson Reuters is the world's largest international multimedia news agency, providing investing news, world news, business news, technology news, headline news, small business news, news alerts, personal finance, stock market, and mutual funds information available on Reuters.com, video, mobile, and interactive television platforms. Thomson Reuters journalists are subject to an Editorial Handbook which requires fair presentation and disclosure of relevant interests.

NYSE and AMEX quotes delayed by at least 20 minutes. Nasdaq delayed by at least 15 minutes. For a complete list of exchanges and delays, please click here.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: Japan corporate sentiment improves - BOJ tankan

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Japan corporate sentiment improves - BOJ tankan
Mar 31st 2013, 23:55

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Sun Mar 31, 2013 7:55pm EDT

  TOKYO, April 1 (Reuters) - Big Japanese manufacturers'  sentiment improved for the first time in three quarters in  January-March, a closely watched Bank of Japan survey showed,  suggesting a weaker yen and higher share prices are supporting  business confidence.      The headline index for big manufacturers' sentiment was  minus 8 in March, compared with minus 12 in December and with  the median market forecast for minus 7, the quarterly tankan  survey showed on Monday.      Big manufacturers expect conditions to improve over the next  three months, with the index for June seen at minus 1, matching  a median forecast of economists.      The survey also showed big firms plan to cut their capital  spending by 2.0 percent in the financial year that started on  April 1, compared with a median forecast for a 2.3 percent  increase.      The sentiment indexes are derived by subtracting the  percentage of respondents who say conditions are poor from those  who say they are good. A negative reading means pessimists  outnumbered optimists.      To view the BOJ's table on the survey, click on  
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Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 1-Japan business mood improves as market reacts to 'Abenomics'

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UPDATE 1-Japan business mood improves as market reacts to 'Abenomics'
Apr 1st 2013, 00:05

Sun Mar 31, 2013 8:05pm EDT

* Big manufacturers' sentiment DI -8 vs forecast -7

* Service-sector sentiment DI +6 vs forecast +8

* Manufacturers expect improvements 3 months ahead

* BOJ likely to ease at Kuroda's first rate review

By Leika Kihara and Kaori Kaneko

TOKYO, April 1 (Reuters) - Japanese business sentiment improved in the first three months of 2013, a central bank survey showed on Monday, after Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's aggressive monetary and fiscal policy prescriptions helped to weaken the yen and bolster share prices.

The survey comes ahead of the Bank of Japan's first policy-setting meeting under new Governor Haruhiko Kuroda this week, when the board is set to expand monetary stimulus and debate an overhaul of its policy framework.

Big manufacturers' mood improved after two straight quarters of deterioration, with the headline sentiment index rising 4 points to minus 8, the BOJ's closely watched tankan quarterly survey showed. That was roughly in line with a median market forecast of minus 7.

The manufacturers expect business conditions to improve in the three months ahead with an index gauging the outlook at minus 1, signalling that prospects for the world's third-largest economy were turning up.

The tankan report, a key touchstone for BOJ policymakers, underscores the view that Japan's economy is gradually recovering from last year's recession and headed for a moderate recovery driven in part by a pickup in global demand.

Abe's ambitious push for big stimulus spending and monetary easing by the central bank - dubbed "Abenomics" - has also offered some relief to the export-reliant economy by helping to weaken the yen and lift Tokyo share prices.

Big manufacturers expect the dollar to average 85.22 yen in the current fiscal year from April, up sharply from their estimate of 80.56 yen for the previous year ended in March.

In a sign of a broadening recovery, the sentiment index for big non-manufacturers improved 2 points to plus 6, the tankan showed. The index for the three months to June was at plus 9.

The survey results are broadly in line with the Reuters Tankan survey issued last month, which showed sentiment among manufacturers improved for a fourth straight month in March.

The tankan's sentiment indexes are derived by subtracting the percentage of respondents who say conditions are poor from those who say they are good. A negative reading means pessimists outnumbered optimists.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: RPT-Japan corporate sentiment improves - BOJ tankan

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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RPT-Japan corporate sentiment improves - BOJ tankan
Apr 1st 2013, 00:21

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Sun Mar 31, 2013 8:21pm EDT

  TOKYO, April 1 (Reuters) - Big Japanese manufacturers'  sentiment improved for the first time in three quarters in  January-March, a closely watched Bank of Japan survey showed,  suggesting a weaker yen and higher share prices are supporting  business confidence.      The headline index for big manufacturers' sentiment was  minus 8 in March, compared with minus 12 in December and with  the median market forecast for minus 7, the quarterly tankan  survey showed on Monday.      Big manufacturers expect conditions to improve over the next  three months, with the index for June seen at minus 1, matching  a median forecast of economists.      The survey also showed big firms plan to cut their capital  spending by 2.0 percent in the financial year that started on  April 1, compared with a median forecast for a 2.3 percent  increase.      The sentiment indexes are derived by subtracting the  percentage of respondents who say conditions are poor from those  who say they are good. A negative reading means pessimists  outnumbered optimists.      To view the BOJ's table on the survey, click on  
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Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares steady, Easter slows trade

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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares steady, Easter slows trade
Apr 1st 2013, 00:25

Sun Mar 31, 2013 8:25pm EDT

* MSCI Asia ex-Japan little changed

* Nikkei starts Japan's new fiscal year with a fall

* Trading quiet as some Asian markets, Europe, shut for Easter

By Chikako Mogi

TOKYO, April 1 (Reuters) - Asian shares and the euro were steady on Monday but trading remained subdued with some Asian markets, including Australia and Hong Kong, and Europe still closed for Easter holidays.

Asian shares edged higher and the euro steadied on Friday after banks in Cyprus reopened to relative calm. Most markets in Asia, the United States and Europe were shut on Friday for Easter.

The MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was little-changed early on Monday.

The Nikkei stock average kicked off Japan's new fiscal year with a 0.4 percent fall, after ending the first quarter up 19 percent.

Expectations for strong monetary stimulus measures to be announced by the Bank of Japan at its meeting on April 3-4 under the new leadership have supported Japanese equities and underpinned the dollar against the yen.

"The cap on dollar/yen for now is removed, with repatriation flows related to Japan's fiscal year-end completed at the end of March, so speculators will be looking to build long dollar/yen positions leading up to the BOJ meeting," said Yuji Saito, director of foreign exchange at Credit Agricole in Tokyo.

"They will likely boost the dollar/yen up to around 96 yen level before selling on the fact, regardless of what the BOJ does at this week's meeting, to book profits," Saito said. He added that the euro remained top-heavy.

The dollar steadied around 94.31 yen, having risen about 8.4 percent in the first quarter after touching a 3-1/2-year peak of 96.71 earlier in March.

China's manufacturing data is due during the session but a the absence of Australian investors could limit market reaction, traders said. China is Australia's largest trading partner and its stocks and currency tend to move on Chinese economic indicators.

The euro was at $1.2799, hovering near a four-month low of $1.2750 touched last week.

The euro was pressured with Italy struggling to unlock a political standoff more than a month after elections and Cyprus imposing heavy losses on large bank deposits, fuelling concerns about a spillover of its banking system instability to other parts of the euro zone.

Sentiment could also be weighed on concerns about growth in China as Xinhua said on Saturday that Beijing and Shanghai will implement strict property cooling measures as part of a central government crackdown on the overheated property market.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 2-Japan business mood improves as market reacts to 'Abenomics'

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UPDATE 2-Japan business mood improves as market reacts to 'Abenomics'
Apr 1st 2013, 00:49

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Sun Mar 31, 2013 8:49pm EDT

  * Big manufacturers' sentiment DI -8 vs forecast -7      * Service-sector sentiment DI +6 vs forecast +8      * Manufacturers expect improvements 3 months ahead      * BOJ likely to ease at Kuroda's first rate review          By Leika Kihara and Kaori Kaneko      TOKYO, April 1 (Reuters) - Japanese business sentiment  improved in the first three months of 2013, a central bank  survey showed, after Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's aggressive  monetary and fiscal policy prescriptions helped to weaken the  yen and bolster share prices.      The survey comes ahead of the Bank of Japan's first  policy-setting meeting under new Governor Haruhiko Kuroda this  week, when the board is set to expand monetary stimulus and  debate an overhaul of its policy framework.       Big manufacturers' mood improved after two straight quarters  of deterioration, with the headline sentiment index rising 4  points to minus 8, the BOJ's closely watched tankan quarterly  survey showed on Monday. That was roughly in line with a median  market forecast of minus 7.      The manufacturers expect business conditions to improve in  the three months ahead with an index gauging the outlook at  minus 1, signalling that prospects for the world's third-largest  economy were turning up.      "The result reflected companies' expectations that a weaker  yen and policy steps pursued by the government will have a  positive impact on the economy," said Tatsushi Shikano, senior  economist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities in Tokyo.      "The tankan outcome aside, the BOJ will ease policy at its  April 3-4 policy review as the governor is expected to make good  on his promise of pursuing bold monetary easing," he said.                  CAPITAL SPENDING STILL WEAK      The tankan report, a key touchstone for BOJ policymakers,  underscores the view that Japan's economy is gradually bouncing  back from last year's recession and headed for a moderate  recovery driven in part by a pickup in global demand.      Abe's ambitious push for big stimulus spending and monetary  easing by the central bank - dubbed "Abenomics" - has also  offered some relief to the export-reliant economy by helping to  weaken the yen and lift Tokyo share prices.      Big manufacturers expect the dollar to average 85.22 yen   in the current fiscal year from April, up sharply from  their estimate of 80.56 yen for the previous year ended in  March. That is still much lower than recent levels around 94 yen  to the dollar, suggesting that exporters may see further  increases in revenue if current yen levels hold.      In a sign of a broadening recovery, the sentiment index for  big non-manufacturers improved 2 points to plus 6, the tankan  showed. The index for the three months to June was at plus 9.      But big firms plan to cut capital expenditure by 2.0 percent  in the current business year, suggesting that the positive mood  needs to be sustained longer before companies are convinced to  boost spending.      The survey results are broadly in line with the Reuters  Tankan survey issued last month, which showed sentiment among  manufacturers improved for a fourth straight month in March.      The tankan's sentiment indexes are derived by subtracting  the percentage of respondents who say conditions are poor from  those who say they are good. A negative reading means pessimists  outnumbered optimists.      Abe's expansionary policies and expectations for a moderate  pickup in global growth have put Japan's economy on the path to  a gradual recovery from a shallow recession.      Analysts expect the world's third-largest economy to have  grown 1.0 percent in the year that just ended in March, and to  expand 2.2 percent in the current fiscal year.  
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Reuters: US Dollar Report: IMF team to arrive in Egypt on Wednesday for loan talks

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IMF team to arrive in Egypt on Wednesday for loan talks
Mar 31st 2013, 09:51

CAIRO, March 31 | Sun Mar 31, 2013 5:51am EDT

CAIRO, March 31 (Reuters) - An International Monetary Fund delegation will arrive in Egypt on Wednesday for talks with the government on a $4.8 billion loan, Egypt's government spokesman Alaa El Hadidi said on Sunday.

More than two years of political upheaval have battered the Egyptian economy, leaving it in dire need of IMF funding to relieve a currency and budget crisis.

President Mohamed Mursi's government initialled a deal with the IMF last November but postponed final ratification in December in the face of unrest triggered by a political row over the extent of his powers.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 1-IMF team to arrive in Egypt on Wednesday for loan talks

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UPDATE 1-IMF team to arrive in Egypt on Wednesday for loan talks
Mar 31st 2013, 10:32

Sun Mar 31, 2013 6:32am EDT

CAIRO, March 31 (Reuters) - An International Monetary Fund delegation will arrive in Egypt on Wednesday for talks with the government on a $4.8 billion loan, Egypt's government spokesman Alaa El Hadidi said on Sunday.

More than two years of political upheaval have battered the Egyptian economy, leaving it in dire need of IMF funding to relieve a currency and budget crisis. The country's reserves of foreign currency have fallen to critically low levels, threatening its ability to import essential supplies of fuel and wheat.

President Mohamed Mursi's government initialled a deal with the IMF last November but postponed final ratification in December in the face of unrest triggered by a political row over the extent of his powers.

Hadidi, talking to reporters, gave no details on the new round of talks with the IMF. The IMF said last week a technical delegation would visit Cairo in the "first days of April".

Masood Ahmed, director of the IMF's Middle East and Central Asia department, visited Cairo on March 17, saying the Fund would continue talks aimed at agreeing possible financial aid.

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Saturday, March 30, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 4-Argentina challenges U.S. court with bond plan

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UPDATE 4-Argentina challenges U.S. court with bond plan
Mar 31st 2013, 01:18

Sat Mar 30, 2013 9:18pm EDT

* Most defaulted bonds were restructured in 2005 and 2010

* Argentina vows to pay restructured bonds no matter what

* Holdouts want 100 cents on the dollar

By Nate Raymond and Hugh Bronstein

NEW YORK/BUENOS AIRES, March 30 (Reuters) - Argentina challenged a U.S. court over the weekend by proposing that "holdout" bond investors be repaid only about one sixth the money federal judges hearing the case say they are owed, setting the stage for a legal showdown in New York.

The terms offered by Argentina are the same as those accepted by bondholders who chose to participate in the country's 2010 sovereign bond restructuring. The holdouts rejected that restructuring and are holding out for full repayment.

Aside from the implications the case has for Argentina's finances, it could also have wide ramifications for the way future sovereign restructurings are carried around the world.

Argentina defaulted on $100 billion in sovereign debt in 2002 at the height of a financial crisis in Latin America's third largest economy. The bonds now under dispute were issued in New York, which is why the case is being heard in U.S. court.

Elliott Management affiliate NML Capital Ltd, one of the lead plaintiffs, has said that it will not accept 2010 terms They and other holdouts are sure to argue that Argentina's proposal does not respond to the court's request.

"The court said 'You owe the holdouts $1.3 billion. Tell us how you are going to pay that to them,'" said Josh Rosner, managing director at research firm Graham Fisher & Co in New York.

"Instead of answering how they will pay the full amount, Argentina responded with a plan for paying a much smaller amount," he said. "Argentina is flirting with technical default, which would take a serious toll its economy."

The specter of technical defaults comes from the fact that a U.S. District Court in New York has said that until the holdouts start getting paid, Argentina cannot make payments to holders of the restructured bonds.

Elliott stands currently to receive $720 million from Argentina following a New York judge's order in November, according to Argentina.

But the bonds NML could take had a market value of just $186.8 million before a major decision in the case last October favoring the holdouts, or $120.6 million as of March 1, the filing said. Argentina estimates NML paid about $48.7 million in 2008 for its stake in the bonds.

"The Republic is prepared to fulfill the terms of this proposal promptly upon Order by the Court by submitting a bill to Congress that ensures its timely implementation," Jonathan Blackman, Argentina's U.S. lawyer, wrote.

Around 92 percent of Argentina's defaulted bonds were restructured in 2005 and 2010, with bondholders receiving 25 cents to 29 cents on the dollar.

But holdouts led by NML Capital and Aurelius Capital Management have fought for years for full payment. Argentina calls these funds "vultures."

In October, the 2nd Circuit upheld a trial judge's ruling by finding Argentina had violated a so-called pari passu clause in its bond documents requiring it to treat creditors equally.

U.S. District Judge Thomas Griesa in Manhattan subsequently ordered Argentina in November to pay the $1.33 billion owed to the bondholders into an escrow account by the time of its next interest payment to holders of the exchanged debt.

The 2nd Circuit heard an appeal of that order on Feb. 27. Two days later, it directed Argentina to provide details of "the precise terms of any alternative payment formula and schedule to which it is prepared to commit."

BOND OPTIONS

In its 22-page submission late on Friday, Argentina said that under a so-called par bond option, the bondholders would receive new bonds due in 2038 with the same nominal face value of their current bonds. They would pay 2.5 percent to 5.25 percent a year, Argentina said.

Bondholders would also receive an immediate cash payment similar to what it provided under the 2010 debt swap, Argentina said. And they would receive derivative instruments that provide payments when the country's gross domestic product exceeds 3 percent a year.

The par option is restricted to small investors, unlike the discount option, the more applicable fit for big investors like NML and Aurelius.

Under the discount proposal, holdouts could receive new discount bonds due in 2033 that pay 8.28 percent annually. Argentina said the holdouts would also receive past due interest since 2003 in the form of bonds due in 2017 paying 8.75 percent a year, and GDP-linked derivative units.

Blackman, Argentina's lawyer, wrote that the proposal, unlike what he called the "100 cents on the dollar immediately" formula Griesa adopted, "is consistent with the pari passu clause, longstanding principles of equity, and the Republic's capacity to pay."

It was unclear on Saturday how the court might view Argentina's proposals. The same three-judge panel had said in October, though, that the holdouts "were completely within their rights" to reject prior debt swap offers.

Euginio Bruno, a lawyer and bond restructuring expert with the law firm Estudio Garrido Abogados in Buenos Aires, said the government's Friday proposal "was within expectations, considering the legal constraints on offering anything better than the terms of the 2010 restructuring."

Argentina has a "lock law" that keeps new governments from improving the terms of previous restructurings.

Earlier in the week, the holdouts scored a victory over Argentina when the 2nd Circuit denied a full court review of its October ruling on the equal treatment provision.

The United States had backed Argentina in seeking the review, contending the 2nd Circuit's decision ran "counter to longstanding U.S. efforts to promote orderly restructuring of sovereign debt."

Argentina and holders of its restructured bonds say granting the holdouts 100 cents on the dollar could complicate future sovereign restructurings around the world.

Argentine Vice President Amado Boudou repeated on Saturday that Argentina would continue repaying investors who participated in the restructuring no matter how the U.S. court case is resolved.

"One way or another, Argentina will pay," he said.

The case is NML Capital Ltd et al v. Republic of Argentina, 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, No. 12-105.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 1-Argentina puts forward alternative payment plan in bond dispute

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UPDATE 1-Argentina puts forward alternative payment plan in bond dispute
Mar 30th 2013, 15:09

Sat Mar 30, 2013 11:09am EDT

By Nate Raymond

NEW YORK, March 30 (Reuters) - Argentina is pitching an alternative payment formula to a U.S. appeals court that would allow it to resolve litigation with creditors holding defaulted bonds for which they are demanding to be paid $1.33 billion.

In a filing late on Friday with the 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in New York, Argentina proposed to pay creditors who did not participate in two restructurings through a choice of bonds equal to the debt's value at the time of the country's 2002 default, or through discount bonds.

The offer was under the same terms as those offered to creditors during a 2010 debt swap, a deal already rejected by the holdouts, who are seeking full payment immediately.

"The Republic is prepared to fulfill the terms of this proposal promptly upon Order by the Court by submitting a bill to Congress that ensures its timely implementation," Jonathan Blackman, Argentina's U.S. lawyer, wrote.

The filing was the latest development in the long-running litigation spilling out of Argentina's $100 billion sovereign debt default in 2002. Around 92 percent of its bonds were restructured in 2005 and 2010, with bondholders receiving 25 cents to 29 cents on the dollar.

But holdouts led by Elliott Management affiliate NML Capital Ltd and Aurelius Capital Management have fought for years for full payment. Argentina calls these funds "vultures."

In October, the 2nd Circuit upheld a trial judge's ruling by finding Argentina had violated a so-called pari passu clause in its bond documents requiring it to treat creditors equally.

U.S. District Judge Thomas Griesa in Manhattan subsequently ordered Argentina in November to pay the $1.33 billion owed to the bondholders into an escrow account by the time of its next interest payment to holders of the exchanged debt.

The 2nd Circuit heard an appeal of that order on Feb. 27. Two days later, it directed Argentina to provide details of "the precise terms of any alternative payment formula and schedule to which it is prepared to commit."

'PAR' BOND OPTION

In its 22-page submission late on Friday, Argentina said that under what it calls the "Par" bond option, the bondholders would receive bonds due in 2038 with the same nominal face value of their current bonds. The Par bonds would pay interest at a rate that rises from 2.5 percent to 5.25 per annum over the life of the bonds, Argentina said.

The plaintiffs would also receive an immediate cash payment of past due interest, Argentina said. And they would receive derivative instruments that provide payments when the country's gross domestic product exceeds 3 percent a year.

The holdouts could receive discount bonds due in 2033 that pay at higher rates than the Par bonds, 8.28 percent annually. They would also increase in principal over time.

The holdouts would also receive past due interest in the form of bonds due in 2017 paying 8.75 percent a year, and GDP-linked derivative units.

The Par option is restricted to small investors wanting to tender up to $50,000 per series of bonds, the filing said, while there is no limit on the discount option.

Blackman, Argentina's lawyer, wrote that the proposal, unlike what he called the "100 cents on the dollar immediately" formula Griesa adopted, "is consistent with the pari passu clause, longstanding principles of equity, and the Republic's capacity to pay."

Argentina argued its proposal meant "substantial" benefit for the holdouts. NML, which it said paid an estimated $48.7 million in 2008 for its stake in the bonds, could net $186.82 million through the discount option.

That compares to the $720 million total it claims in litigation, Argentina said.

Argentine legal expert Eugenio Bruno said the government's Friday proposal "was within expectations, considering the legal constraints on offering anything better than the terms of the 2010 restructuring."

Argentina has a "padlock law" that keeps governments from improving the terms of previous restructurings.

Earlier in the week, the holdouts scored a victory over Argentina when the 2nd Circuit denied a full court review of its October ruling on the equal treatment provision.

The United States had backed Argentina in seeking the review, contending the 2nd Circuit's decision ran "counter to longstanding U.S. efforts to promote orderly restructuring of sovereign debt."

A NML spokesman did not immediately respond to an email seeking comment late on Friday, while a spokeswoman for Aurelius had no immediate comment.

The case is NML Capital Ltd et al v. Republic of Argentina, 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, No. 12-105.

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Friday, March 29, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: Argentina puts forward alternative payment plan in bond dispute

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
Argentina puts forward alternative payment plan in bond dispute
Mar 30th 2013, 04:54

By Nate Raymond

NEW YORK, March 30 | Sat Mar 30, 2013 12:54am EDT

NEW YORK, March 30 (Reuters) - Argentina on Friday pitched an alternative payment formula to a U.S. appeals court that would allow it to resolve litigation with creditors holding defaulted bonds for which they are demanding to be paid $1.33 billion.

In a filing with the 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in New York, Argentina proposed to pay creditors who didn't participate in two restructurings through a choice of bonds equal to the debt's value at the time of the country's 2002 default, or through discount bonds.

The offer was under the same terms as those offered to creditors during a 2010 debt swap, a deal already rejected by the holdouts, who are seeking full payment immediately.

"The Republic is prepared to fulfill the terms of this proposal promptly upon Order by the Court by submitting a bill to Congress that ensures its timely implementation," Jonathan Blackman, Argentina's U.S. lawyer, wrote.

The filing was the latest development in the long-running litigation spilling out of Argentina's $100 billion sovereign debt default in 2002. Around 92 percent of its bonds were restructured in 2005 and 2010, with bondholders receiving 25 cents to 29 cents on the dollar.

But holdouts led by Elliott Management affiliate NML Capital Ltd and Aurelius Capital Management have fought for years for full payment. Argentina calls these funds "vultures."

In October, the 2nd Circuit upheld a trial judge's ruling by finding Argentina had violated a so-called pari passu clause in its bond documents requiring it to treat creditors equally.

U.S. District Judge Thomas Griesa in Manhattan subsequently ordered Argentina in November to pay the $1.33 billion owed to the bondholders into an escrow account by the time of its next interest payment to holders of the exchanged debt.

The 2nd Circuit heard an appeal of that order on Feb. 27. Two days later, it directed Argentina to provide details of "the precise terms of any alternative payment formula and schedule to which it is prepared to commit."

'PAR' BOND OPTION

In its 22-page submission late Friday, Argentina said that under what it calls the "Par" bond option, the bondholders would receive bonds due in 2038 with the same nominal face value of their current bonds. The Par bonds would pay interest at a rate that rises from 2.5 percent to 5.25 per annum over the life of the bonds, Argentina said.

The plaintiffs would also receive an immediate cash payment of past due interest, Argentina said. And they would receive derivative instruments that provide payments when the country's gross domestic product exceeds 3 percent a year.

The holdouts could receive discount bonds due in 2033 that pay at higher rates than the Par bonds, 8.28 percent annually. They would also increase in principal over time.

The holdouts would also receive past due interest in the form of bonds due in 2017 paying 8.75 percent a year, and GDP-linked derivative units.

The Par option is restricted to small investors wanting to tender up to $50,000 per series of bonds, the filing said, while there is no limit on the discount option.

Blackman, Argentina's lawyer, wrote that the proposal, unlike what he called the "100 cents on the dollar immediately" formula Griesa adopted, "is consistent with the pari passu clause, longstanding principles of equity, and the Republic's capacity to pay."

Argentina argued its proposal meant "substantial" benefit for the holdouts. NML, which it said paid an estimated $48.7 million in 2008 for its stake in the bonds, could net $186.82 million through the discount option.

That compares to the $720 million total it claims in litigation, Argentina said.

A NML spokesman did not immediately respond to an email seeking comment late Friday, while a spokeswoman for Aurelius had no immediate comment.

Earlier this week, the holdouts scored a victory over Argentina when the 2nd Circuit denied a full court review of its October ruling on the equal treatment provision.

The United States had backed Argentina in seeking the review, contending the 2nd Circuit's decision ran "counter to longstanding U.S. efforts to promote orderly restructuring of sovereign debt."

The case is NML Capital Ltd et al v. Republic of Argentina, 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals, No. 12-105.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro edges down on Cyprus worries, Italy political deadlock

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
FOREX-Euro edges down on Cyprus worries, Italy political deadlock
Mar 29th 2013, 06:56

Fri Mar 29, 2013 2:56am EDT

* Fears over Italian politics spur flight-to-quality

* Cyprus crisis sends jitters through Slovenian debt market

* No reaction to North Korea sabre-rattling

* Yen shows limited reaction to weak Japan output data

* Focus on BOJ meeting, some see risk of disappointment

By Sophie Knight and Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, March 29 (Reuters) - The euro hovered near a four-month lows on worries that losses suffered by Cypriot depositors may unnerve investors in other euro zone debt and on Italian political woes, but market participants also said the single currency seems to have found a bottom for now.

Trade was, however, subdued with many markets closed for Easter holidays, and there was limited reaction to North Korea putting its missile units on standby to attack U.S. military bases in South Korea and the Pacific.

The common currency lost 0.1 percent to $1.2805, giving up modest gains earlier in the session. It is down 2.9 percent since January and on course to mark its first quarterly decline since the April-June period in 2012.

The common currency has major support around $1.2680, a 61.8 percent retracement of its July-February rally, though a break there is likely to open the way for a test of last year's low near $1.20.

Market participants said the euro was gaining support from month- and quarter-end positioning, as well as buying on dips from U.S. hedge funds taking long positions.

"Today we have neither strong buying or strong selling pressure, so I think it's close to bottoming out," said Kenichi Asada, manager of forex at Trust & Custody Services Bank.

In Cyprus, banks reopened for the first time in almost two weeks without causing a feared run on deposits, though the country conceded tight capital controls would remain in force longer than expected, likely for about a month.

There was no hint of a breakthrough in Italy's political stalemate, with centre-left leader Pier Luigi Bersani's failure to find a way out of the deadlock prompting President Giorgio Napolitano to go in search of another solution.

In a sign that investors are shifting funds back to safe-havens, the 10-year German Bund yield fell to an eight-month low, while Slovenia's government bond yields have jumped over 100 basis points since last week.

Slovenia is seen as a potential candidate for a future euro zone bailout due to the bad loans hampering its banking sector, according to a Reuters' poll.

"The euro appears to be stabilising just for now, but European bond markets are clearly showing a rather different picture," said Daisuke Uno, chief strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Bank.

The dollar lost 0.2 percent against a basket of currencies to 83.029, also hurt by a rise in U.S. jobless claims and a pullback in the pace of Midwest business activity. The greenback hit an eight-month high of 83.302 on Wednesday.

The Aussie moved a smidgen higher, adding 0.1 percent to 1.0427 after dropping 1 percent between a two-month high of 1.0497 struck on Tuesday and Thursday's low after a slide in Chinese shares.

"We have a lot of clients who are eagerly watching the Aussie and who want to buy it on this pullback," said Asada of Trust & Custody Services.

GUTSY EASING?

The greenback slipped 0.1 percent against the yen to 94.030 as the last trickle of repatriation flows from Japanese exporters tussled with yen bears hoping for an explosive change in monetary policy next week.

Expectations of gutsy easing from the Bank of Japan at its monetary policy review on April 3-4 have left the dollar poised to record an 8.4 percent quarterly gain against the yen, which would mark its first gain for two straight quarters since 2009.

With so much focus on the BOJ's policy meeting on April 3-4, the first one under new Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, the yen showed a muted response to a barrage of Japanese data out on Friday, including disappointing industrial output.

Market players expect Kuroda to scale up the BOJ's bond buying and to extend the maturities of the bonds it purchases. But speculation on the scale and content of that easing has ramped up the risk of disappointment, analysts say.

"I expect the yen to gain after the BOJ meeting next week. So much has been said about aggressive easing already and I can't expect anything new," said Sumitomo Bank's Uno.

The U.S. currency has strong support at 93.78, the kijun line from its daily Ichimoku chart. It has not closed below this line since mid-November, when investors started to bet Japan would pursue aggressive monetary easing.

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Thursday, March 28, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro bounces slightly, but Italy deadlock weighs

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
FOREX-Euro bounces slightly, but Italy deadlock weighs
Mar 29th 2013, 03:57

Thu Mar 28, 2013 11:57pm EDT

* Fears over Italian politics spur flight-to-quality

* Cyprus crisis sends jitters through Slovenian debt market

* No reaction to North Korea sabre-rattling

* Yen shows limited reaction to weak Japan output data

* Focus on BOJ meeting, some see risk of disappointment

By Sophie Knight and Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, March 29 (Reuters) - The euro edged up on Friday but stayed near four-month lows against the dollar, beset by political deadlock in Italy and worries the huge losses suffered by Cypriot depositors as part of a bailout could unnerve investors in other euro zone debt.

But trade was subdued with many markets closed for Easter holidays, and there was limited reaction to North Korea putting its missile units on standby to attack U.S. military bases in South Korea and the Pacific.

The common currency stood at $1.2830, up 0.1 percent from late U.S. trade. It was set to end the quarter down roughly 2.7 percent against the dollar, its first quarterly decline since the April to June period in 2012.

The common currency has major support around $1.2680, a 61.8 percent retracement of its July-February rally, though a break there is likely to open the way for a test of last year's low near $1.20. There were also signs that dip-buying could prevent any sharp falls for now.

"Some U.S. hedge funds are trying to take long positions on the euro on the dip," said a trader at a domestic bank who declined to be named.

However, the common currency still faces vigorous headwinds.

There is no hint of a breakthrough in Italy's political stalemate, with centre-left leader Pier Luigi Bersani's failure to find a way out of the deadlock prompting President Giorgio Napolitano to go in search of another solution.

In Cyprus, banks reopened for the first time in almost two weeks without causing a feared run on deposits, though the country conceded tight capital controls would remain in force longer than expected, likely for about a month.

"The euro appears to be stabilising just for now, but European bond markets are clearly showing a rather different picture," said Daisuke Uno, chief strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Bank.

In a sign nervous investors are shifting funds back to safe-haven German bonds, the 10-year German Bund yield fell to its lowest since July last year, when borrowing costs for Spain and Italy rocketed to levels seen as unsustainable.

The draconian bailout conditions for Cyprus have soured investor sentiment particularly in Slovenia, which is seen as one of the next potential candidates for a future euro zone bailout due to the bad loans hampering its banking sector.

Slovenian government bond debt yields have jumped over 100 basis points in the last week or so.

The small bounce for the euro helped pull the dollar further from Wednesday's eight-month high of 83.302 against a basket of currencies. The dollar index lost 0.4 percent to 82.906 on Friday.

FEELING GUTSY?

The greenback also slipped 0.1 percent against the yen to 94.07 as the last of Japanese exporters' repatriation flows trickled through on the last trading day of the financial year.

Expectations of gutsy easing from the Bank of Japan at its monetary policy review next week have left the yen poised to record an 8.4 percent quarterly loss against the greenback, which would mark a slide for two quarters in a row for the first time since 2009.

With so much focus on the BOJ's policy meeting on April 3-4, the first one under new Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, the yen showed a muted response to a barrage of Japanese data, including disappointing industrial output.

Market players expect Kuroda to scale up BOJ bond buying and extend maturities of bonds it purchases.

But some analysts say there is a risk of disappointment.

"I expect the yen to gain after the BOJ meeting next week. So much has been said about aggressive easing already and I can't expect anything new," said Sumitomo Bank's Uno.

The U.S. currency has strong support at 93.78, the kijun line from its daily Ichimoku chart. It has not closed below this line since mid-November, when investors started to bet Japan would pursue aggressive monetary easing.

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