Monday, October 14, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Elusive U.S. debt deal pushes dollar lower v. yen

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Elusive U.S. debt deal pushes dollar lower v. yen
Oct 14th 2013, 08:05

Mon Oct 14, 2013 4:05am EDT

  * Signs of progress on U.S. fiscal talks, but deal elusive      * Yen edges higher, dollar/yen off Friday's near 2-wk high        By Anooja Debnath      LONDON, Oct 14 (Reuters) - The dollar slipped on Monday and  the yen gained on safe-haven demand over concerns the United  States might default on its debt as lawmakers struggled to reach  a deal on raising its borrowing facility ahead of this week's  deadline.      The dollar slipped 0.3 percent to 98.26 yen, having  touched a low of about 98.05 yen earlier in the day. The dollar  retreated from a near two-week high of 98.60 yen set on Friday.      The yen's liquidity makes it a relatively safe option during  times of uncertainty.       Negotiations in the U.S. Senate to bring the fiscal crisis  to an end showed signs of progress on Sunday but failed to give  any concrete indication that a default would be avoided.      Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and Republican leader  Mitch McConnell held talks that Reid called "substantive".  Reid's remarks gave some hope that Congress might soon pass  legislation to fund the government and raise its borrowing  authority.       Failure to break the stalemate before Thursday, the deadline  to raise the debt ceiling, would leave the world's biggest  economy unable to pay its bills in the coming weeks.      "Over the weekend it was disappointing that an agreement  still hasn't been reached. We think the closer we get to the  debt ceiling deadline without an agreement, dollar/yen will come  under the intensive selling pressure," said Lee Hardman,  currency economist at BTMU.       "The yen alongside the Swiss franc, safe haven currencies,  should benefit if broader investor risk aversion picks up."      Traders said bids for the U.S. dollar at levels near 98.00  yen helped to limit the yen's rise.       The dollar was down 0.1 percent against the Swiss franc    at 0.9114 francs while the euro rose 0.1 percent  to $1.3560.       Analysts said market players were also probably wary of  betting too heavily in one direction, given the possibility of a  last-minute deal which could see the dollar rally.       Market holidays in Japan and partial market closure in the  United States on Monday added to the subdued mood.      "I think people are kind of in limbo... A bit fearful but  hopeful as well that something can be done before the deadline,"  said Sim Moh Siong, FX strategist for Bank of Singapore.      Low risk sentiment and worries about China's economic  strength weighed on growth-linked currencies like the Australian  dollar.       Data released on Saturday showed export growth in China,  Australia's top export market, fizzled in September to post a  surprise fall.       The Aussie was last down 0.1 percent at $0.9455.       The currency's losses, however, were somewhat limited by  news that China's iron ore imports surged to a record high in  September, a move that augurs well for Australia's trade figures  due out next month.  
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