Friday, April 27, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar ends week on a down note post US GDP data

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Dollar ends week on a down note post US GDP data
Apr 27th 2012, 20:53

Fri Apr 27, 2012 4:53pm EDT

  * Dollar falls vs euro and yen after U.S. GDP data      * S&P downgrades Spanish debt, Spanish yields above 6 pct      * Italy bond auction goes smoothly, tempers worry      * Yen firmer as Bank of Japan easing measures underwhelm          NEW YORK, April 27 (Reuters) - The dollar slumped to  multi-week lows against the euro and the yen on Friday after a  report showed U.S. economic growth cooled in the first quarter,  raising the prospect of further stimulus from the U.S. Federal  Reserve.              The weaker-than-expected growth showed businesses cut back  on investment and restocked shelves at a moderate pace at a time  when investors are worried that a lack of job creation will stem  consumer spending.            Trading volumes dropped off on Friday. Investors seeing the  month end are preparing for next week's U.S. non-farm payrolls  report, which will offer an important clue that could either  confirm the weaker than expected GDP report or hint at the   possibility for upward revisions.             The euro was already higher after a smooth Italian bond  auction eased concerns over peripheral euro-zone debt markets.  The sale offset jitters sparked by a two-notch downgrade of  Spain's sovereign debt and dismal Spanish economic data.              The U.S. economic data added to the dollar's woes, sending  it to its lowest since mid-April against the yen.             "GDP was worse-than-expected, and that increases the chances  of the Fed launching QE3," said Daniel Hwang, senior currency  strategist at Forex.com in New York. "Markets shrugged off the  Spanish rating action, and we could see risk assets continue  upward momentum on expectations of a Fed move. This is negative  for the dollar as it increases QE3 chances."          A third round of Fed quantitative easing, known as QE3,  would be negative for the dollar as the bond purchases  effectively boost supply of the currency.             The euro reached a three week high of $1.3270 and  last traded at $ 1.3240, up 0 .24 p ercent, well off the session  low of $1.3155, according to Reuters data.            "There is still some room to go against the euro," said Joe  DeGeronimo, chief dealer at SMBC, citing stop-loss barriers in  the $1.3275/80 area followed by $1.33.        "The move earlier from $1.3220 to $1.3250 I think was from  Middle East and sovereign fund buying. They've been buyers on  the dips, and since then we've traded tight ranges," he said.         The dollar was last down 0.79 percent against the yen at  8 0.37 yen, with the session low at 8 0.35 yen.               The euro was already bid as the New York session began   after Italy sold 5.95 billion euros of bonds, in an auction  which analysts said went well.        That overcame a slew of bad news in the last 24 hours for  the euro zone. Standard & Poor's cut Spain's credit rating to  BBB-plus from A late on Thursday and gave it a negative outlook,  warning it expects the government's budget deficit to  deteriorate even more than previously thought due to economic  contraction.          Spanish data released Friday highlighted the extent of  economic weakness in the highly indebted country, with nearly a  quarter of the nation's workforce unemployed and retail sales  falling for the 21st consecutive month.               Spanish 10-year bond yields spiked above 6 percent on  Friday. Investors sold and sought the safety of German bond  futures, sending them to record highs. Spanish yields have since  slipped back to the 5.90 percent range.               "If you look at the downgrade and economic data out of  Spain, it makes pretty grim reading," said Jeremy Stretch, Head  of European FX Strategy at CIBC Global Markets.               There was also talk of quasi official Swiss buying of euros  against the Swiss franc which was keeping the euro buoyed  against the dollar. The euro was little changed at 1.2011 Swiss  francs with the session low of 1.2001 francs.         That was just off the floor set by the Swiss National Bank  of 1.2000 Swiss francs, a level they have drawn as the line in  the sand for franc strength against the euro.         The dollar hit a three-week low on the Swiss franc.                                   YEN FIRMS         The yen was firmer against the dollar and the euro after  further easing measures from the Bank of Japan were seen as  incremental rather than significant steps to try to dig the  Japanese economy out of the doldrums.         The Bank increased bond buying by 10 trillion yen, expanding  the target of its bond purchases to bonds with up to three years  left to maturity from those with two years or less, and  increased its buying of exchange-traded funds.                The Bank also extended the period of its asset purchases to  June next year from December.         Japanese exporters were quick to buy the yen after weeks of  hype around the possibility of the BOJ easing policy. Market  players said the BOJ's easing wasn't enough to push the  greenback toward March's 11-month peak against the yen.       The euro gained 0.356 percent against the dollar for the  week, its second straight week of gains, while the dollar slid  1. 447 pe rcent against the yen.              Sterling rose 0.51 percent to $1.6256 , its tenth straight  day of gains.  
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