Wednesday, February 27, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Yen gains as investors await Italian bond sale

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Yen gains as investors await Italian bond sale
Feb 27th 2013, 07:06

Wed Feb 27, 2013 2:06am EST

  * Italy bond auction could signal euro direction      * Bernanke curbs dollar demand; more testimony awaited        By Lisa Twaronite and Ian Chua      TOKYO, Feb 27 (Reuters) - The yen held onto its edge against  its major counterparts in Asian trading on Wednesday as  investors awaited an Italian bond auction later in the session  which could give clues on the direction of the euro.      Italy's borrowing costs have soared on the back of a  political stalemate following its recent election, creating a  challenging environment for the country's sale of new 10-year  bonds and five-year paper.      Markets are already uneasy after the election produced no  clear winner and the single currency could lose ground again if  Italy is forced to pay far higher borrowing costs than before  the polls.       Investors also await Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke's  testimony to the Housing Financial Services Committee on  Wednesday, after his remarks on Tuesday reassured investors that  the central bank will keep buying bonds for a while.        "Nobody knows which way the Italian government will go in  the near future," said Masashi Murata, a currency strategist at  Brown Brothers Harriman in Tokyo.           "Italian uncertainties weigh on the global market, so most  would like to wait, and some of them would also like to check  what Bernanke says," he said.           The dollar was at 91.75 yen, down about 0.3 percent  from North American trading on Tuesday but still managing to  hold above a one-month low of 90.85 touched on Monday. The euro  stood at 119.95, down about 0.2 percent but above  Monday's one-month low of 118.74 yen.       The euro struck a 34-month high of 127.71 yen on Feb. 6, and  the dollar hit a 33-month high of 94.77 yen on Monday.      "The overall trend of yen weakness might still be intact,  but there is a perception in the market that Monday's move was  overdone," aid Marito Ueda, director at FX Prime Corp. in Tokyo.      The Japanese currency was caught between investors seeking  to book profits on bearish positions and those building new  short positions at these levels, market participants said.      The yen has been the worst performing major currency so far  this year as investors bet on more aggressive policies from the  Bank of Japan to whip deflation, and investors have positioned  for more monetary stimulus.       This week's sharp yen gains sparked by fears of political  deadlock in Italy were a wake-up call to investors and a  challenge to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe.                   BERNANKE SOOTHES JANGLED NERVES     Comments from Bernanke on Tuesday helped alleviate some  market concerns about an early end to the Fed's bond buying  programme, which also somewhat cooled demand for the greenback.           The euro plumbed a seven-week trough of $1.3017 on the EBS  trading platform on Tuesday. It last traded at $1.3074,  up about 0.1 percent from Tuesday's late U.S. levels. The common  currency has shed about 5 percent since peaking at a 15-month  high of $1.3711 on Feb. 1.      "It seems likely that the stop of 1.2980 on our long EURUSD  recommendation (from 1.3180 established last week) is at risk,"  said BNP Paribas strategist Vassili Serebriakov.       "However we do not believe this is the start of the next  round of a Europe-wide debt crisis, given that Italy's overall  fiscal position is relatively stable and that investors do not  appear to be overweight European assets, which should limit the  impact of any unwind."      Renewed European concerns also took a toll on commodity  currencies. The Australian dollar was slightly lower at $1.0217,  after it fell to four-month low of $1.0198 on Tuesday  but did not sustain a break of $1.0200. A clean break below that  level would bring into focus the October low of $1.0149.  
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