Thursday, March 14, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil rates futures fall on central bank's caution

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil rates futures fall on central bank's caution
Mar 14th 2013, 13:15

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Thu Mar 14, 2013 9:15am EDT

  * Investors expected clear sign of interest rate hike soon      * Mexico peso gains 0.2 pct, Brazil real 0.1 pct lower        By Walter Brandimarte      RIO DE JANEIRO, March 14 (Reuters) - Brazil's interest-rate  futures dropped on Thursday after the central bank said it will  be cautious about its next policy steps because of lingering  economic uncertainties, disappointing investors who expected a  clear sign of an imminent monetary tightening.      Meanwhile, most Latin American currencies were flat to  stronger as investors awaited the opening of stock markets in  the United States for clear direction. U.S. stocks index futures  pointed for a higher open on Wall Street.      Brazil's interest-rate contract maturing in Jan. 2014  , one of the most traded, dropped 13 basis points to  7.83 percent. Longer-date contracts fell less, causing the yield  curve to steepen, on bets that the central bank would have to  raise rates more sharply in the future to deal with inflation.      In minutes of its latest monetary policy meeting, the  central bank said it will be very cautious about its next  monetary policy steps as uncertain factors could lift already  high inflation.       "As the central bank didn't bring any forceful sign that  interest rates will go up in April, markets are adjusting to the  possibility that they might rise a little later," said Silvio  Campos Neto, an economist with Tendencias consultancy in Sao  Paulo.      In currencies, the Brazilian real  was little  changed at 1.9708 per dollar, one day after weakening nearly 0.4  percent as global investors flew to the perceived safety of the  dollar.      The Mexican peso gained for a sixth consecutive day,  however, as investors continued to flock into local-denominated  assets on hopes that deep structural reforms will boost Mexico's  economic prospects.            Latin American FX prices at 1240 GMT:           Currencies                         daily %    YTD %                                       change   change                              Latest              Brazil real                1.9708    -0.07     3.51                                                  Mexico peso               12.4185     0.22     3.59                                                  Chile peso               470.9000     0.02     1.66                                                  Peru sol                   2.5940     0.00    -1.66                                                  Argentina peso             5.0775     0.00    -3.25     Argentina peso             7.9000    -0.76   -14.18  
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