Wednesday, July 31, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar drops broadly as Fed leaves stimulus program intact

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Dollar drops broadly as Fed leaves stimulus program intact
Jul 31st 2013, 19:45

Wed Jul 31, 2013 3:45pm EDT

  * Dollar drops as Fed leaves bond buying program in place      * U.S. GDP grows 1.7 percent in 2nd quarter      * U.S. private sector adds 200,000 jobs in July      * Focus shifts to ECB, BoE and U.S. payrolls data        By Julie Haviv      NEW YORK, July 31 (Reuters) - The dollar fell broadly on  Wednesday after the Federal Reserve refrained from offering any  indication that a reduction in the pace of its stimulus program  was imminent despite upbeat U.S. economic growth and  private-sector jobs data.      After a two-day meeting, the Fed said the economy continues  to recover but is still in need of support.       For now, the Fed will keep buying $85 billion in mortgage  and Treasury securities per month in its ongoing effort to  bolster an economy still challenged by federal budget-tightening  and weak growth overseas.      The Fed's bond buying program is negative for the dollar as  it is tantamount to printing money and dilutes its value.    Those bullish on the dollar are eager for less stimulus as that  could prod U.S. interest rates higher and make the greenback  more attractive to investors.      There were "some subtle changes in the format of the ensuing  policy statement and on balance it appears that the central bank   has edged ever so slightly away from reducing bond purchases,"  said Andrew Wilkinson, chief economic strategist at Miller Tabak  & Co. in New York.      "Today ... the sense that easy money is here to stay will  likely permeate investor sentiment," he said.      Buoyed by a status quo Fed, the euro reached $1.3344, its  highest since June 19. In late afternoon trade, the euro was at  $1.3328, up 0.5 percent on the day.      The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a  basket of six currencies, was down 0.24 percent at 81.631  .  The index was on track for a second consecutive monthly  decline, with the euro gaining for a second straight month.       The Fed's failure to signal clearly the chance of a stimulus  taper in September caused the dollar to lose ground, said Joe  Manimbo, senior market analyst at Western Union Business  Solutions in Washington D.C.       "On the brighter side, the Fed acknowledged modest growth  during the first half of the year and more improvement in the  job market," he said. "On the other hand, Fed officials also  acknowledged concerns about low inflation and high unemployment  which could pose potential impediments to a near-term taper."       The dollar earlier found support from upbeat economic data       showing the U.S. economy grew at an annualized clip of 1.7  percent in the second quarter. Also, the U.S. private sector  added 200,000 jobs this month, above forecasts of 180,000.         Against the yen, the dollar fell 0.3 percent to 97.74   yen after earlier dropping to 97.56, its lowest in a month.       The U.S. currency rallied in May and June after Fed Chairman  Ben Bernanke said on May 22 that the Fed could cut back on its  bond purchases by September. Bernanke subsequently backtracked,  however, saying the Fed would keep its stimulus program in place  if U.S. growth stayed sluggish.      With the Fed meeting is out of the way, foreign exchange  market participants will focus on Thursday's European Central  Bank and Bank of England policy meetings.      On Friday, the U.S. Labor Department will release its July   nonfarm payrolls report. An upbeat jobs report should buoy the  dollar, as it will heighten expectations the Fed will lower the  amount of its monthly bond purchases this year. The dollar  should drop if the opposite holds true.  
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