Monday, August 26, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Italian tensions in focus as emerging assets calmer

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Italian tensions in focus as emerging assets calmer
Aug 26th 2013, 09:09

Mon Aug 26, 2013 5:09am EDT

  * Italian stocks, bonds fall on Berlusconi threat      * U.S. housing data tempers September Fed tapering view      * Stocks mostly higher, gold briefly tops $1,400 an ounce      * Currency markets subdued, dollar finds support after dip        By Marc Jones      LONDON, Aug 26 (Reuters) - Italian shares and bonds fell on  Monday after a threat from Silvio Berlusconi's party to bring  down the government while a weaker dollar and lower U.S. yields  offered some relief to battered emerging markets.       The dollar slipped against the yen and gold traded near  11-weak highs, briefly topping $1,400 an ounce after weak U.S.  housing data on Friday added to uncertainty over when the  Federal Reserve would start unwinding monetary stimulus, much of  which has flooded into developing markets.       Members of Berlusconi's centre-right People of Freedom (PDL)  party warned on Sunday they would force early elections if their  centre-left coalition allies voted next month to expel the  former premier over a tax fraud conviction.       Italian shares opened down more than 1 percent,  leading the broader euro zone stock market lower,  and the country's government bonds fell, taking  Spanish and Portuguese bonds down with them.      "If you have new elections now there is a high risk you  would not have a majority government so that is why we are  seeing a widening of spreads in the periphery," said ING rate  strategist Alessandro Giansanti adding the timing was not ideal  considering Italy is set to sell bonds this week.         Emerging markets, meanwhile, were relatively calm after the  turmoil of last week. (for emerging market shares )      Share indexes in India made ground though there were some  more mild falls in Indonesia and both countries' currencies  weakened again against the dollar..      India, Indonesia and Brazil have scrambled to try to stem  the destabilising outflows that have sent their currencies  sharply lower, with the rupee skidding to record lows  recently.       Global central bankers at the Fed's annual Jackson Hole  policy conference were warned over the weekend that financial  stability is at risk as ultra-easy policies that have flooded  the world with cash are slowly unwound.                  'MONETARY MORPHINE'      John Hardy, head of FX strategy for Saxo bank, said the Fed  was bound to take measures if the turmoil in markets over its  stimulus scale-back didn't settle down.      "The evidence we have seen since 2008 is that every time  things get a little ugly the Fed steps in with more liquidity,  so they will do what ever they have to do," said Hardy.      "Markets have been dependent on monetary morphine for  forever so why not just have another big hit of it."      Data out on Friday showed sales of new U.S. single-family  homes fell to their lowest in nine months, raising doubts about  whether the Fed can afford to start to pull back next month and  giving investors an excuse to buy back beaten-down assets.      Against the yen, the dollar traded at 98.56 off  Friday's peak of 99.15, while the euro bought $1.3382,  having climbed as high as $1.3410.      Spot gold, which as an inflation hedge has benefited from  the global flood of liquidity, briefly popped above $1,400 an  ounce for the first time since early June, extending  Friday's 1.5 percent rally. It last stood at $1,396.54.       U.S. crude was bid at $106.91 a barrel, while Brent  crude extended gains above $111 a barrel as rising  tensions in Syria added to concerns of increased unrest in the  Middle East that could disrupt supply.      In Shanghai trading, copper rose to its highest in  over four months on optimism about global growth though traders  said the moves were being amplified by the fact London markets  were closed for a public holiday.  
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