Thursday, April 26, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro climbs after U.S. housing report ups risk appetite

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro climbs after U.S. housing report ups risk appetite
Apr 26th 2012, 15:00

Thu Apr 26, 2012 11:00am EDT

  * Euro climbs, pending U.S. home sales raise risk appetite      * Dollar seen subdued as Fed retains stimulus option      * Yen investors eye BOJ policy meeting on Friday          NEW YORK, April 26 (Reuters) - The euro rallied against the  dollar in a volatile session o n T hursday, which saw the single  currency swing from a three-week high to losses and back higher  again after a U.S. housing report offered hopes of a pickup in  housing and raising risk appetite.            Contracts to purchase previously owned U.S. homes increased  solidly to a near two-year high in March, suggesting the spring  selling season got off to a firmer start.             The report offset bearishness on the euro after a report  showed euro zone economic sentiment fell more than expected in  April, driven by more pessimistic industry and services sectors,  as the economy sinks into recession..         "The pending home sales probably did play a hand in muting  some of the negativity from high joblessness and low consumer  confidence," said said Alexander Chepurko, foreign exchange  analyst at Forex Club in New York. "But mostly it's a weakening  U.S. dollar that's giving the euro/dollar help, after  yesterday's Fed proclamation that they are prepared to take  additional easing steps even in the face of slightly positive  growth."              The euro was last up 0.2 percent on the day at $1.3245,  nearer to the earlier three-week peak of $1.3263 than the  session low of $1.3197.               U.S. initial weekly jobless claims showing a weaker pace of  healing in the labor market sent the dollar to a one-week low  against the yen and the euro to a session low against the dollar  [ID:nOATQFE83K}.              Following a two-day policy meeting that finished on   Wednesday Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said  policymakers were ready to launch another round of bond buying  if the U.S. economy weakened.         The statement weighed broadly on the dollar, pushing it to  the three-week low against the euro.          "The main catalyst for volatility this week was FOMC," said  Kathy Lien, director of FX research at GFT in Jersey City, New  Jersey. "Bernanke's dovishness drove the euro/dollar to a fresh  3 week high but the pair has struggled to extend its gains since  then."        Peripheral bond yields rose and with the threat of political  instability from elections in France, Greece and the Netherlands  hanging over the euro zone, investors were keen to sell the  common currency at higher levels.             But the dollar struggled to push higher against most  currencies following the Fed's statement. The U.S. central bank  reiterated that interest rates were unlikely to rise before late  2014.         "The fact (the Fed is ) still maintaining a very dovish  stance and not taking any risks with the recovery process will  help some of the higher beta currencies," said Ian Stannard,  head of European FX strategy at Morgan Stanley in London.             The Canadian dollar and the British pound hit  seven-month highs against the U.S. currency, a s the central  banks of Canada and Britain - in contrast to the Fed - are seen  moving away from further stimulus.            Sterling rose to a peak of $1.6206, according to Reuters  data, while the U.S. dollar fell as low as C$0.9802.          The Fed's bond-buying programme is negative for the dollar  as it boosts supply of the currency.          Fresh projections released by the Fed also showed that  policymakers' support for a rate hike before 2014 had not  increased from January, disappointing dollar bulls who had hoped  for the possibility of an earlier exit from its loose monetary  policy.       With the Fed's dovish bias investors may instead fund  positions in higher-yielding currencies by borrowing in dollars  or yen, where rates are near zero and more stimulus is possible.              The dollar eased 0.6 percent against the yen to 80.78 yen  , in part because of the poor U.S. jobless claims number.             "This was a disappointing number and offers more evidence  that the labor market continues to lose traction," said Joe  Manimbo, senior market analyst, Western Union Business Solutions  in Washington. "For the dollar, this should add to the risk-off  feel in the markets."         The dollar stayed in a 80.30-81.80 yen range seen in the  past few sessions ahead of the BOJ's policy meeting on Friday  and the Japanese currency was seen as unlikely to make much  headway ahead of the meeting.         Sources familiar with the central bank's thinking said the  BOJ is likely to ease monetary policy o n Friday by boosting  asset purchases by up to 10 trillion yen.             Some traders said investors are already bearish on the yen  as further BOJ easing has been talked about for weeks, leaving  room for the yen to rebound. Others said the BOJ is likely to  stay under pressure to ease even after Friday's meeting.  
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