Friday, August 31, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 3-China won't challenge WTO ruling in U.S. bank card row

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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UPDATE 3-China won't challenge WTO ruling in U.S. bank card row
Aug 31st 2012, 22:17

Fri Aug 31, 2012 6:17pm EDT

* China downplays significance of July WTO ruling

* US estimates decision could create 6,000 U.S. jobs

By Tom Miles and Doug Palmer

GENEVA/WASHINGTON, Aug 31 (Reuters) - The United States welcomed China's decision on Friday not to appeal a trade panel ruling that Beijing discriminated against U.S. bank card suppliers such as Mastercard Inc and Visa Inc in favor of a state-owned enterprise, China UnionPay.

"Fair and open financial services markets are critical to facilitating global trade," U.S. Trade Representative Ron Kirk said in a statement, noting that China now had 30 days to say how it would comply with the World Trade Organization's July 16 ruling.

The U.S. case accused China of imposing a series of measures dating back to 2001 that discriminated against foreign suppliers of electronic payment systems that allow consumers to make purchases using credit, debit, prepaid and other payment cards.

More than $1 trillion worth of electronic payment card transactions are processed in China each year, making it a hugely attractive market for U.S. electronic payment services firms such as Visa and MasterCard.

"The WTO panel agreed that China's pervasive and discriminatory practices are unfair to American suppliers of electronic payment services and discriminate at each stage of a payment card transaction," Kirk said.

"The message to the Government of China is that those practices must end," Kirk said.

As many as 6,000 jobs could be gained from increased access to China's electronic payments market, Kirk's office said.

China had until Friday to notify the WTO whether it intended to appeal the July decision.

In a statement, Beijing played down the significance of the panel's ruling, even though the United States heralded it as a major victory in its effort to open China's financial services sector to more foreign competition.

"In fact, China's electronic payments market is already very open," China's Commerce Ministry said. "The panel's decision rejected the U.S. charges that UnionPay was the only service provider, and affirmed that (China's policy) does not prevent foreign service providers from entering China's market."

Although the July ruling found that China UnionPay (CUP) had a monopoly on yuan payment cards issued and used in China, it rejected the U.S. claim that CUP was an "across-the-board monopoly supplier" for all transactions denominated in yuan.

A U.S. diplomat, according to a transcript that did not identify individuals by name, told the WTO's Dispute Settlement Body the United States was disappointed the ruling had stopped short of branding CUP as a "monopoly or exclusive supplier".

China's representative at the meeting said that claim had been the centerpiece of the U.S. case, and China commended the dispute panel for rejecting it.

However, despite China's decision not to appeal, the Chinese official also said that the ruling was not entirely free from error, and China was "troubled" by parts of it.

The Chinese Commerce Ministry, in its statement, said China believed "cooperation and competition" between domestic and foreign companies would help develop its payments market.

"China will continue to push forward with reform and opening up and international cooperation in the electronic payments market," the ministry said.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: Bernanke raps BIS call for global cooperation by central banks

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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Bernanke raps BIS call for global cooperation by central banks
Aug 31st 2012, 22:31

By Alister Bull

JACKSON HOLE, Wyo. | Fri Aug 31, 2012 6:31pm EDT

JACKSON HOLE, Wyo. Aug 31 (Reuters) - The world's big central banks ought to cooperate more by taking into account the global impact of their individual policy decisions, a top policymaker said on Friday, but he was immediately challenged by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke.

Jaime Caruana, general manager of the Bank for International Settlements, a global forum for central banks, told some of the world's most powerful policymakers that they must recapture the common sense of purpose they showed when fighting the global financial crisis of 2007-09.

"Central banks need to take a more international perspective, recognize their collective influence and take into account monetary policy spillovers," he told policymakers at the annual retreat here, hosted by the Kansas City Fed.

U.S. and European central bankers are working to restore growth on both sides of the Atlantic, while weighing up the costs and benefits of further action that critics say could contribute to an even more serious financial crisis in the future.

Bernanke, in the audience at the luncheon address, did not flatly reject the suggestion, but he noted that a discussion about international monetary policy cooperation also implied cooperation on foreign exchange rates.

"A problem is, of course, that a lot of exchange rate policy is not made by central banks, it is made by finance ministries ... so I think you have opened up a much more complicated coordination problem than central banks sitting together and reasoning together."

Caruana cheerfully agreed that he was absolutely correct -- drawing general laughter from policymakers that included the governor of the Bank of Japan and president of the Bundesbank as well as the chief of the U.S. central bank -- but stuck to his guns and insisted the question was still legitimate to pose.

Arguing globalization intensified spillovers from financial market disruptions in one country into another, he added that this indicated the need to take the global impact of domestic policy decisions into account.

"This does not necessarily mean monetary policy coordination at the global level, but it does require central banks to better appreciate, internalize and share the side effects that arise from individual monetary policies," he said.

Caruana also said he was "sympathetic" for calls for central bankers to grant "global considerations" an explicit role in their decision-taking, but doubted this could be formalized.

"The major central banks would not be able to publicly outline the mutual consistency of their policies. Drawing attention to areas of inconsistency and dissent would probably undermine effective cooperation," he said.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ rallies to strongest close since late April

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ rallies to strongest close since late April
Aug 31st 2012, 20:36

Fri Aug 31, 2012 4:36pm EDT

  * C$ at 0.9857 vs US$, or $1.0145      * Bernanke says Fed to act as needed, mindful of risks      * Canada GDP in second quarter beats forecasts      * Bond prices mixed        By Solarina Ho      TORONTO, Aug 31 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar on Friday  rallied to its strongest close against the greenback since late  April after data showed Canada's economy grew at a quicker pace  than expected in the second quarter and after Federal Reserve  Chairman Ben Bernanke said the U.S. central bank would take  stimulus action as needed.      Bernanke said the U.S. economy faces "daunting" challenges  and that progress in reducing unemployment has been too slow,  but he stopped short of providing a clear signal of further  monetary policy easing by the Fed.       His comments initially drove stocks and the Canadian  currency lower but the tide turned as the market digested the  speech.       "The initial reaction in most financial markets was a little  bit of a disappointment, initially. The risk obviously was that  he ended up having no imminent plans on the table," said Mark  Chandler, head of Canadian fixed income and currency strategy at  Royal Bank of Canada.      "Second read of it had risk appetite come back again. The  Canadian dollar pretty much followed that."       The Canadian dollar closed at C$0.9857 versus the U.S.  currency, or $1.0145, stronger than Thursday's North American  session close of C$0.9923, or $1.0078. It was the strongest  close for the currency since April 27.      It rose as high as C$0.9852, or $1.0150, after Bernanke's  speech.      The Canadian dollar was also firmer against most other major  currencies, including the euro and Australian dollar.      Also helping its rise was data that showed Canada's GDP grew  at an annualized 1.8 percent in the second quarter, exceeding  analysts' estimates.       "A little bit stronger than what the market had looked for.  The underlying details still show pretty much the theme we  expected with respect to some fading domestic demand," said  David Tulk, chief Canada macro strategist, TD Securities.      Overnight index swaps, which trade based on expectations for  the central bank's key policy rate, showed that traders  increased bets on a rate hike in 2013 after the data.       The Canadian dollar got an early-session boost from comments  by European Central Bank member Benoit Coeure that spurred  market expectations that the ECB will intervene to help tackle  the region's three-year-old debt crisis.      Coeure said ECB bond purchases in the sovereign debt market  must be subject to strict conditionality. The comment fueled  hopes the central bank will buy Spanish and Italian government  bonds to reduce the high borrowing costs the two governments are  facing.       The Canadian currency will seek direction from a number of  events heading into September. Next week will see the Quebec  provincial election, a Bank of Canada rate announcement and U.S.  and Canadian employment figures for August.      "(Bernanke) suggested (the situation) was very  data-dependent going forward, so next Friday's payrolls are  obviously the next chief hurdle," Chandler said.      He also pointed to Fed meetings the following week as well  as a German court ruling on the constitutionality of bond buying  in Europe. "So we're set to have more meaningful moves in  financial markets over the next two weeks," Chandler said.      Canadian bond prices were mostly lower on Friday, with the  two-year bond down 5 Canadian cents to yield 1.152  percent and the benchmark 10-year bond down 5  Canadian cents to yield 1.776 percent.  
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Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares, euro rise after Bernanke speech

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares, euro rise after Bernanke speech
Aug 31st 2012, 20:36

Fri Aug 31, 2012 4:36pm EDT

* Euro, oil, gold prices climb on hopes of future easing

* Bernanke does not explicitly signal imminent monetary easing

* Bernanke's bearish take on unemployment drops bond yields

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK, Aug 31 (Reuters) - Stocks and the euro rose on Friday after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke kept the door open for future monetary easing, although he offered no clear signal of imminent action that markets had hoped for in a much-anticipated speech.

The euro and European shares rose as signs emerged of progress toward a deal to tackle the euro zone's debt crisis.

The dollar dropped to an eight-week low against the euro and two-week low versus the yen after Bernanke said high U.S. unemployment is a "grave concern," remarks that reinforced expectations for further stimulus to revive growth.

Bernanke told central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, that progress in bringing down unemployment was too slow and that the central bank would act as needed to strengthen the economic recovery.

He also said the Fed had to weigh the costs and the benefits of further stimulus, but he downplayed potential risks from the unconventional policies. He argued the Fed's asset purchases, known as quantitative easing, had been quite effective at boosting growth and fostering job creation.

"I think when he talks about 'grave concern,' that says it all. Further accommodation is coming, it's just a question of how it manifests itself," said Scott Graham, head of U.S. government bond trading at BMO Capital Markets in Chicago.

The Dow Jones industrial average closed up 90.13 points, or 0.69 percent, at 13,090.84. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 7.10 points, or 0.51 percent, to end at 1,406.58. The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 18.25 points, or 0.60 percent, at 3,066.96.

For the week, the three indices declined. For the month, the Dow gained 0.6 percent, the S&P 2 percent and Nasdaq 4.3 percent.

Earlier in Europe, the FTSEurofirst of top regional shares closed up 0.5 percent at 1,082.93 in thin trade, erasing the previous session's losses and ending the month almost flat.

MSCI's all-country world equity index rose 0.5 percent to 322.10.

"The basic problem for investors at this point in time is that everyone knows the Fed considers the current economic performance to be unacceptable, but is it unacceptable enough for them to act today or tomorrow before the election?" said Cary Leahy, senior managing director at Decision Economics in New York.

"I don't think this speech answers that question," he said.

Bernanke said the Fed would provide additional policy accommodation as needed, a remark seen as a somewhat weaker hint of policy easing than the minutes of the Fed's last policy meeting had delivered.

"The market was looking for him to not throw any cold water on the prospects for QE and he didn't throw any cold water on it," said John Canally, investment strategist at LPL Financial in Boston.

"The timing is a little bit iffy, but he didn't come out of the box saying that there has been substantial and sustainable improvement in the economy. Because he didn't do that, I think it's just a matter of time," Canally said.

The August payrolls report is due next Friday, days before the next meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on Sept. 12-13. Many analysts say there is a strong possibility the Fed will announce a third round of bond-buying at the meeting.

The euro was up 0.6 percent at $1.2581, while the U.S. dollar index was down 0.6 percent at 81.207.

Investors have hoped that more monetary easing would revive economic growth and support demand for oil, for example.

Brent crude settled up $1.92 at $114.57 a barrel, while U.S. crude gained $1.85 to settle at $96.47 a barrel.

U.S. Treasuries yields fell to their lowest levels in three weeks as Bernanke's remarks about the economy raised expectations among bond investors for further stimulus.

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was up 23/32 in price to yield 1.5501 percent.

Gold surged in heavy trading to a five-month high after Bernanke's speech.

Spot gold rose 1.8 percent at $1,685.89 an ounce for its biggest one-day gain in two months.

U.S. COMEX gold futures for December delivery settled up $30.50 an ounce at $1,687.60, with the highest trading volume in a month, preliminary Reuters data showed.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: Specs turn short US dollar, 1st time in nearly a year-data

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
Specs turn short US dollar, 1st time in nearly a year-data
Aug 31st 2012, 19:53

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Fri Aug 31, 2012 3:53pm EDT

  NEW YORK, Aug 31 (Reuters) - Currency speculators turned  negative on the U.S. dollar in the latest week for the first in  nearly a year, according to data from the Commodity Futures  Trading Commission released on Friday.      The value of the U.S. dollar's short position totaled $441.  7 million from a net long position of position of $4.57 billion  the previous week. It's the first net short position on the  dollar since the week of Sept. 6, 2011.      To be short a currency is to bet it will fall in value,  while being long is a view its value will rise.       The Reuters calculation for the aggregate U.S. dollar  position is derived from net positions of International Monetary  Market speculators in the yen, euro, British pound, Swiss franc,  Canadian and Australian dollars.  
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Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar slips as Bernanke reinforces easing hopes

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Dollar slips as Bernanke reinforces easing hopes
Aug 31st 2012, 20:05

Fri Aug 31, 2012 4:05pm EDT

  * Euro rallies to eight-week high, ECB meets next week      * Bernanke: Fed to act as needed, labor market a 'grave'  concern        NEW YORK, Aug 31 (Reuters) - The dollar fell to an  eight-week low against the euro and two-week low against the yen  on Friday after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said high  unemployment is "a grave concern," reinforcing expectations for  further monetary easing to revive growth.      Bernanke, speaking at the Kansas City Fed's annual symposium  in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, said the U.S. economy faced "daunting"  challenges and that the Fed would act as needed to strengthen  the recovery. But he did not explicitly signal an imminent move.      The dollar had briefly pared losses against the euro and yen  immediately after Bernanke spoke as he disappointed some  investors, who had hoped for a clear signal of near-term easing,  before resuming declines to hit session lows.      "The only thing that sticks out is the 'grave' concern about  the labor market, which is a little stronger than the language  used in the past," said Win Thin, global head of emerging market  strategy at Brown Brother Harriman in New York. "That will make  next week's payrolls report even more important."           The August payrolls report is due next Friday, days before  the next Federal Open Market Committee, which meets on Sept.  12-13. Many analysts reckon there's a strong possibility the Fed  will announce a third round of bond-buying at the meeting.      The euro rose as high as $1.2636 on Reuters data, the  strongest since early July, and was last up 0.6 percent at  $1.2578.      Hopes for near-term action had grown since Fed meeting  minutes last week showed policymakers could act "fairly soon,"  but investors have since pared back expectations that a new  round of bond purchases is coming in September.      "Given the startling impact of Bernanke's speech two years  ago there were some in the market who hoped that he would give  clear guidance of additional QE for the next FOMC meeting which  starts on Wednesday 12 September," said Ken Dickson, investment  director of currencies at Standard Life Investments in   Edinburgh, which manages assets of $256.6 billion." This year,  however, the speech delivered no new news."      "Nevertheless Bernanke makes it very clear that he thinks  that QE is an effective tool and notes that employment has not  recovered in line with the normal pattern seen after each  recession since World War II," Dickson said.         The euro zone common currency also drew support from  month-end flows, Middle East buying and expectations the  European Central Bank will announce clear steps to tackle the  euro zone debt crisis at its policy meeting next week.      The ECB meets next Thursday and hopes of bond-buying have  grown, although investors will likely wait to see whether the  ECB provides enough details before buying euros aggressively.      France's member on the ECB executive board, Benoit Coeure,  appeared to take a softer line than his German colleague on  conditions for the central bank buying sovereign debt, saying on  Friday that simply supporting the EU's rescue funds would  suffice.       German central bank chief Jens Weidmann's reported threat to  resign has piled pressure on ECB President Mario Draghi to  assuage his opposition to a new bond-buying plan.      "Ahead of the ECB meeting next week the market expectation  still seems to be that President Draghi will deliver -- that is,  he will outline a credible plan to save the euro zone next  Thursday," Citigroup wrote to clients.      "We have repeatedly expressed our skepticism that the ECB  would live up to the elevated market expectations. Even if there  is a concrete plan on how to implement the conditional bond  purchases program, important questions will likely remain."      The dollar fell to a session trough of 78.18 yen, the  weakest in more than two weeks. It was last at 78.30, down 0.4  percent on the day.      On the week, the euro rose about 0.5 percent against the  dollar, its third straight week of gains. The dollar fell about  0.5 percent against the yen, it second week of declines.      Currency speculators turned negative on the U.S. dollar in  the latest week for the first in nearly a year, according to  data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission released on  Friday.       The data was collated through to Tuesday, three days before  Bernanke spoke in Wyoming. Data reflecting trading after  Bernanke's speech will be collated next Tuesday and released  next Friday.  
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Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 1-Specs turn short US dollar, 1st time in nearly a year

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
UPDATE 1-Specs turn short US dollar, 1st time in nearly a year
Aug 31st 2012, 20:14

Fri Aug 31, 2012 4:14pm EDT

  NEW YORK, Aug 31 (Reuters) - Currency speculators turned negative on the  U.S. dollar in the latest week for the first time in nearly a year, according to  data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission released on Friday.      The value of the U.S. dollar's short position totaled $441.7 million from a  net long position of position of $4.57 billion the previous week. It's the first  net short position on the dollar since the week of Sept. 6, 2011.      To be short a currency is to bet it will fall in value, while being long is  a view its value will rise.        The Reuters calculation for the aggregate U.S. dollar position is derived  from net positions of International Monetary Market speculators in the yen,  euro, British pound, Swiss franc and Canadian and Australian dollars.      Euro net shorts further declined to 101,561 contracts this week,  while net longs on the yen rose to 21,556 contracts.      Euro sentiment has improved markedly the last few weeks on expectations of  further peripheral bond buying by the European Central Bank in efforts to keep  interest rates in debt-plagued countries lower.       The euro zone's common currency ended the month of August on a positive  note, notching gains of 2.3 percent after losses of 2.8 percent the previous  month.      The U.S. dollar index, on the other hand, closed this month down 1.7  percent following gains of 1.2 percent in July.      Further weighing on the U.S. dollar was an increase in net longs on the  Canadian dollar to 60,936 contracts and a decline in short bets on the  Swiss franc to 11,461 contracts.           JAPAN YEN (Contracts of 12,500,000 yen)  -3,432,484,076.43               8/28/12 week         8/21/12 week     Long          53,571               43,584     Short         32,015               32,413     Net           21,556               11,171         EURO (Contracts of 125,000 euros)  15,950,155,050.00               8/28/12 week         8/21/12 week     Long          45,927               45,986     Short        147,488              169,918     Net         -101,561             -123,932         POUND STERLING (Contracts of 62,500 pounds sterling)  -194,536,800.00               8/28/12 week         8/21/12 week     Long          42,407               45,984     Short         40,439               38,151     Net            1,968                7,833       SWISS FRANC (Contracts of 125,000 Swiss francs)  1,499,188,991.21               8/28/12 week         8/21/12 week     Long          10,684                5,921     Short         22,145               21,583     Net          -11,461              -15,662       CANADA DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 Canadian dollars)  -6,166,363,084.40               8/28/12 week         8/21/12 week     Long          86,639               76,008     Short         25,703               25,141     Net           60,936               50,867       AUSTRALIA DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 Aussie dollars)  -8,097,627,840.00               8/28/12 week         8/21/12 week     Long         124,137              127,500     Short         46,065               40,618     Net           78,072               86,882       MEXICO PESO (Contracts of 500,000 pesos)  -3,588,668,082.52               8/28/12 week         8/21/12 week     Long         104,239              107,140     Short          9,613                9,159     Net           94,626               97,981      NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR (Contracts of 100,000 NZ dollars) -1,144,438,470.00               8/28/12 week         8/21/12 week     Long          18,215               19,835     Short          3,986                3,463     Net           14,229               16,372  
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Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares, euro rise after Bernanke speech

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares, euro rise after Bernanke speech
Aug 31st 2012, 19:03

Fri Aug 31, 2012 3:03pm EDT

* Euro, oil, gold prices climb on hopes of future easing

* Bernanke does not explicitly signal imminent monetary easing

* Bernanke's bearish take on unemployment drops bond yields

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK, Aug 31 (Reuters) - Stocks and the euro rose on Friday after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke kept the door open for future monetary easing, although he offered no clear signal of imminent action that markets had hoped for in a much-anticipated speech.

The euro and European shares rose as signs emerged of progress toward a deal to tackle the euro zone's debt crisis.

The dollar dropped to an eight-week low against the euro and two-week low versus the yen after Bernanke said high unemployment is a "grave concern," remarks that reinforced expectations for further stimulus to revive growth.

Bernanke told central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, that progress in bringing down U.S. unemployment was too slow and that the central bank would act as needed to strengthen the economic recovery.

Investors focused on what he had to say about monetary policy and the stagnation in the U.S. labor market.

Bernanke said the Fed had to weigh the costs and the benefits of further stimulus, but he also downplayed potential risks from unconventional policies. He argued the Fed's asset purchases, known as quantitative easing, had been quite effective at boosting growth and fostering job creation.

"I think when he talks about 'grave concern,' that says it all. Further accommodation is coming, it's just a question of how it manifests itself," said Scott Graham, head of U.S. government bond trading at BMO Capital Markets in Chicago.

The Dow Jones industrial average was up 107.70 points, or 0.83 percent, at 13,108.41. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was up 8.80 points, or 0.63 percent, at 1,408.28. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 20.14 points, or 0.66 percent, at 3,068.85.

In Europe, the FTSEurofirst of top regional shares closed up 0.5 percent at 1,082.93 in thin trade, erasing the previous session's losses and ending the month almost flat.

MSCI's all-country world equity index rose 0.6 percent to 322.32.

"The basic problem for investors at this point in time is that everyone knows the Fed considers the current economic performance to be unacceptable, but is it unacceptable enough for them to act today or tomorrow before the election?" said Cary Leahy, senior managing director at Decision Economics in New York.

"I don't think this speech answers that question," he said.

Bernanke said the Fed would provide additional policy accommodation as needed, a remark seen as a somewhat weaker hint of policy easing than the minutes of the Fed's last policy meeting had delivered.

"The market was looking for him to not throw any cold water on the prospects for QE and he didn't throw any cold water on it," said John Canally, investment strategist at LPL Financial in Boston.

"The timing is a little bit iffy, but he didn't come out of the box saying that there has been substantial and sustainable improvement in the economy. Because he didn't do that, I think it's just a matter of time," Canally said.

The August payrolls report is due next Friday, days before the next meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on Sept. 12-13. Many analysts say there is a strong possibility the Fed will announce a third round of bond-buying at the meeting.

The euro was up 0.6 percent at $1.2576, while the U.S. dollar index was down 0.6 percent at 81.218.

Investors have hoped that more monetary easing would revive economic growth and support demand for oil, for example.

Brent crude was up $1.61 at $114.26 a barrel, while U.S. crude gained $1.85 to settle at $96.47 a barrel.

U.S. Treasuries yields fell to their lowest levels in three weeks.

Treasury prices rose. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was up 16/32 in price to yield 1.5722 percent.

Spot gold prices rose $32.15 to $1,687.60 an ounce.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: Rules to tackle "algo" traders could backfire-study

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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Rules to tackle "algo" traders could backfire-study
Aug 31st 2012, 17:21

By Tommy Wilkes

LONDON | Fri Aug 31, 2012 1:21pm EDT

LONDON Aug 31 (Reuters) - European regulations designed to crack down on so-called high- frequency trading (HFT) could end up reducing the number of buyers and sellers in financial markets rather than boosting it, a UK-government commissioned paper said.

The European Union's draft law MiFID II, a reform of Brussels' earlier Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID), will introduce tougher regulation of financial markets including for HFT.

Speed traders use powerful computers to churn out thousands of trades in fractions of a second to profit from tiny price discrepancies, sparking criticism that they increase market volatility and instability.

The HFT industry hit the headlines in May 2010, when it was blamed for the "flash crash" in the United States, when the stock market plummeted more than 1,000 points, or nearly 10 percent, in a matter of minutes.

The fall was initially caused by one large erroneous trade from a funds firm, but the losses were rapidly magnified when computer-driven high-frequency traders followed the move down.

Among MiFID's more controversial proposals, speed traders who increasingly function as market makers will be forced to post prices to buy and sell at all times, to stop them from pulling out when markets get choppy.

The hope is that this will boost liquidity and support orderly markets, but speed traders say this would put them at an unfair disadvantage.

The Foresight working paper, which brings together some 35 academics from nine countries to examine the MiFID proposals, said the requirement could end up having the reverse effect and reduce liquidity.

NOT CONSISTENT

"Many high-frequency strategies post bids and offers across correlated contracts. A requirement to post a continuous bid- offer spread is not consistent with this strategy and, if binding, could force high-frequency traders out of the business of liquidity provision," it said.

"With upwards of 50 percent of liquidity coming from high- frequency traders, this could be disastrous."

The paper also questioned "notification" policies, which would require all firms engaged in algorithmic trading to provide the regulator with a description of their strategies, trading parameters and key risk controls annually, to stop unsound algorithms from damaging orderly markets.

The Foresight working paper said the proposed policy was too vague, while its implementation would require excessive costs for both firms and regulators.

"It is also doubtful that it would substantially reduce the risk of market instability due to errant algorithmic behaviour, although it may help regulators understand the way the trading strategy should work."

The HFT's trade body reacted positively to the working paper's findings.

"We are encouraged to see such a rational and evidence-based assessment of the benefits of automated trading and we hope that these findings will have a positive impact on the European regulatory debate," FIA EPTA Chairman Remco Lenterman said.

Foresight's final report is due out later this year.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar drops as Bernanke reinforces easing hopes

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Dollar drops as Bernanke reinforces easing hopes
Aug 31st 2012, 17:49

Fri Aug 31, 2012 1:49pm EDT

  * Dollar hits three-month low vs basket of currencies      * Euro rallies to eight-week high, ECB meets next week      * Bernanke: Fed to act as needed, labor market a 'grave'  concern        By Wanfeng Zhou      NEW YORK, Aug 31 (Reuters) - The dollar dropped to an  eight-week low against the euro and two-week low against the yen  on Friday after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said high  unemployment is "a grave concern," reinforcing expectations for  further monetary easing to revive growth.      Bernanke, speaking at the Kansas City Fed's annual symposium  in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, said the U.S. economy faced "daunting"  challenges and that the Fed would act as needed to strengthen  the recovery. But he did not explicitly signal an imminent move.      The dollar had briefly pared losses against the euro and yen  immediately after Bernanke spoke as he disappointed some  investors, who had hoped for a clear signal of near-term easing,  before resuming declines to hit session lows.      "The only thing that sticks out is that the 'grave' concern  about the labor market, which is a little stronger than the  language used in the past," said Win Thin, global head of  emerging market strategy at Brown Brother Harriman in New York.  "That will make next week's payrolls report even more  important."            The August payrolls report is due next Friday, days before  the next Federal Open Market Committee, which meets on Sept.  12-13. Many analysts reckon there's a strong possibility the Fed  will announce a third round of bond-buying at the meeting.      The euro rose as high as $1.2636 on Reuters data, the  strongest since early July. It was last up 0.5 percent at  $1.2567.      Hopes for near-term action had grown since Fed meeting  minutes last week showed policymakers could act "fairly soon,"  but investors have since pared back expectations that a new  round of bond purchases is coming in September.      "Given the startling impact of Bernanke's speech two years  ago there was some in the market who hoped that he would give  clear guidance of additional QE for the next FOMC meeting which  starts on Wednesday 12 September," said Ken Dickson, investment  director of currencies at Standard Life Investments in   Edinburgh, which manages assets $256.6 billion." This year,  however, the speech delivered no new news."      "Nevertheless Bernanke makes it very clear that he thinks  that QE is an effective tool and notes that employment has not  recovered in line with the normal pattern seen after each  recession since World War II," Dickson said.         The euro zone common currency also drew support from  month-end flows, Middle East buying, and expectations the  European Central Bank will announce clear steps to tackle the  euro zone debt crisis at its policy meeting next week.      The ECB meets next Thursday and hopes of bond-buying have  grown, although investors will likely wait to see whether the  ECB provides enough details before buying euros aggressively.      France's member on the ECB executive board, Benoit Coeure,  appeared to take a softer line than his German colleague on  conditions for the central bank buying sovereign debt, saying on  Friday that simply supporting the EU's rescue funds would  suffice.       German central bank chief Jens Weidmann's reported threat to  resign has piled pressure on ECB President Mario Draghi to  assuage his opposition to a new bond-buying plan.      "Ahead of the ECB meeting next week the market expectation  still seems to be that President Draghi will deliver -- that is,  he will outline a credible plan to save the euro zone next  Thursday," Citigroup wrote to clients.       "We have repeatedly expressed our skepticism that the ECB  would live up to the elevated market expectations. Even if there  is a concrete plan on how to implement the conditional bond  purchases program, important questions will likely remain."      The dollar fell to a session trough of 78.18 yen, the  weakest in more than two weeks. It was last at 78.30, down 0.4  percent on the day.      On the week, the euro rose about 0.4 percent against the  dollar, its third straight week of gains. The dollar fell about  0.5 percent against the yen, it second week of declines.  
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Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ strengthens on Bernanke speech, Canada's GDP

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
CANADA FX DEBT-C$ strengthens on Bernanke speech, Canada's GDP
Aug 31st 2012, 16:45

Fri Aug 31, 2012 12:45pm EDT

  * C$ at 0.9862 vs US$, or $1.0140      * Bernanke says Fed to act as needed, mindful of risks      * Canada GDP in second quarter beats forecasts      * Bond prices mixed        By Solarina Ho      TORONTO, Aug 31 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar rose against  the greenback on Friday after data showed the country's economy  grew at a quicker pace than the market had expected in the  second quarter and after U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben  Bernanke said the Fed would take stimulus action as needed.      Bernanke said the U.S. economy faces "daunting" challenges  and that progress in reducing unemployment has been too slow,  but he stopped short of providing a clear signal of further  monetary policy easing by the Fed.       His comments initially drove stocks and the Canadian  currency lower but the tide turned as the market digested the  speech.       "The initial reaction in most financial markets was a little  bit of a disappointment, initially. The risk obviously was that  he ended up having no imminent plans on the table," said Mark  Chandler, head of Canadian fixed income and currency strategy at  Royal Bank of Canada.      "Second read of it had risk appetite come back again. The  Canadian dollar pretty much followed that."       At 12:04 p.m. (1604 GMT), the Canadian dollar was at  C$0.9862 versus the U.S. currency, or $1.0140, stronger than  Thursday's North American session close of C$0.9923, or $1.0078.  It rose as high as C$0.9852, or $1.0150, after Bernanke's  speech.      The Canadian dollar was also firmer against most other major  currencies, including the euro and Australian dollar.      Also helping its rise was data that showed Canada's GDP grew  at an annualized 1.8 percent in the second quarter, exceeding  analysts' estimates.       "A little bit stronger than what the market had looked for.  The underlying details still show pretty much the theme we  expected with respect to some fading domestic demand," said  David Tulk, chief Canada macro strategist, TD Securities.      Overnight index swaps, which trade based on expectations for  the central bank's key policy rate, showed that traders  increased bets on a rate hike in 2013 after the data.       The Canadian dollar got an early-session boost from comments  by European Central Bank member Benoit Coeure that spurred  market expectations that the ECB will intervene to help tackle  the region's three-year-old debt crisis.      Coeure said ECB bond purchases in the sovereign debt market  must be subject to strict conditionality. The comment fueled  hopes the central bank will buy Spanish and Italian government  bonds to reduce the high borrowing costs the two governments are  facing.       The Canadian currency will seek direction from a number of  events heading into September. Next week will see the Quebec  provincial election, a Bank of Canada rate announcement and U.S.  and Canadian employment figures for August.      "(Bernanke) suggested (the situation) was very  data-dependent going forward, so next Friday's payrolls are  obviously the next chief hurdle," Chandler said.      He also pointed to Fed meetings the following week as well  as a German court ruling on the constitutionality of bond buying  in Europe. "So we're set to have more meaningful moves in  financial markets over the next two weeks," Chandler said.       Canadian bond prices were mixed on Friday, with the  two-year bond down 4 Canadian cents to yield 1.147  percent and the benchmark 10-year bond up 5 Canadian  cents to yield 1.765 percent.  
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Reuters: US Dollar Report: Peru's central bank raises reserve requirements

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
Peru's central bank raises reserve requirements
Aug 31st 2012, 16:39

Fri Aug 31, 2012 12:39pm EDT

* Increases local, foreign currency requirement by 0.5 points

* Seeks to put brakes on credit growth and currency's gains

LIMA Aug 31 (Reuters) - Peru's central bank raised reserve requirements on Friday to control a credit boom and discourage inflows of speculative capital as the local currency trades at its strongest level in more than 15 years.

The monetary authority said reserve requirements on bank deposits in sols and foreign currency would rise 0.5 percentage points from Saturday.

It said in a statement that the measure sought to "moderate inflows of foreign capital into the country within a short period and control the rate of growing credit in a context of high foreign liquidity."

Peru's central bank last raised reserve requirements in April and has been intervening regularly in the local currency spot market to control the sol's gains against the dollar.

Abrupt fluctuations in the sol have long concerned officials because about half of Peru's bank deposits are held in dollars and many people and companies earn money in one currency but owe debts in the other.

The central bank has held its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25 percent for 15 straight months.

The 12-month inflation rate will ease to below 3 percent sometime this year, the central bank has said, within its 1 percent to 3 percent target range.

In June the average reserve requirement for the local currency was 16.0 percent and 39.8 percent for foreign currencies.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares, euro rise after Bernanke speech

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares, euro rise after Bernanke speech
Aug 31st 2012, 16:41

Fri Aug 31, 2012 12:41pm EDT

* Bernanke does not explicitly signal imminent monetary easing

* Euro, oil rebound after Nasdaq briefly turns negative

* Gold prices rebound as Treasury prices gain

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK, Aug 31 (Reuters) - Stocks and the euro rose on Friday after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke kept the door open for future monetary easing, although he did not deliver a clear signal of imminent action that markets had hoped for in a much-anticipated speech.

The euro and European shares rose as signs emerged of progress toward a deal to tackle the euro zone's debt crisis.

Bernanke told central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, that progress in bringing down U.S. unemployment was too slow and that the central bank would act as needed to strengthen the economic recovery.

But investors focused on what he had to say about monetary policy and the stagnation in the U.S. labor market, which he described as "of grave concern."

Bernanke said the Fed had to weigh the costs and the benefits of further stimulus, but he also downplayed potential risks from unconventional policies. He argued that the Fed's asset purchases, known as quantitative easing, had been quite effective at boosting economic growth and fostering job creation.

"I think when he talks about 'grave concern,' that says it all. Further accommodation is coming, it's just a question of how it manifests itself," said Scott Graham, head of U.S. government bond trading at BMO Capital Markets in Chicago.

The Dow Jones industrial average was up 75.83 points, or 0.58 percent, at 13,076.54. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was up 5.54 points, or 0.40 percent, at 1,405.02. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 13.04 points, or 0.43 percent, at 3,061.75.

In Europe, the FTSEurofirst of top regional shares closed up 0.5 percent at 1,082.93 in thin trade, erasing the previous session's losses and ending the month almost flat.

MSCI's all-country world equity index rose 0.5 percent to 321.94.

"The basic problem for investors at this point in time is that everyone knows the Fed considers the current economic performance to be unacceptable, but is it unacceptable enough for them to act today or tomorrow before the election?" said Cary Leahy, senior managing director at Decision Economics in New York.

"I don't think this speech answers that question," he said.

Bernanke said the Fed would provide additional policy accommodation as needed, a remark that was a somewhat weaker hint of policy easing than the minutes of the Fed's last policy meeting had delivered.

"The market was looking for him to not throw any cold water on the prospects for QE and he didn't throw any cold water on it," said John Canally, investment strategist at LPL Financial in Boston.

"The timing is a little bit iffy, but he didn't come out of the box saying that there has been substantial and sustainable improvement in the economy. Because he didn't do that, I think it's just a matter of time," Canally said.

The dollar fell to a three-month low against major currencies at one point.

The euro was up 0.5 percent at $1.2562, while the U.S. dollar index was down 0.5 percent at 81.303.

Investors have hoped that more monetary easing would revive economic growth and support demand for oil, for example.

Brent crude was up $1.61 at $114.26 a barrel, while U.S. crude added $1.55 to $96.17 a barrel.

Treasury prices rose. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was up 12/32 in price to yield 1.5858 percent.

Spot gold prices rose $23.35 to $1,678.80 an ounce.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares, euro rise after Bernanke speech

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares, euro rise after Bernanke speech
Aug 31st 2012, 15:45

Fri Aug 31, 2012 11:45am EDT

* Bernanke does not explicitly signal imminent monetary easing

* Euro, oil rebound after Nasdaq briefly turns negative

* Gold prices rebound too as Treasury prices gain

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK, Aug 31 (Reuters) - Stocks and the euro rose on Friday after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke kept the door open for future monetary easing, although he did not deliver a clear signal of imminent action during a highly anticipated speech.

The euro and European shares rose as signs emerged of progress toward a deal to tackle the euro zone's debt crisis.

Bernanke told central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, that progress in bringing down U.S. unemployment was too slow and that the central bank would act as needed to strengthen the economic recovery. But investors focused on what he had to say about monetary policy and the stagnation in the U.S. labor market, which he described as "of grave concern."

Bernanke said the Fed had to weigh the costs as well as the benefits of further stimulus, but he also downplayed potential risks from the unconventional policies. He argued that the Fed's asset purchases had been quite effective at boosting economic growth and fostering job creation.

"I think when he talks about 'grave concern,' that says it all. Further accommodation is coming, it's just a question of how it manifests itself," said Scott Graham, head of U.S. government bond trading at BMO Capital Markets in Chicago.

The Dow Jones industrial average was up 128.09 points, or 0.99 percent, at 13,128.80. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was up 11.22 points, or 0.80 percent, at 1,410.70. The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 27.79 points, or 0.91 percent, at 3,076.51.

"The basic problem for investors at this point in time is that everyone knows the Fed considers the current economic performance to be unacceptable, but is it unacceptable enough for them to act today or tomorrow before the election?" said Cary Leahy, senior managing director at Decision Economics in New York.

"I don't think this speech answers that question," he said.

The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares was up 0.5 percent, clawing back a short dip after Bernanke's speech, at 1,083.32. An index of world stocks was up 0.7 percent at 322.60.

Bernanke said the Fed would provide additional policy accommodation as needed, a remark that was a somewhat weaker hint of policy easing than the minutes of the Fed's last policy meeting had delivered.

"The market was looking for him to not throw any cold water on the prospects for QE and he didn't throw any cold water on it," said John Canally, investment strategist at LPL Financial in Boston.

"The timing is a little bit iffy, but he didn't come out of the box saying that there has been substantial and sustainable improvement in the economy. Because he didn't do that, I think it's just a matter of time," Canally said.

The euro was up 0.8 percent at $1.2600, while the U.S. dollar index was down 0.7 percent at 81.154.

Investors have hoped that more monetary easing would spur economic growth and support demand for oil, for example.

Brent crude was up $1.16 at $113.81 a barrel, while U.S. crude added $1.62 to $96.24 a barrel.

Treasury prices rose. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was up 9/32 in price to yield 1.5977 percent.

Spot gold prices rose $19.16 to $1,674.70 an ounce.

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