Friday, August 31, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 2-Avoid ideology over ECB bond-buying-Nowotny

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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UPDATE 2-Avoid ideology over ECB bond-buying-Nowotny
Aug 31st 2012, 08:04

Fri Aug 31, 2012 4:04am EDT

* Policymaker says bond-buying not matter of ideology

* Says growth expectations for euro zone worsening

* Says complete agreement at ECB on need for price stability

By Michael Shields and Georgina Prodhan

ALPBACH, Austria, Aug 31 (Reuters) - ECB Governing Council member Ewald Nowotny called on Friday for ideological differences over whether the European Central Bank should buy bonds to be put aside given the uncertain state of the euro zone economy.

He said, however, that the ECB should not buy the bonds of struggling debtors such as Italy or Spain without imposing conditions on the countries involved.

Nowotny told Austrian broadcaster ORF that there was a difference between the bank buying bonds directly from governments - which is seen by some, notably Germany, as direct aid to governments - and purchasing them on the secondary market to get yields down.

But he added: "I would warn against making an over-simple or even an ideological discussion about it."

ECB President Mario Draghi is expected to reveal next week the ECB's terms for intervening in the bond market to help ailing euro zone members.

He will have to reconcile an unwilling German Bundesbank to the plan - Germany's Bild reported on Friday that Bundesbank chief Jens Weidmann had considered resigning over the issue - while avoiding conditions that will scupper its effectiveness.

Nowotny sought to play down any differences on the ECB's Governing Council, which groups heads of national central banks.

"There is complete agreement in the ECB Council - and especially between the Austrian National Bank and Bundesbank - in regard to the absolute necessity and primacy of price stability. There can be differences in matters of details but the basic orientation is one that we absolutely share," he said.

"It's sensible that if one does it, that it happens with conditions," he said.

DETERIORATION

In a meeting with reporters late on Thursday, Nowotny painted a bleak picture for the euro zone, which is sliding towards recession.

He refused to reveal the latest ECB forecasts for growth in the euro zone before their official release.

"But I can say this much: there will not be an improvement, but rather a deterioration in expectations," he said, noting the divergence in growth rates between northern and southern members was widening.

"We have to expect negative growth rates, contraction, in practically all the southern countries in 2012, and France roughly stagnation. That means uncertainty is thus growing massively," he said.

"I think it is important in such a sensitive situation that one assumes that one takes every step in monetary or economic policy with great caution."

Nowotny declined to say more about monetary policy ahead of an ECB meeting on Sept. 6.

Nowotny, also head of the Austrian National Bank, confirmed the central bank's forecast that the Austrian economy would grow 0.9 percent in 2012 as stagnation in the second half follows two good quarters earlier in the year.

Inflation was not an issue now, he told journalists.

"In Austria as in all of Europe I see no indication of demand-linked inflation. With these low growth rates it can be ruled out," he said

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