Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Euro, Asian shares steady as Jackson Hole nears

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Euro, Asian shares steady as Jackson Hole nears
Aug 29th 2012, 00:26

Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:26pm EDT

  * MSCI Asia ex-Japan little changed, Nikkei opens up 0.1 pct      * Euro hovers near 7-week high vs US dollar, hits 8-wk peak  vs Aussie      * Upcoming Jackson Hole Fed chairman speech key focus        By Chikako Mogi      TOKYO, Aug 29 (Reuters) - The euro remained firm while Asian  shares steadied on Wednesday as investors awaited U.S. Fed  chairman Ben Bernanke's Friday speech for signs of whether the  bank will opt for more monetary stimulus and a European Central  Bank policy meeting next week.      The euro rose to an eight-week high against the Australian  dollar at A$1.2123 as investors clung to optimism for  Europe taking positive steps to tackle its debt crisis. The euro   traded at $1.2566 on the U.S. dollar, hovering near a  seven-week high of $1.2590 hit last week.        MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan   were little changed, after hitting a three-week  low on Tuesday, and the Nikkei stock average opened up  0.1 percent after closing at its lowest level in two weeks.                  All eyes are fixed on Bernanke's speech on Friday at an  annual Jackson Hole, Wyoming, meeting of central bankers and  economists, which precedes the Fed's Sept. 12-13 policy meeting.  He has used the event in the previous two years to signal the  Fed's easy policy intentions.      Fed policymakers have not agreed at this point to a new  round of stimulus, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard  Fisher told Reuters in a phone interview on Tuesday.      "In terms of further easing, nothing has been decided," said  Fisher, a non-voting member on the Fed this year. "Nothing is  predestined."       Investors have become less certain of getting any policy  hint from Bernanke this week or strong monetary stimulus from  the Fed's meeting next month, as data released over the past  month has generally pointed to a modest U.S. recovery.      Tuesday's Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller housing price index   showed home prices rose for a fifth month in a row in June, but  consumer confidence reached its lowest in nine months in August.  A key jobs data due early in September could still revive  expectations for a powerful easing if numbers were weak.      "We don't believe that Bernanke will pre-commit the Fed at  the JH conference (especially given the important upcoming  Payrolls release on 7 September)," Societe Generale said in a  research note.      "In fact, Bernanke may use the opportunity to highlight the  limitations of what central banks can do. Thus, there is a risk  that markets (especially the equity markets) will react with  disappointment," it added.                         MORE HOPEFUL ON EUROPE      Hopes remain relatively firm for the European Central Bank  to soon unveil measures to ease borrowing stress in struggling  countries such as Spain and Italy.      ECB President Mario Draghi cancelled his appearance at the  Jackson Hole venue due to a heavy workload as he gears up for  the bank's critical policy-setting meeting on Sept. 6, with   markets looking for details of a new bond-buying plan.      Such expectations have helped reduce borrowing costs  especially at the shorter end of the yield curve, offsetting  concerns over Spain's fiscal woes.      Spain's most economically important region, Catalonia, said  it needed a major rescue from Madrid, refuelling fears the  country may soon have to ask for a European rescue package to  reduce its debt costs as the austerity measures, aimed at  slashing the public deficit, push its economy deeper into  recession.       "The euro continued grinding higher as the market likely  continued to square underweight Euro positions ahead of an  imminent European policy response," Barclays Capital analysts  said in a note.      "But policy action does not necessarily translate into more  growth," they said, adding that one risk that remains is  elevated earnings estimates.          Oil prices fell, with U.S. crude down 0.2 percent at  $96.11 a barrel and Brent down 0.2 percent at $112.37.         Oil rose on Tuesday as Hurricane Isaac approached the U.S.  Gulf Coast, forcing companies in the region to close down oil  production platforms and refineries.      Late on Tuesday, Group of Seven finance ministers issued a  statement urging oil-producing countries to raise output to  ensure the market is well supplied, while warning that Western  nations were ready to tap strategic oil reserves to offset  rising prices that could hurt global growth.  
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