Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro declines on Spain woes as its bond yield tops 6 pct

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro declines on Spain woes as its bond yield tops 6 pct
Sep 26th 2012, 19:52

Wed Sep 26, 2012 3:52pm EDT

  * Uncertainty over Spanish bailout request unnerves market      * Bank of Spain warns of significant fall in GDP in Q3      * BOJ says ready for more monetary stimulus, yen steady        NEW YORK, Sept 26 (Reuters) - The euro slipped to a two-week  low against the dollar on Wednesday as Spain's economy weakened  sharply and its 10-year bond yield again topped 6 percent,  increasing worries that the euro zone's debt crisis is  worsening.      The yen managed to hold its ground against the dollar  despite a Bank of Japan official warning that policymakers  "won't hesitate" to launch another bout of monetary stimulus.      But traders, following recent trends, remained focused on  the euro after the Bank of Spain said the economy slowed "at a  significant rate" in the third quarter and protests against  unpopular economic reforms in Madrid turned violent.         The news could push the government to request a bailout,  something Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy told The Wall  Street Journal he might do if Spain's debt-financing costs  stayed too high for too long.       Spain's 10-year bond yield topped 6 percent on  Wednesday for the first time in a week, while the euro   fell to $1.2834, a two-week low. It was last trading at $1.2856,   down 0.3 percent for the day.      In another troubled euro-zone nation, Greek police clashed  with hooded rioters hurling petrol bombs as tens of thousands  took to the streets of Athens on Wednesday in Greece's biggest  anti-austerity protest in more than a year.       "As if insulted by all the attention that Spanish protesters  were getting, Greek citizens held a protest of their own as  well," said Neal Gilbert, market strategist at GFT in Grand  Rapids, Michigan. "All of this uncertainty is causing investors  to head for the exits and scramble for some safe-haven assets,  propping up the U.S. dollar."      Spain's government has so far been reluctant to request aid,  though doing so is a condition for the European Central Bank to  help lower borrowing costs by buying Spanish debt.       Boris Schlossberg, managing director at BK Asset Management,  in New York, said a Spanish bailout may not help the euro much.  If Spain bows to market pressure and asks for help, he said  traders may start to target indebted Italy, which could make the  debt crisis worse. "Then you have massive risks in the euro  zone."      The euro, which has already lost 2.5 percent since last  week's four-month high around $1.3169, could fall as low as  $1.25, he said.       While a report showing single-family U.S. home sales held  near two-year highs last month had no impact on prices, it was  more evidence "that (housing) is at or near a bottom," said Omer  Esiner, chief strategist at Commonwealth Foreign Exchange, in  Washington.            STUBBORN YEN STRENGTH       The euro also fell to a near two-week low against the yen   of 99.69 yen. The risk of unrest in Greece, where the  government faced its first big anti-austerity strike since  taking power in June, also hurt the euro. The euro was last down  0.4 percent at 99.93 yen.       Against the greenback, the yen fell 0.1 percent at 77.72 per  dollar.      Warnings from Bank of Japan board member Takehiro Sato, who   told Reuters policymakers were ready to expand monetary stimulus  further, had little effect on the exchange rate.       Some traders said half-year book closings in Japan could  pull some funds back into the country, putting mild upward  pressure on the yen.      But a sustained rally was unlikely, traders said,  particularly now that the Federal Reserve has committed to  keeping U.S. interest rates at zero for the next three years and   pumping money into the economy until the job market improves.      Traders said they expected the yen to retest the seven-month  high against the dollar hit on Sept. 13, the day the Fed  announced its aggressive easing policy.      Countering that trend, Schlossberg said, will take an  equally aggressive Japanese easing campaign.      "The BOJ has been too cautious," Schlossberg said. "They  need a bigger, open-ended program that really lowers Japanese  yields. Until then, the dollar is simply going to trade on the  yield differential between Treasuries and Japanese government  bonds."  
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