Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ retreats as M&A flows, U.S. fiscal deal eyed

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ retreats as M&A flows, U.S. fiscal deal eyed
Dec 18th 2012, 22:05

Tue Dec 18, 2012 5:05pm EST

  By Solarina Ho      TORONTO, Dec 18 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar softened  against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday as investors continued to  position around the uncertain U.S. fiscal budget negotiations.      The Canadian dollar's weakness was counter to higher equity  markets. It also added to losses by commodity-linked currencies,  which dipped early after the Reserve Bank of Australia said  mining investment had likely peaked.      Global stocks rose to their highest levels since September  on optimism that U.S. lawmakers will reach a deal on the U.S.  fiscal crisis, but investors appeared reluctant to make big  Canadian dollar bets one way or another.       "Some resolution to that in the short term should be  positive equities, which should be positive risk, which should  be positive Canada. So we're waiting to see that. It's a matter  of how much of that is built in," said Darcy Browne, managing  director at Capital Markets Trading, CIBC.      "People were expecting more things out of Canada at the  moment and it's just not showing itself."      The Canadian dollar stood at C$0.9857 versus the  U.S. dollar, or $1.0145, slightly below Monday's North American  close at C$0.9837 versus the U.S. dollar, or $1.0166. Analysts  said the currency remained range-bound, trading between C$0.9832  and C$0.9859 throughout the session.       Currency strategists are also eyeing significant financial  flows expected on the back of several deals between Canadian and  foreign companies.      "Everyone's waiting for this M&A flow to play itself out. It  should be Canada positive," said Browne, but added: "Canada at  these levels is big-picture expensive."       It was weaker across the board against other major  currencies, except the Japanese yen and its fellow  commodities-linked currencies, the Australian and New Zealand  dollars.      Australia's central bank said it decided to cut interest  rates this month rather than wait because it saw further  evidence that the peak in the mining investment boom was near,  while the non-resource sector showed no signs of picking up.         "All the other commodity currencies are also slightly weaker  partially on the RBA's minutes, which highlighted that the  investment boom in the mining industry is likely peaking, as  well as a focus on employment, so that seems to be pulling down  commodity currencies a little bit," said Camilla Sutton, chief  currency strategist at Scotiabank.      Canadian government bond prices were mixed, slipping across  the long end. The two-year bond was flat with a yield  of 1.153 percent, while the benchmark 10-year bond   shed 18 Canadian cents to yield 1.843 percent.  
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