Thursday, December 27, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-US stocks fall 1 pct after Reid 'cliff' remarks; yen down

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-US stocks fall 1 pct after Reid 'cliff' remarks; yen down
Dec 27th 2012, 19:13

Thu Dec 27, 2012 2:13pm EST

  * U.S. stocks down 1 pct after Reid remarks; world stocks  fall      * Oil eases; U.S. bond prices up      * Yen hits 2-year low as monetary easing eyed          By Caroline Valetkevitch      NEW YORK, Dec 27 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell more than 1  percent on Thursday after comments from U.S. Senate Majority  Leader Harry Reid that the United States may be poised to go off  the "fiscal cliff," while the yen hit a two-year low on  expectations of aggressive monetary stimulus.      Democrat Reid criticized Republicans for refusing to go  along with any tax increases as part of a U.S. budget remedy and  said the economy seemed to be heading over the fiscal cliff of  impending tax hikes and spending cuts.       Economists warn that the $600 billion in higher taxes and  spending cuts set to kick in from January could push the world's  largest economy into recession, dragging other countries with  it.      For weeks, markets have been driven by any new information  on the status of the fiscal cliff talks. All three major U.S.  stock indexes fell more than 1 percent after Reid's comments and  world stocks also were driven lower.      On Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average was  down 132.98 points, or 1.01 percent, at 12,981.61. The Standard  & Poor's 500 Index was down 15.23 points, or 1.07  percent, at 1,404.60. The Nasdaq Composite Index was  down 31.96 points, or 1.07 percent, at 2,958.19.      Shares of U.S. retailers fell for a second day following the  Christmas holiday. The Morgan Stanley retail index was  down 1.4 percent while the SPDR S&P Retail Trust lost  1.1 percent.       The MSCI global index was last down 0.4  percent, while European shares ended down 0.04 percent.      Frank Lesh, a futures analyst and broker at Futurepath  Trading in Chicago, said his clients have been delaying trading  due to uncertainty about the negotiations' outcome, making the  year-end period quieter than usual.       "With the added drama in Washington, we have got even more  people sidelined," he said. "No one knows how this turns out or  how the markets are going to react to it."        U.S. President Barack Obama is traveling back to Washington  on Thursday, cutting short his holiday to try to get a budget  deal with Republican lawmakers.                  EURO DIPS, YEN SLUMPS      The dollar rose to 85.92 yen, its highest since  August 2010. It was last up 0.4 percent on the day at 85.91 yen  with option barriers cited at 86 yen and stop-loss buy orders  above 86.10 yen.       Investors accelerated their yen sales after Japanese Prime  Minister Shinzo Abe said his newly formed government would  pursue a bold monetary policy, a flexible fiscal policy and a  growth strategy to encourage private investment.      The yen has fallen roughly 10.5 percent versus the dollar in  2012, its biggest annual drop since 2005. At the same time,  Japan's benchmark Nikkei is now up 22 percent for the year.         "Yen weakness, based on expectations that the new Japanese  government will succeed in driving the dollar to 90 yen with a  combination of more aggressive monetary and fiscal policy, is  offering support to other currencies," said Marc Chandler,  global head of currency strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman in  New York.      The euro traded at $1.3216, down slightly for the day  and below an eight-month high of $1.3308 hit last week.     The euro tends to benefit when U.S. budget negotiations run  smoothly, but when there are snags, investor flows go into the  safe-haven and highly liquid dollar.             U.S. BONDS TRADE HIGHER, OIL EASES      Prices on longer-dated U.S. Treasuries were higher. The bond  market began trimming its decline earlier on data that showed a  bigger-than-expected drop in American consumer confidence in  December, spurring worries about flagging consumer spending  causing a U.S. recession.       Benchmark 10-year Treasuries prices were 12/32  higher in price, yielding 1.7077 percent, compared with being  down by 2/32 before the confidence data and Reid's remarks.      Oil prices eased in choppy trading as the unresolved U.S.  budget left open the possibility that looming mandated tax hikes  and spending cuts could push the economy of the No. 1 oil  consuming nation into recession.      Brent February fell 41 cents to $110.66 a barrel,  while U.S. February crude was down 26 cents at $90.72.  
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