Wednesday, December 5, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ rallies for 2nd day on hawkish Bank of Canada

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ rallies for 2nd day on hawkish Bank of Canada
Dec 5th 2012, 13:14

Wed Dec 5, 2012 8:14am EST

  * C$ firms to C$0.9918 vs US$, or $1.0083      * Bond prices little changed across the curve      * Bank of Canada, global growth hopes lift sentiment        By Claire Sibonney      TORONTO, Dec 5 (Reuters) - The commodity-linked Canadian  dollar hit a more than one-week high against the U.S. unit  Wednesday after the Bank of Canada reiterated it will need to  tighten monetary policy over time, and on signs China's economic  recovery was on track.       Canada's central bank held its overnight lending rate steady  on Tuesday at 1 percent, as expected. The bank has kept the rate  unchanged for more than two years, the longest period of Bank of  Canada inactivity since the early 1950s.      But the bank's unwavering opinion that it may need to hike  interest rates, not cut them, boosted confidence in the  currency, prompting it to outperform most other majors,  including the euro.       "There's an element of catch-up perhaps at play here because  people were obviously a little mindful ahead of the bank  yesterday and the fact that there wasn't any change in stance or  tone I think has just encouraged a little bit of residual CAD  strength to come back in," said Jeremy Stretch, head of FX  strategy at CIBC World Markets in London.      Meanwhile, Chinese Communist Party chief Xi Jinping said the  country will maintain its fine-tuning of economic policies in  2013 to ensure stable economic growth, sparking a broad rally in  equities, commodities and growth-related currencies.          At 8:00 a.m. (1500 GMT), the Canadian dollar stood  at C$0.9918 versus the greenback, or $1.0083, firmer than  Tuesday's North American session close at C$0.9932, or $1.0068.  Earlier, the currency touched C$0.9910, or $1.0091, its  strongest level since Nov. 27.      Stretch said a close stronger than the 100-day moving  average at C$0.9913 could fuel a near-term Canadian dollar rally  to the C$0.9875 area.      Economists and currency strategists polled by Reuters expect  the Canadian dollar to strengthen against its U.S. counterpart  over the next year, with a recovering global economy and a  possible Bank of Canada interest rate increase providing  support.       Over six months, the survey saw the currency strengthening  to C$0.9800, or $1.0204, and holding at that level a year from  now.       However, investors are still on edge as talks between the  White House and Congress to avoid year-end tax hikes and  spending cuts showed little progress.       Canadian bond prices were little changed across the curve.  The two-year bond was off half a Canadian cent to  yield 1.062 percent, and the benchmark 10-year bond   was down 5 Canadian cents to yield 1.700 percent.  
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