Monday, December 3, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil real rallies as central bank intervenes

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil real rallies as central bank intervenes
Dec 3rd 2012, 17:05

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Mon Dec 3, 2012 12:05pm EST

  * Brazil cenbank calls two swap auctions to support real      * Data on China manufacturing revival supports risk appetite      * Brazil real jumps 0.9 pct, Mexico peso gains 0.2 pct        By Walter Brandimarte      RIO DE JANEIRO, Dec 3 (Reuters) - The Brazilian real rallied  over 1 percent on Monday after the central bank acted to prop up  the currency from a 3-1/2-year low, while data showing a Chinese  manufacturing pickup supported  Latin American currencies in  general.      The real  had dropped to 2.1382 per dollar, its  weakest level since early May 2009, when the central bank called  two consecutive auctions to sell traditional currency swaps --  derivative contracts that support the real by emulating the sale  of dollars in the futures market.       The real erased its losses and jumped as much as 1.6 percent  after the auctions, which suggested the central bank was not  comfortable with the currency's fast depreciation pace. It last  traded 0.9 percent stronger at 2.1115 per dollar.      "The central bank's actions suggest the real at 2.10 per  dollar would be a comfortable level to boost exports without  fueling inflation," said a trader with a large Brazilian bank.       Bets on a weaker real greatly increased after data showed  the Brazilian economy grew at half the rate economists expected  in the third quarter. Banks such as JP Morgan recommended  investors reduce their holdings of real.       "A deterioration in the investment perspective -- confidence  has been hit hard by government activism and mediocre growth --  explains a significant part of the revision," JP Morgan analysts  wrote in a report released after the close of the Brazilian  foreign exchange market on Friday.      The bank recommended investors hedge 20 percent of their  exposure to the Brazilian real.      While economists expect the government to favor a weaker  currency to boost exports, the central bank is unlikely to allow  the real to slide too much, too fast. The Brazilian currency  lost 4.7 percent in November, 2.3 percent of that just in the  last week of the month.      "The real had weakened too quickly last week," said Luiz  Fernando Genova, a currency trader with Banco Daycoval in Sao  Paulo. "The central bank doesn't want such fast moves."      Investors' appetite for risk also supported the real and  other Latin American currencies after data showed China's  manufacturing sector expanded in November for the first time  since October 2011.       Gains were capped, however, after data showed U.S.  manufacturing unexpectedly contracted in November.         The Mexican peso gained 0.2 percent while the  Colombian peso <COP=STFX and the Peruvian sol were  little changed. The Chilean peso edged lower 0.1  percent.        Latin American FX prices at 1625 GMT         Currencies                         daily %    YTD %                                       change   change                              Latest              Brazil real                2.1115     0.87   -11.51                                                  Mexico peso               12.9410     0.18     7.95                                                  Argentina peso*            6.4200     0.31   -26.32                                                  Chile peso               481.3000    -0.10     7.90                                                  Colombia peso          1,814.8500     0.01     6.81                                                  Peru sol                   2.5780     0.00     4.62                                                  * Argentine peso's rate between                       brokerages  
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