Thursday, December 6, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil real up for 4th straight day, rates sink

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil real up for 4th straight day, rates sink
Dec 6th 2012, 20:26

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Thu Dec 6, 2012 3:26pm EST

  * Brazil seen further stimulating dollar inflows      * More banks betting Brazil will cut interest rates in 2013      * Brazil real gains 0.8 pct, Mexican peso rises 0.3 pct        By Walter Brandimarte      RIO DE JANEIRO, Dec 6 (Reuters) - Brazil's real gained for a  fourth consecutive session on Thursday while domestic interest  rates plunged on signs that policy-makers became more concerned  about the impact of a weak currency on inflation and investment.      Other key Latin American currencies also rose as investors'  appetite for risk held steady on hopes for progress in U.S.  budget negotiations. The Mexican peso climbed 0.3  percent, while the Chilean peso rose 0.5 percent.      The Brazilian real  gained 0.8 percent to 2.0785  per dollar as investors anticipated dollar inflows will pick up  in the next few weeks as a result of recent government measures  that facilitate foreign corporate borrowing and export  financing.       The real has fallen nearly 2.5 percent this week since the  government began dismantling capital control measures taken  earlier this year, when the real was stronger than 1.8 per  dollar.      The recent actions, combined with media reports saying  policy-makers became more concerned about the outlook for  inflation and private investment, signaled a reversal in  Brazil's currency strategy, which for months consisted in  weakening the real in order to support exporters.         "The government now wants a real stronger than 2.10 to curb  inflation and to make room for additional interest-rate cuts,"  said a trader with a large Brazilian bank in Sao Paulo.      "I believe the recent weakness in the real did not stimulate  exports as expected and, instead, had strong impact on  inflation," the trader added.      Brazil's interest-rate futures fell sharply as a growing  number of bank research departments - including those of  Santander, Barclays and Itau BBA - started betting the central  bank will resume its monetary easing cycle next year.      The interest-rate contract maturing in January 2014   fell 9 basis points to an all-time low of 6.91 percent,  extending a series of declines that started last Friday, when  government data showed Brazil's economy grew at half the pace  expected by economists in the third quarter.            Latin American FX prices at 2005 GMT:         Currencies                 Latest    Daily  YTD pct                                          pct   change                                       change     Brazil real                2.0775     0.87   -10.04                                                  Mexico peso               12.8965     0.28     8.32                                                  Argentina peso*            6.4200     0.31   -26.32                                                  Chile peso               476.9000     0.48     8.89                                                  Colombia peso          1,799.5000     0.68     7.72                                                  Peru sol                   2.5750     0.16     4.74                                                  * Argentine peso's rate between                       brokerages  
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