Tuesday, December 4, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil real up on cenbank measure, Mexican peso firms

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil real up on cenbank measure, Mexican peso firms
Dec 5th 2012, 02:33

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Tue Dec 4, 2012 9:33pm EST

  * Brazil central bank eases export financing rules      * Mexican consumer confidence up in Nov for second month      * Brazil real up 0.17 pct, Mexico peso gains 0.36 pct          By Natalia Cacioli and Jean Arce      SAO PAULO, Dec 4 (Reuters) - Brazil's real edged up after  the central bank acted to ease financing for exporters, a move  that will likely boost dollar inflows to the country.      The Mexican peso gained after data out on Tuesday showed  consumer confidence in Mexico rose for the second month in a row  in November, bolstering bets that the global slowdown is not  weighing too heavily on Latin America's No. 2 economy.      The Brazilian real  erased early losses and  gained 0.17 percent to close at 2.1155 after the central bank  narrowed the scope of a hefty tax levied on exporters that  receive advance payment for the goods they sell abroad, likely  boosting liquidity in the foreign exchange market.       Under the new rules Brazil will eliminate a 6 percent  financial transaction tax (IOF) on prepayments of up to five  years on exports.       The decision came one day after the central bank heavily  intervened in the market - auctioning currency swaps and dollars  on the spot market - to halt a sharp depreciation of the real.         "The market was going too fast in the direction of a weaker  currency. Today's measure comes on the heels of yesterday's  strong intervention, so it is meaningful," said Alfredo  Barbutti, chief economist at BGC Liquidez, a brokerage in Sao  Paulo.      The series of interventions are likely an attempt by the  central bank to smooth out a recent slump in the real, which  lost 4.7 percent in November, still allowing the currency to  gradually weaken.       Members of the Brazilian government have said they want a  weaker currency to help manufacturers lift exports and better  compete against imports, but it is not clear how much the  central bank will allow the real to slide, given inflation  concerns.      The Mexican peso rose 0.36 percent to close at 12.9500 per  dollar, after data showed an index of consumer confidence rose  to 97.0 in November from 96.8 in October.      The peso has gained more than 7 percent against the dollar  so far this year, one of the biggest advances against the  greenback among 152 currencies tracked by Reuters.      But analysts said a $600 billion cocktail of tax increases  and spending cuts looming over the United States - Mexico's  largest trading partner - must be resolved before the peso can  strengthen significantly.        "Definitely, for us to see a stronger trend of appreciation  in the exchange rate, we need to hear more news or get more  clarity on fiscal issues from the United States," said Rafael  Camarena, an economist with financial group Santander.      Optimism for progress in resolving the U.S. "fiscal cliff"  was dented on Tuesday after remarks by President Barack Obama,  who rejected a Republican proposal to resolve the crisis as "out  of balance" and said any deal must include a rise in income tax  rates on the wealthiest Americans.         Latin American FX prices at 02:04 GMT   Currencies                            daily %  year-to-                                          change     ate %                                Latest              change   Brazil real                  2.1155      0.17    -11.68                                                     Mexico peso                 12.9500      0.36      7.87                                                     Argentina peso*              6.4200      0.31    -26.32                                                     Chile peso                 480.7000      0.15      8.03                                                     Colombia peso            1,812.8100      0.14      6.93                                                     Peru sol                     2.5800      0.00      4.53                                                     * Argentine peso's rate between                           brokerages  
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