Friday, December 7, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar gains after U.S. jobs data; euro falls on rate view

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Dollar gains after U.S. jobs data; euro falls on rate view
Dec 7th 2012, 14:40

Fri Dec 7, 2012 9:40am EST

  * U.S. non-farm payrolls rise 146,000 in November      * Euro extends post-ECB fall; Germany cuts growth outlook      * Yen briefly strengthens after Japan earthquake        By Wanfeng Zhou      NEW YORK, Dec 7 (Reuters) - The dollar rose against the euro  and yen on Friday after data showed U.S. employment grew faster  than expected in November, but the less encouraging details  limited gains.      The dollar had soared to session peaks immediately after the  release of the data as the stronger-than-expected headline  number fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve could opt for  a smaller stimulus program next week.      But the momentum faded as traders scrutinized the details.  While nonfarm employment increased by 146,000 jobs last month,  job growth for previous months was revised lower and a drop in  the jobless rate to a near four-year low was because people gave  up the search for work.       "The big takeaway is that the Sandy did not have the impact,   the negative effect that people thought it would have," said  Jacob Oubina, senior U.S. economist at RBC Capital Markets in  New York.      "While this was dramatically better than feared, it also was  not a breakout of the trend," he said. "This should have no  impact on Fed policy and the central bank should remain on  cruise control and continue with the (quantitative easing)  program into the new year."      The Fed begins a two-day meeting on Tuesday in which  policymakers are expected to maintain support for the tentative  U.S. economic recovery by ramping up one bond-buying program to  offset the expiration of another.      "The real question, though, is whether this changes the  Fed's attitude toward more stimulus. It doesn't remove the need  for stimulus but might convince the Fed to opt for a smaller  program," said Kathy Lien, managing director of BK Asset  Management in New York.      Quantitative easing, or QE, is viewed as negative for the  dollar because it equates to printing money, which lowers U.S.  bond yields and diminishes the appeal of holding  dollar-denominated assets.      The euro fell to a session low of $1.2878 on Reuters data,  matching the low set on Nov. 28. It was last down 0.5 percent at  $1.2907.      Adding to pressure on the euro were comments from European  Central Bank policymaker Jozef Makuch, who said the bank may cut  interest rates next year if the euro zone economy does not  improve.       The drop came as Germany's central bank said it expected  Europe's largest economy to grow just 0.4 percent in 2013, and  pointed to risks of a recession as the euro zone debt crisis  takes its toll.       The euro zone common currency had lost 0.8 percent against  the dollar on Thursday after ECB President Mario Draghi said  policymakers had discussed cutting borrowing costs and slashed  growth and inflation forecasts for the euro zone.         The dollar rallied to 82.82 yen on Reuters data,  matching a near eight-month high set on Nov. 22. It was last at  82.67 yen, up 0.3 percent on the day.      The yen briefly rose against the euro and dollar after news  of an earthquake in Japan. A far more powerful earthquake in  March 2011 led to a sharp rise in the yen on expectations  Japanese investors would repatriate funds held abroad back home.  
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