Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks, euro climb after Fed; long bonds slump

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks, euro climb after Fed; long bonds slump
Dec 12th 2012, 21:34

Wed Dec 12, 2012 4:34pm EST

  * Fed makes new rate pledge, pumps more money      * Dollar falls vs euro, higher-yield currencies      * Treasury prices fall sharply      * Gold rises as Fed move bolsters demand for inflation hedge        By Wanfeng Zhou      NEW YORK, Dec 12 (Reuters) - Global shares rose and the euro  jumped against the dollar on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve  ramped up its monetary stimulus and said it would keep benchmark  U.S. interest rates near zero until the jobless rate falls  sharply.      But U.S. stocks ended little changed, giving up most of the  day's gains after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke reiterated that  monetary policy won't be enough to offset damage from the  "fiscal cliff."      Treasury prices fell, with 30-year bonds slumping the most,  as the central bank said it would shift more of its purchases to  the five-year sector in a new easing program. Expectations the  move would boost the economy and support riskier assets such as  stocks also hurt safe-haven government debt.      The Fed, which cut its forecasts for economic growth and  inflation next year, committed to monthly purchases of $45  billion in Treasuries on top of the $40 billion per month in  mortgage-backed bonds it started buying in September, as  expected.          It will likely keep official rates near zero for as long as  unemployment remains above 6.5 percent, inflation is projected  to be no more than 2.5 percent one or two years ahead and  inflation expectations remain contained.      "It's another round of easing. It is good for stocks and  risk more generally," said Quincy Krosby, market strategist at  Prudential Financial in Newark, New Jersey. "And they came out  with an economic data point as a guideline. That's very  important, because it helps the market anticipate an exit  strategy."       The MSCI global stock index advanced 0.3  percent to 337.93. The FTSEurofirst 300 closed up 0.1  percent at 1,139.65.      The Dow Jones industrial average dropped 2.99 points,  or 0.02 percent, to end at 13,245.45. The Standard & Poor's 500  Index gained 0.64 points, or 0.04 percent, to close at  1,428.48. The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 8.49  points, or 0.28 percent, to 3,013.81.      Bernanke "reiterated the fact that monetary policy has its  hands tied as far as addressing the seriousness of going over  the fiscal cliff," said Bucky Hellwig, senior vice president at  BB&T Wealth Management in Birmingham, Alabama.      U.S. House of Representatives Speaker John Boehner said on  Wednesday "serious differences" remain with President Barack  Obama in talks to avert the steep tax hikes and budget cuts set  for the new year.           The euro rose 0.5 percent to $1.3066 after hitting a  session peak of $1.3096 after the Fed announcement.      The euro had jumped sharply minutes before the Fed  announcement. Traders attributed the move to comments from  Silvio Berlusconi, who said he would withdraw as a candidate in  Italy's coming election if outgoing Prime Minister Mario Monti  ran as the head of a "moderate" coalition.       The dollar fell to multi-month lows against higher-yielding  currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars  .      Omer Esiner, chief market analyst at Commonwealth Foreign  Exchange in Washington, said the scope for further dollar losses  may be somewhat limited, given investor concern about the U.S.  fiscal cliff, which could boost the safe-haven dollar.      "Uncertainty about the euro zone, concerns about Italy and  the Japan election this weekend should also limit dollar  losses," Esiner said.      The dollar rose to an eight-month high of 83.29 yen and was  last up 0.8 percent at 83.18 on bets the Bank of Japan  will implement more aggressive monetary easing after the  election on Sunday, which is expected to yield a victory for the  Liberal Democratic Party.       The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was down 14/32 in  price, the yield at 1.704 percent. Thirty-year bonds   dropped 1-3/32 in price to yield 2.897 percent.      The new bond buying replaces the more modest "Operation  Twist" program set to expire at the end of the month. The Fed  will expand purchases to five-year notes from the current  seven-, 10- and 30-year Treasuries.      "They are basically taking out the same amount of duration  that they were in Twist, but they are buying less in the long  end than they had been before," said Ira Jersey, an interest  rate strategist at Credit Suisse in New York.       Oil prices rose. Brent crude futures gained $1.49 to  settle at $109.50 a barrel. U.S. crude rose 98 cents to  settle at $86.77 a barrel.       Spot gold rose to $1,712 an ounce after the Fed  decision bolstered bullion's inflation-hedge appeal.  
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