Friday, February 1, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ flat after U.S. data; ends week higher

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ flat after U.S. data; ends week higher
Feb 1st 2013, 21:36

Fri Feb 1, 2013 4:36pm EST

  * C$ at C$0.9973 to US$, or $1.0027      * Modest U.S. jobs growth give slight boost to C$      * C$ at fresh 13-month low vs euro; highest vs yen since  2010        By Alastair Sharp      TORONTO, Feb 1 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar was little  changed on Friday, but ended the week stronger versus its U.S.  counterpart after U.S. jobs and manufacturing data pointed to  steady recovery in Canada's main trading partner.      The Canadian currency gained 0.9 percent for the week. It  ended January down more than half a percent after the Bank of  Canada said last week that interest rate hikes were less  imminent. That news pushed it to less than equal value with the  greenback for the first time since November.      The less hawkish stance, and any variation on it, is likely  remain a central factor in the Canadian currency's future amid a  global backdrop of activist monetary policy.      "The Canadian dollar is on its own at the moment because of  the Bank of Canada and its change of policy. Everyone is looking  at what each individual central bank is willing to do to affect  the currency," said Darren Richardson, a corporate dealer at  CanadianForex.      U.S. nonfarm payrolls grew modestly in January but gains in  the prior two months were bigger than initially reported,  supporting views the economy of Canada's main trading partner  was on track for a sluggish recovery despite a surprise  contraction in output in the final three months of 2012.       "The only surprise was that there was a large revision  higher, so I would suspect the move in dollar/Canada has been on  that revision higher for the December and November period," said  Camilla Sutton, chief currency strategist at Scotiabank.      Separate reports on Friday showed U.S. factory activity hit  a nine-month high in January as new orders rebounded, while car  and truck sales surged and consumer confidence perked.       Sutton described the jobs report as "mildly positive" for  the Canadian dollar, but said the impact was modest because the  data was unlikely to shift policy at the U.S. Federal Reserve,  which has tied its monetary stance to labor market improvement.      The Canadian dollar ended Friday trade at C$0.9973  to the greenback, or $1.0027, exactly where it finished at  Thursday's North American close.            MIXED ON THE CROSSES      The Canadian currency was mixed against other major  currencies; hitting its strongest level against the Japanese yen   since May 2010 as investors bet the Bank of Japan  will ease monetary policy further; and weakening to a fresh  13-month low of C$1.3709 against the euro as the  single currency recorded broad gains on a positive euro zone  outlook.        It has weakened by more than 5 percent against the surging  euro since early January.       "Euro/Canadian dollar is on a tear at the moment and it  looks like for all the world it's going to trade up to C$1.42,"  said Shaun Osborne, chief currency strategist at TD Securities.      Scotiabank's Sutton said traders' attention will now turn to  a European Central Bank policy meeting next week, where dovish  voices may be heard on the euro's rise, to China data over the  weekend, and to Canada's own employment report at the end of  next week.      She said the Canadian currency would likely test resistance  at C$0.9902 as reallocation away from the currency is somewhat  reversed over the next week, with C$1.01 capping any weakness.      Illustrating a growing disconnect between the Canadian  currency and North American equity markets, the benchmark  Toronto Stock Exchange index gained some 0.7 percent  on Friday and more than 2 percent in January.      The price of a two-year Canadian government bond   slipped 5 Canadian cents to yield 1.189 percent, while the  benchmark 10-year bond fell 44 Canadian cents to  yield 2.039 percent.  
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