Friday, February 1, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Mexican peso gains on strong US manufacturing

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Mexican peso gains on strong US manufacturing
Feb 1st 2013, 21:55

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Fri Feb 1, 2013 4:55pm EST

  * Mexico peso strongest in two weeks, up 0.82 pct      * Brazil real around 1.98/dollar          By Walter Brandimarte and Alexandra Alper      MEXICO CITY, Feb 1 (Reuters) - The Mexican peso rose on  Friday after data revealing a pick-up in U.S. manufacturing  fueled optimism about Latin America's No. 2 economy, while other  Latin American currencies were mostly flat.      Mexico's economy is deeply interwined with its northern  neighbor, and its currency gained 0.82 to trade at  12.6075 after data showed U.S. factory activity hit a nine-month  high in January. The peso was trading at its firmest since Jan.  18.       The strong showing came as central bank meeting minutes  revealed board members disagreed over whether to send a signal  they might cut interest rates if inflation keeps cooling and  growth stalls.       The Mexican peso had fallen more than 1 percent after  reaching a 10-month high in mid-January, when the central bank  warned it could cut the benchmark interest rate, damaging the  appeal of the peso for investors.       The revelation of the division among board members over the  threat may also have contributed to Friday's rally, analysts  said.      "Probably, the market took it to mean the chances of a cut  may be a little lower ... or that the minutes are a little less  'dovish' statement," said Ezequiel Aguirre, a Latin America  strategist at Bank of America in New York.      The Brazilian real  rose 0.05 percent to 1.9875  per dollar as investors slowly pushed the currency higher on the  view that the central bank would tolerate a stronger exchange  rate to fend off inflation pressures.      Citi strategists Kenneth Lam and Douglas Comin wrote in a  research note that there is "some room for the real to rally  further, but 1.95 will probably be the lower end of the range"  that the government will tolerate in the near term.      In the opposite direction, the Chilean peso   weakened 0.04 percent to 471.3 as investors digested central  bank comments about the currency.       The comments, presented in minutes of the central bank's  latest monetary policy meeting, showed no signs of heightened  concern about the Chilean peso's recent gains, said Goldman  Sachs' Senior Economist Alberto Ramos.      "This is consistent with our view that the authorities will  continue to look for signs of currency misalignment and that  intervention in the FX market is not imminent," Ramos wrote in a  note to clients.            Latin American FX prices at 1515 GMT:   Currencies                       Daily pct  YTD pct                                       change   change                                                                           Latest                Brazil real              1.9875       0.05     2.64                                                  Mexico peso             12.6075       0.82     2.04                                                  Chile peso             471.3000      -0.04     1.57                                                  Colombia peso          1776.100      -0.05    -0.57                                 0                Peru sol                 2.5760      -0.04    -0.97                                                  Argentina peso           4.9850      -0.10    -1.45     Argentina peso           7.9000       0.25   -14.18  
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