Monday, February 25, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Mexico peso hits 7-week low, Brazil real dips

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Mexico peso hits 7-week low, Brazil real dips
Feb 25th 2013, 23:58

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Mon Feb 25, 2013 6:58pm EST

  * Brazil yields see volatile trade on central banker  comments      * Brazil real dips 0.33 pct, Mexico peso sheds 0.69 pct          MEXICO CITY, Feb 26 (Reuters) - Mexico's peso slumped to a  seven-week low on Monday and Brazil's real weakened after  elections in Italy revived concerns about Europe's debt crisis,  hitting higher-risk assets around the world.      A huge protest vote by Italian voters enraged by economic  hardship pushed the country toward a congressional deadlock  after voting projections showed no coalition was strong enough  to form a government.       "This has put in doubt the structural reforms needed by  Italy's economy," said Gabriela Siller, an economist at Mexican  brokerage BASE. "Increased risk aversion by investors fed into  higher demand for safe-haven assets."      Since late 2009, global markets have been repeatedly spooked  by concerns that Europe's debt troubles could spark another  global financial crisis.      The Mexican peso shed 0.69 percent to end at 12.7980  per U.S. dollar while the Brazilian real  bid 0.33  percent weaker at 1.9765 per greenback.       Yields on Brazilian interest rate futures saw  volatile trade as investors eye the chance that policymakers  could raise the country's benchmark rate next week from a record  low of 7.25 percent to head off rising inflation.       The market has priced in slightly more than even odds that  the central bank will hold interest rates steady on March 6,  with a less than a 50 percent chance for a 25 basis point hike.         Central Bank President Alexandre Tombini said in a Sunday  interview with The Wall Street Journal that inflation has been  more resilient than policymakers would like it to be.         Tombini reiterated that the central bank sets monetary  policy based upon inflation, not economic growth targets, in  comments that sounded like an effort to allay market concerns  that the bank could tolerate higher inflation rates to help  foster growth in Brazil.      Brazil's central bank last year cut its benchmark rate to a  record low to help support a flagging economy, but inflation has  been rising even as growth remains sluggish.      In a presentation to investors in New York later on Monday,  traders said Tombini did not sound like he was about to raise  interest rates.       Many analysts believe that the central bank will first alter  the language it used in the minutes of its previous monetary  policy meeting, when it promised to keep rates unchanged for a  "prolonged period," before actually hiking the Selic.            Latin American FX prices at 2330 GMT:               Currencies                           Daily  YTD pct                                          pct   change                              Latest   change     Brazil real                1.9765    -0.33     3.21                                                  Mexico peso               12.7980    -0.69     0.52                                                  Chile peso               472.9000     0.11     1.23                                                  Colombia peso           1813.0000    -0.78    -2.59                                                  Peru sol                   2.5830    -0.08    -1.24                                                  Argentina peso             5.0325    -0.05    -2.38     Argentina peso             7.7600     0.52   -12.63  
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