Friday, May 31, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: Ghana scraps fuel subsidy to reduce budget deficit

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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Ghana scraps fuel subsidy to reduce budget deficit
May 31st 2013, 21:32

Fri May 31, 2013 5:32pm EDT

* Ending subsidy aims at narrowing budget deficit

* Plan to scrap last year was delayed

ACCRA May 31 (Reuters) - Ghana has scrapped costly fuel subsidies to help restore fiscal stability after overshooting its budget deficit target by nearly 100 percent last year.

The National Petroleum Authority (NPA) said in a statement on Friday that the decision followed a government directive to achieve full pass-through petroleum products prices in the West African cocoa, gold and oil exporter.

"By this, the government has completely removed subsidies on petrol, gas oil and LPG (liquefied petroleum gas), which form about 95 percent of domestic (petroleum) products, effective 1st June," NPA chief executive Alex Mould told Reuters after the announcement.

The measure will result in an immediate 3 percent hike in petrol and LPG, while diesel fuel will increase 2 percent.

Mould said the policy would be reviewed after two weeks and any fluctuations in international crude oil prices would be passed on to the consumer.

Ghana's economy has been one of the world's fastest growing since oil production started in 2010, but the government has struggled to steady its cedi currency and contain deficit spending.

The 2012 deficit reached 12.1 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), almost double the target of 6.7 percent, due to excess public sector wages, a shortfall in projected tax revenue and rising costs for fuel subsidies.

The cost of subsidies last year reached one billion cedis ($500 million) and was expected to rise to 2.4 billion cedis this year, before the NPA raised prices in February.

Ghana has set a 2013 deficit target of 9 percent of GDP.

Like several other countries in West and Central Africa, Ghana had planned to cut swelling fuel subsidies last year following pressure from the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank, who see them as wasteful and inefficient.

But the measures were delayed ahead of national elections in December which confirmed President John Dramani Mahama in office after the unexpected death in July of his predecessor, John Atta Mills.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Bond yields rise, stocks sink on Fed speculation

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Bond yields rise, stocks sink on Fed speculation
May 31st 2013, 21:30

Fri May 31, 2013 5:30pm EDT

  * Treasuries prices fall further after Midwest factory  report      * Dollar climbs off three-week low      * Wall Street falls amid speculation about Fed's stimulus  program          By Herbert Lash      NEW YORK, May 31 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks sold off and  government bond yields rose on Friday after improved factory  activity in the U.S. Midwest and rising consumer sentiment  increased anxiety about the Federal Reserve's next move.       U.S. Treasury debt prices ended their worst month in nearly  2-1/2 years. On Friday, bond yields retested their highest  levels in more than 13 months, set two days earlier, even though  data signaled inflation remained low because of sluggish growth.      Global equity markets fell amid volatile trading on concerns  that the Fed may ease its stimulus program, a driver of a strong  rally in U.S. stocks and equities elsewhere in the world.      A slide on Wall Street accelerated at day's end, driving the  Dow industrials down more than 200 points. The three major U.S.  stock indexes fell more than 1 percent amid a rebalancing of the  MSCI stock indexes.       "As you sensed the weakening market with drifting lower  underlying bids, I think sellers started to get a little  nervous, and you started to see different areas of the market  coming a little more unglued," said Michael James, managing  director of equity trading at Wedbush Securities, in Los  Angeles.      The S&P 500 posted consecutive weekly losses for the first  time since November as investors took some money off the table  after a rally that has pushed the benchmark index up 14.3  percent - the best first five months of a year since 1997.      The S&P 500 ended May up 2.1 percent, its seventh straight  month of gains and its longest streak of monthly gains since  2009.       "Traders were going into the end of month long, and traders  were going to be sellers at the end of the day, regardless,"  James said.      The Dow Jones industrial average slid 208.96 points,  or 1.36 percent, to close at 15,115.57. The Standard & Poor's  500 Index dropped 23.67 points, or 1.43 percent, to  finish at 1,630.74. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell  35.38 points, or 1.01 percent, to end at 3,455.91.           The dollar advanced after data showed Midwestern factory  activity regaining speed, but U.S. consumer spending fell in  April for the first time in almost a year and already low  inflation declined further.      While the factory data added fuel to growing speculation  that the Fed may begin to taper asset purchases, the U.S.  central bank's favorite gauge of inflation showed price  increases well under its target rate, making a pullback less  likely any time soon.      U.S. and German government debt prices reversed course and  fell after the Institute for Supply Management-Chicago business  barometer jumped to 58.7 from 49 in April, handily beating  economists' expectations for a reading of 50.       The dollar rose against several key currencies and posted  its eighth straight month of gains against the yen.      Investors and traders are grappling with whether the Fed,  looking at a stronger economy, will choose to end its  bond-buying program as stocks and housing prices surge.      "If you get the hint or the idea that they're going to start  to trim purchases, then this is the volatility that's going to  be created around it," said Sean Murphy, a Treasuries trader at  Societe Generale in New York.      A Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan survey that showed  greater optimism over the economic outlook and personal finances  pushed U.S. consumer sentiment to its highest level in nearly  six years in May - and initially helped stocks.      A measure of global equities, MSCI's all-country world  equity index, fell 1.18 percent.      The bond market recovered in a late surge of buying, pushing  the price of the 30-year bond slightly higher for the day.      The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell  3/32 in price to yield 2.13 percent, after the yield earlier  traded as low as 2.066 percent.      German Bund futures also retreated in rocky trade  to end the session almost flat, down 2 ticks at 143.71.      In Europe, the FTSEurofirst 300 index leading  regional shares finished 0.92 percent lower at 1,216.17.       The index rose 1.6 percent in May to record the best monthly  winning streak in its 16-year history.      The euro fell to a session low of $1.2945 and was  last at $1.2994, down 0.41 percent for the day.      The dollar rose 0.33 percent to 100.39 yen.      U.S. oil prices fell below $93 a barrel, extending losses  after weak consumer spending data. Members of the Organization  of Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed to leave their output  target unchanged, as expected, with little impact on markets as  a result.      Brent oil fell $1.80 to settle at $100.39 a barrel.  For the month of May, Brent crude slid 1.9 percent. U.S. crude  oil dropped $1.64 to settle at $91.97 a barrel. For the  month of May, U.S. crude declined 1.6 percent.  
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Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 1-RBS gives up fight, will hand over Libor documents to Canada

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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UPDATE 1-RBS gives up fight, will hand over Libor documents to Canada
May 31st 2013, 21:41

Fri May 31, 2013 5:41pm EDT

OTTAWA May 31 (Reuters) - The Royal Bank of Scotland Group has agreed to hand over documents demanded by Canada in its probe into whether the bank was involved in a global interest rate-rigging scandal, Canada's Competition Bureau said on Friday.

The move marked a reversal for RBS, which had launched a legal challenge against the bureau's demand for internal documents. The Competition Bureau is trying to determine whether RBS and several other banks sought to manipulate the London Interbank Offered Rate (Libor).

The bank's decision to hand over the documents "comes approximately 18 months after the launch of the (RBS) challenge and will allow the bureau to move forward with its investigation of alleged collusive conduct into the setting of Yen Libor rates," the bureau stated.

RBS now has until June 28 to produce the documents.

More than a dozen banks are under investigation by authorities in Europe, Japan, the United States and Canada over suspected Libor rate rigging between 2007 and 2010. Officials are considering reforms to safeguard the integrity of Libor, which is used in financial contracts worth hundreds of trillions of dollars globally.

RBS has repeatedly said it was cooperating fully with the Canadian investigators and that it only challenged their methods for obtaining information due to confidentiality concerns, but was willing to find alternative ways of turning over the documents.

RBS did not immediately say why it abandoned its legal challenge.

"RBS continues to cooperate with the Competition Bureau in this matter," said RBS spokesman Ed Canaday on Friday after the announcement.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 3-Brazil real hits 4-year low, interest-rate futures rally

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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UPDATE 3-Brazil real hits 4-year low, interest-rate futures rally
May 31st 2013, 20:41

Fri May 31, 2013 4:41pm EDT

* Brazil real slumps on risk aversion, cenbank intervenes

* Selic increase by 50 bps sends rate futures rallying

* Markets see turning point in fight against inflation

By Walter Brandimarte

RIO DE JANEIRO, May 31 (Reuters) - The Brazilian real closed at a four-year low on Friday despite central bank efforts to support the currency, while interest-rate futures rallied after policymakers raised the benchmark Selic rate by more than investors expected.

The real ended at 2.1412 per dollar, its weakest level since May 2009, even after the central bank stepped up its campaign against inflation, a move that potentially increases the appeal of Brazilian fixed-income assets.

Currency losses were triggered by a combination of global risk aversion related to a possible withdrawal of U.S. stimulus measures and speculation by local investors about policymakers' tolerance to a weaker currency.

Not even a central bank intervention earlier on Friday was able to prop up the currency. The bank sold currency swaps, derivative contracts designed to strengthen the real, but the auction only temporarily cushioned the real's decline.

A weaker currency is a headache for the central bank as it could add to inflation by making imported goods more expensive. A sharp depreciation of the real could also increase currency risks to companies exposed to exchange rate fluctuations.

For now, however, government officials might just be giving some time for investors to digest a series of market developments domestically and abroad.

In an interview with Reuters, a government source said policymakers "have to wait and see what is going to happen" to the U.S. bond-buying program, which for years has provided a steady source of dollars seeking higher returns in emerging markets.

A higher-than-expected increase in Brazil's Selic rate also "tends to mitigate" the depreciation of the real, the source said.

"It's still early to say at which level the central bank wants the real to trade, especially after (finance minister Guido) Mantega said a weaker currency is good for exporters, which caused all that speculation," said Glauber Romano, a trader with Intercam brokerage in Sao Paulo.

"But the central bank is already signaling it won't allow the real to weaken much further," Romano added.

INTEREST-RATE FUTURES RALLY

Brazilian interest-rate futures rallied, however, after the central bank's decision to speed up the pace of monetary tightening was seen as a turning point in the bank's fight against inflation.

Brazil's central bank on Wednesday evening lifted the Selic by 50 basis points to 8.0 percent in a unanimous decision announced hours before the start of a national holiday on Thursday, which shut financial markets.

Ahead of the announcement of the decision, many economists and investors had bet policymakers would keep raising borrowing costs at a more modest pace as economic activity falters.

"The acceleration in the rate hike pace and a unanimous decision shows a surprising resolve of the central bank to renew focus on inflation," Siobhan Morden, head of Latin America strategy at Jefferies and Co, wrote in a research note.

While yields paid on short-dated interest rate contracts are surely going to rally, the real question is whether investors will continue to ask for more inflation premium in the longer-dated contracts, Morden said.

So far on Friday, the shape of Brazil's domestic yield curve remained little changed, with the most liquid contracts rising in block.

Interest-rate contracts maturing in January 2014, one of the most traded, jumped 36 basis points to 8.42. Longer-dated contracts expiring in January 2017 also rose 36 basis points, to 9.74 percent.

Brazil's yield curve now prices in at least another Selic hike of 50 basis points in July, according to Reuters' calculations. Some analysts said an additional and final rate hike of 25 or 50 basis points could also be on tap.

That is a sign that investors expect policymakers to aggressively fight inflation even after key GDP data on Wednesday showed Brazil's economy expanded 0.6 percent in the first quarter, less than the 0.9 percent forecast by economists.

Responding to concerns rate hikes could hurt growth, central bank chief Alexandre Tombini on Thursday said in a TV interview the central bank's move will increase investors' "confidence in the pillars of the Brazilian economy," helping in the economic recovery.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar firms, bolstered by strong U.S. economic data

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Dollar firms, bolstered by strong U.S. economic data
May 31st 2013, 20:32

Fri May 31, 2013 4:32pm EDT

  * U.S. consumer sentiment strongest in nearly six years      * Euro hurt by weak data, NZ dollar falls to nine-month low      * Focus now on next week's U.S. nonfarm payrolls report        By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss      NEW YORK, May 31 (Reuters) - The dollar firmed on Friday to  post an eighth straight month of gains against the yen as upbeat  U.S. economic data reinforced the view that the Federal Reserve  could pare back its monetary stimulus sooner than expected.      The euro, meanwhile, fell against the dollar and yen, hurt  by euro zone data showing record high unemployment and low  inflation.       In contrast, U.S. consumer sentiment rose to its highest in  nearly six years in May while business activity in the Midwest  picked up this month after contracting in April. The  stronger-than-expected data offset an earlier report showing  subdued inflation and a drop in consumer spending.         "The dollar is well bid today because of the U.S. data,  which corroborates expectations that the Fed may have to taper  its quantitative easing program soon," said Greg Moore, currency  strategist at TD Securities in Toronto.      Moore said TD's house view is that the Fed would begin to   reduce its asset purchases around the fourth quarter of this  year.      In late trading, the dollar index, which measures the  dollar's value against a basket of six major currencies, rose  0.3 percent to 83.272, notching gains of about 1.8 percent in  May, the best monthly performance since February.      Data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission released  on Friday showed currency speculators increased U.S. dollar bets  for a fourth straight week, lifting them to nearly $44 billion  this week, the highest since at least June 2008.       The dollar fell 0.3 percent to 100.39 yen, recovering  a bit from a session low of 100.23 yen, its weakest since May 9.  Traders cited strong support at the psychologically important  100-yen level.      Analysts said the yen could rebound further in the short  term as increasing volatility in equity markets prompts traders  to buy back the safe-haven Japanese currency. But the trend for  yen weakness remains intact amid expectations for aggressive  monetary easing by the Bank of Japan.      The dollar, which rose 3.2 percent in May versus the yen,  has been up every month since September and has jumped almost 30  percent during that period, the biggest eight-month gain since  the end of the gold standard in the early 1970s.           Next week should be critical for the forex market as  investors begin to shift their attention to the U.S. nonfarm  payrolls report for May. The Fed has said it will continue to  buy assets until it sees substantial improvement in the outlook  for the U.S. labor market.      "Increasingly, the markets are looking towards next Friday's  nonfarm (payrolls) as potentially being the piece of data that  does push the Fed towards tapering," said Camilla Sutton, chief  currency strategist at Scotia Bank in Toronto.      The euro fell 0.4 percent to $1.2996, off Thursday's  three-week high of $1.3061, according to Reuters data. On the  month, the euro lost about 1.3 percent, its worst showing since  February. Against the yen, the euro was down 0.7 percent at  130.52 yen.      Unemployment in the 17-nation euro zone rose to 12.2 percent  in April, marking a record since the data series began in 1995.  Consumer price inflation was 1.4 percent in May, far below the  European Central Bank's target of just below 2 percent.         The data raised concerns ECB policymakers may ease monetary  policy further, although a Reuters poll showed most economists  think the ECB will stay on hold.       Commodity-linked currencies also fell sharply, with the New  Zealand dollar dropping to a nine-month low of US$0.7935.  It was last down 1.5 percent at US$0.7952. The Australian dollar   fell 0.8 percent to US$0.9576.      Central bank policy meetings would also be in focus next  week. The Bank of England, the ECB and the Reserve Bank of  Australia are all scheduled to convene and most analysts expect   them all to keep their policy rates unchanged.      UBS analysts said, however, that if there is any central  bank that may just surprise with a rate cut, it would have to be  the RBA.  
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Reuters: US Dollar Report: Digital currency firms rush to adopt anti-money laundering rules

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Digital currency firms rush to adopt anti-money laundering rules
May 31st 2013, 20:41

By Emily Flitter and Brett Wolf

NEW YORK/ST. LOUIS | Fri May 31, 2013 4:41pm EDT

NEW YORK/ST. LOUIS May 31 (Reuters) - These are unsettling times for digital currency businesses and the venture capitalists backing them.

On Tuesday, the authorities in Spain, Costa Rica and New York arrested five people at the digital currency firm Liberty Reserve, including its founder Arthur Budovsky, and seized related bank accounts and Internet domains.

It was a further wake-up call for those involved in digital currencies, such as the most prominent, Bitcoin, that they need to comply with anti-money laundering rules or risk facing a crackdown.

They had already been put on notice - first by an April 2012 report from the U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation that explained how Bitcoin was being used by criminals to secretly transfer money around the world, and then this March by the U.S. Treasury Department. Its anti-money laundering arm, the Financial Crimes and Enforcement Network (FinCEN) stated that digital currency firms needed to comply with the same anti-money laundering rules as other financial institutions, including monitoring customers and reporting suspicious activity to the government.

As regulators tighten the screws, businesses built around digital currencies are trying to satisfy new monitoring requirements without letting public enthusiasm for the technology-based concept slip away.

"I think the whole ecosystem is maturing very quickly and we have young companies that are just beginning to understand how to navigate the regulatory issues," said David A. Johnston, co-founder and executive director of BitAngels, a new venture which only this week announced it had raised $6.7 million to fund startups tied to Bitcoin.

Digital currency is electronic money that can be passed between individuals without the use of the traditional banking or money transfer system.

Different currencies are structured in different ways. Some, like Liberty Reserve's "LR" digital currency, use units of value that are tied to an existing hard currency, such as the U.S. dollar. By contrast, the value of Bitcoin, the best known virtual currency, fluctuates according to supply and demand.

Bitcoin, which has been embraced by a number of venture capitalists in Silicon Valley, exists through an open-source software program that any users with enough skill and computing power can access. It is not managed by a single company or government. Users can buy bitcoins through exchanges that convert real money into the virtual currency.

Liberty Reserve, which was closed last week, however, was a firm that U.S. prosecutors said created a platform that enabled criminal gangs to launder more than $6 billion.

Bitcoin's supporters cite a host of legitimate reasons for using a digital currency: It can be transferred using less infrastructure than traditional currencies, and with fewer service fees. A virtual currency could also be safer than using a regular credit card for online purchases, because it is not attached directly to any bank account.

But law enforcement officials see Bitcoin as another vehicle for criminals to anonymously transfer money.

FinCEN's statement in March set off a rush inside the community to learn about anti-money laundering rules and figure out how to comply with them. At the 2013 Bitcoin Conference in San Jose, California two weeks ago, discussion focused heavily on regulatory compliance - its intricacies and its costs.

"That was a big theme of the whole conference," said Jerry Brito, director of the technology policy program at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. Brito said businesses exchanging Bitcoins were coming to terms with the fact that they would now need to get licensed as money transmitters in 48 U.S. states, a process requiring in-person interviews in each state, thanks to FinCEN's guidance.

"Everything I'm telling you, I've learned over the past couple of months as I'm racing to learn," said Brito, who attended the Bitcoin Conference in San Jose. "I think that's what the Bitcoin community is doing too."

Charlie Shrem, chief executive of Bitcoin transfer firm BitInstant.com, told the conference about the importance of complying with the new rules.

"You have to know your customer," he told the audience, according to a video posted on the Internet. "Whether or not you agree with the laws or not, you've got to follow them."

The FinCEN statement means companies that exchange Bitcoins for hard currency must now hire full-time compliance officers to verify the identities of users, especially those looking to transfer Bitcoins out of the digital world and back into dollars or other hard currencies. Estimates vary on how much it costs to get compliant, but licensing and registration fees alone can total in the tens of thousands of dollars, an added heavy cost for small startup businesses.

Brito said the Bitcoin community is also trying to increase its contact with law enforcement and regulators. The Bitcoin Foundation, a Bitcoin advocacy group made up of Bitcoin-related business owners and software programmers, is looking to hire a full-time lawyer based in Washington to make its case to regulators and lawmakers.

Some members of the community are declining to discuss regulation. Jon Matonis, the Bitcoin Foundation's secretary who is identified on the group's website as one of two spokesmen for press inquiries, told Reuters: "I am electing to take a brief break from commenting on issues such as this."

U.S. law enforcement officials are looking first and foremost to unmask criminals operating in cyberspace and arrest them, wherever they may be in the world, and they're looking to digital currency businesses to help.

Ed Lowery, special agent in charge of the U.S. Secret Service's criminal investigative division, said the agency is working "aggressively with our international partners" to pursue cyber crime and the companies that permit the misuse of digital currencies. He declined to comment specifically on Bitcoin.

Liberty Reserve has not been the only recent target for the authorities. The Tokyo-based firm Mt. Gox, the world's largest exchanger of U.S. dollars with Bitcoins, had two accounts held by its U.S. subsidiary seized this month by agents from the Department of Homeland Security on the grounds that it was operating a money transmitting business without a license.

Mt. Gox on Thursday announced it would require all of its users accounts to be verified before allowing them to perform any more deposits or withdrawals. Its founder declined to comment for this story.

Other companies are simply trying to avoid having to comply with U.S. rules by keeping away from the country. Following FinCEN's statement, two digital currency firms structured similarly to Liberty Reserve - Russia-based WebMoney and Panama-based Perfect Money - restricted access to their services from inside the United States.

Vyacheslav Andryushchenko, a spokesman for WebMoney in Russia, said each of the company's 20 million users had to agree to prohibitions against money laundering and illegal trade when signing up for an account. Users who violate the rules are cut off, and all actions inside WebMoney's system are recorded, the spokesman said. A user is blocked if there are any suspicions of anything illegal. In addition, the less personal information the user provides, the fewer services are available to him or her, the spokesman said.

Several messages on the listed number on Perfect Money's website were not returned. The company's address is an empty suite in an office block on the northwestern side of Panama City. A secretary in a neighboring office said she had never seen anyone go in or out.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Bond yields rise, dollar climbs on U.S. data; stocks down

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Bond yields rise, dollar climbs on U.S. data; stocks down
May 31st 2013, 19:50

Fri May 31, 2013 3:50pm EDT

  * Treasuries prices fall further after Midwest factory  report      * Dollar climbs off three-week low      * Wall Street falls amid speculation about Fed's stimulus  program          By Herbert Lash      NEW YORK, May 31 (Reuters) - Government bond yields rose and  the dollar advanced on Friday after improved factory activity in  the U.S. Midwest and rising consumer sentiment sparked a move  out of safe-haven assets amid rising jitters about the Federal  Reserve's next move.       Global equity markets fell amid volatile trading on concerns  the Fed may ease its stimulus program, a prime driver behind a  strong rally in U.S. equities and stocks elsewhere in the world.      The benchmark S&P 500 index had gained about 3 percent in  May and about 15 percent so far this year after repeatedly  scaling record highs.      The dollar advanced after data showed Midwestern factory  activity regaining speed, but U.S. consumer spending fell in  April for the first time in almost a year and already low  inflation declined further.      While the factory data added fuel to growing speculation the  Fed may begin to taper asset purchases, the U.S. central bank's  favorite gauge of inflation showed price rises well under its  target rate, making a pullback less likely any time soon.      U.S. and German government debt prices reversed course and  fell after the Institute for Supply Management-Chicago business  barometer jumped to 58.7 from 49 in April, handily beating  economists' expectations for a reading of 50.       The dollar rose against several key currencies and was  headed for its eighth straight month of gains against the yen.      Investors and traders are grappling with whether the Fed,  looking at a stronger economy, will choose to end its program as  stocks and housing prices surge.      "If you get the hint or the idea that they're going to start  to trim purchases then this is the volatility that's going to be  created around it," said Sean Murphy, a Treasuries trader at  Societe Generale in New York.      The Dow Jones industrial average was down 125.49  points, or 0.82 percent, at 15,199.04. The Standard & Poor's 500  Index  was down 14.78 points, or 0.89 percent, at  1,639.63. The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 19.09  points, or 0.55 percent, at 3,472.21.      A Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan survey that showed  greater optimism over the economic outlook and personal finances  pushed U.S. consumer sentiment to its highest level in nearly  six years in May initially helped stocks.      A measure of global equities, MSCI's all-country world  equity index, fell 0.89 percent.      The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell  10/32 in price to yield 2.1532 percent.      German Bund futures also retreated in rocky trade  to end the session almost flat, down 2 ticks at 143.71.      In Europe, the FTSEurofirst 300 index leading  regional shares finished 0.92 percent lower at 1,216.17.       The index rose 1.6 percent in May to record the best monthly  winning streak in its 16-year history.      The euro fell to a session low of $1.2945 and was  last at $1.2993, down 0.42 percent on the day.      The dollar rose 0.23 percent to 100.49 yen.      U.S. oil prices fell below $93 a barrel, extending losses  after weak consumer spending data. Members of the Organization  of Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed to leave their output  target unchanged, as expected, with little impact on markets as  a result.      Brent oil settled down $1.80 at $100.39 a barrel,  and fell 1.93 percent during the month. U.S. crude oil   fell $1.64 to settle at $91.97 a barrel, or 1.6 percent lower  for the month of May.  
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Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ weakens as U.S. data aids greenback rise

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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ weakens as U.S. data aids greenback rise
May 31st 2013, 20:59

Fri May 31, 2013 4:59pm EDT

* C$ at C$1.0368 to US$, or 96.45 U.S. cents

* Loonie slips 0.4 pct this week, down 2.9 pct in May

* Q1 GDP growth beats expectations, BOC forecast

* C$ hits strongest level in two years vs Aussie

By Alastair Sharp

TORONTO, May 31 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar ended weaker against the U.S. dollar on Friday, as supportive data showing the Canadian economy grew at a faster-than-expected pace in the first quarter was more than offest by upbeat U.S. data that boosted the greenback.

The loonie, as Canada's currency is colloquially known, closed at C$1.0368 to the greenback, or 96.45 U.S. cents, much lower that the C$1.0300 level at Thursday's North American close.

The Canadian currency slipped 0.4 percent this week and ended the month 2.9 percent lower than it started it.

The currency got an early boost from the Canadian GDP data, but that faded on the release of similarly strong U.S. numbers.

"We're not used to it moving so much, especially being so volatile, up and down a few times today. It was like the good old days," said Steve Butler, a director of foreign exchange trading at Scotiabank.

Butler said the Canadian currency is more likely to test further weakness around C$1.05 than to return to near equal value with the U.S. dollar in the next few weeks.

In the morning, data showed stronger exports helped rouse the Canadian economy from its sluggish end to 2012, with annualized economic growth of 2.5 percent exceeding the median projection of analysts in a Reuters poll and easily beating the central bank's lowered forecast.

But the fine print of the GDP was less impressive than the headline, and currency traders later sold off the loonie, a move exacerbated by improved factory activity in the U.S. Midwest boosting the greenback.

The loonie had better luck against other commodity-linked peers, touching its strongest level against the Australian dollar in more than two years.

It has had a rough time this month, falling as traders assume Canada's economy would lag its southern neighbor's growth and as expectations grew for a slowdown in the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary stimulus efforts.

That thesis has led bond yields on U.S. government debt to spike sharply, helping the greenback gain over the loonie by attracting global capital flows.

Prices for Canadian government debt were mixed on Friday. The two-year bond slipped less than a Canadian cent to yield 1.082 percent, while the benchmark 10-year bond added 3 Canadian cents to yield 2.064 percent.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: RBS gives up fight on giving Canada Libor documents

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RBS gives up fight on giving Canada Libor documents
May 31st 2013, 20:26

OTTAWA | Fri May 31, 2013 4:26pm EDT

OTTAWA May 31 (Reuters) - The Royal Bank of Scotland Group abandoned on Friday its high-profile fight against turning over to Canada a load of documents for an investigation into whether it helped manipulate global interest rates, Canada's Competition Bureau said.

It marked the end of a public battle between RBS and the Competition Bureau, which is investigating whether the British bank and several others colluded in settling the yen London interbank offered rate (yen Libor).

"The abandonment comes approximately 18 months after the launch of the challenge and will allow the bureau to move forward with its investigation of alleged collusive conduct into the setting of Yen Libor rates," the bureau stated.

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Thursday, May 30, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 1-IMF's Lipton: yen slightly below levels consistent with fundamentals

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UPDATE 1-IMF's Lipton: yen slightly below levels consistent with fundamentals
May 31st 2013, 04:58

Fri May 31, 2013 12:58am EDT

* IMF changes view on yen after appreciation from last year

* IMF supports BOJ easing, says structural reforms important

By Stanley White and Tetsushi Kajimoto

TOKYO, May 31 (Reuters) - The yen's depreciation since last year has left it slightly below a level consistent with Japan's medium- to long-term economic fundamentals. a senior International Monetary Fund official said on Friday.

David Lipton, the first deputy managing director of the IMF, said the yen's current depreciation is not problematic if accompanied by fiscal and structural reforms Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has promised to deliver.

Lipton also said the yen and the current account balance should move to levels consistent with economic fundamentals as fiscal and structural reforms, which are part of a package dubbed "Abenomics," are put in place.

Previously, the IMF had said that the yen was moderately overvalued. The change in tone shows that while the IMF now thinks that yen weakness has gone a little too far, it expects this trend to correct itself over time.

"We appreciate that the attempt to escape deflation has had an effect on the exchange rate and our assessment is right now that leaves the exchange rate moderately below what would be consistent with medium-term norms," Lipton said.

"But our judgement is that given the full 'Abenomics' plan...we would expect to see external balances and the real exchange rate adjust in an appropriate fashion."

Lipton was addressing a news conference after the IMF's annual consultations on Japan's economy and economic policies.

The IMF has said it fully backs "Abenomics," which combines aggressive monetary easing and fiscal stimulus with structural reforms, and has emphasised that the country must pursue steps to fix its public finances and to carry out structural reforms.

Data earlier on Friday showed Japan's factory output picked up in April and deflation abated slightly as a weaker yen and firmer overseas demand boosted growth, boding well Abe's efforts to shake the world's third-largest economy out of nearly two decades of stagnation.

However, with core consumer prices continuing to fall and manufacturers forecasting further weakness ahead, the data also underscored the challenges the Bank of Japan, under new Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, faces in meeting its 2-percent inflation target.

Abe's policies have driven the yen to a 4-1/2 year low against the dollar and boosted Tokyo shares by about 60 percent since November, when his election the following month looked assured.

Last year the IMF showed signs of understanding for Japan's battle with the yen's gains below 80 yen versus the dollar, saying that the currency was moderately overvalued and intervention was an option to ease volatility.

The BOJ unleashed the world's most intense burst of stimulus last month, promising to inject $1.4 trillion into the economy in less than two years to meet its pledge of achieving 2 percent inflation in roughly two years.

The central bank's strategy rests on buying around 7.5 trillion yen of long-term government bonds per month, roughly 70 percent of newly issued government debt.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar near 3-week low vs euro as talk of Fed tapering eases

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FOREX-Dollar near 3-week low vs euro as talk of Fed tapering eases
May 31st 2013, 03:27

Thu May 30, 2013 11:27pm EDT

* U.S. jobless claims, housing data fall short of expectations

* Pullback in expectations that Fed could cut bond buying soon

* Yen off 3-week high on hopes of month-end flows

* Japan data generally positive, Nikkei in focus

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, May 31 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar hovered near a three-week low against the euro on Friday after unexpectedly weak U.S. economic data dampened expectations that the Federal Reserve will reduce its monetary stimulus soon.

While the yen showed little immediate response to a slew of generally positive Japanese economic data, traders were focused on whether the data would help stem a slide in Tokyo shares, which have fallen almost 15 percent since late last week.

The Nikkei average rose 1.6 percent, for now easing worries that further falls could prompt more profit-taking in dollar/yen.

U.S. data showed weekly initial jobless claims unexpectedly rose last week and pending home sales increased less than expected. The U.S. economy grew at a slightly slower pace in the first quarter than initially estimated.

"The market had gone a bit too far in expecting the Fed to taper its bond buying. The dollar may be consolidating for now," said Ayako Sera, senior market economist at Sumitomo Trust Bank.

The euro stood at $1.3041, flat from late U.S. levels but near a three-week high of $1.3062 set on Thursday.

The dollar's index against a basket of six major currencies last stood at 83.051 after hitting a two-week low of 82.955 on Thursday.

The index has an important support at 82.915, a 50 percent retracement of its rally earlier this month to a three-year high of 84.498.

The dollar gained 0.3 percent in early Asian trade to 101.02 yen, as month-end buying by Japanese importers lifted the U.S. currency off a three-week low of 100.46 yen hit on Thursday.

Still, on the month, the dollar looks on course to log its eighth consecutive month of gains versus the yen, the longest such period since 1995-96.

The yen had also come under pressure after sources familiar with the deliberations told Reuters on Thursday that Japan's Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) was considering a more flexible approach to allocations, which could let its investment in domestic stocks grow in rallying markets.

But analysts also noted that any change in the pension fund's investment stance will come in next year at the earliest and will have no immediate impact on the fund's investment flows.

Traders say the yen could gain, possibly beyond 100 per dollar, should Tokyo share prices slip further below their five-week low hit on Thursday.

"When Japanese shares are doing well, that would boost Japanese investors' risk appetite and encourage their foreign bond investments. When stocks are down, there will be more repatriation by the Japanese," said Mitsuru Saito, chief economist at Tokai Tokyo Securities.

Indeed, Japanese investors posted their biggest net selling of foreign bonds in two months last week when Japanese shares started to crumble, data from Japan's Finance Ministry showed on Thursday.

Still many investors stick to the view that the Bank of Japan's massive stimulus will eventually boost shares -- and the dollar/yen -- again.

Japan's economic data pointed to a solid recovery on the whole.

Industrial output beat expectations, rising 1.7 percent in April from the previous month.

The core consumer price index in April fell 0.4 percent from a year earlier, in line with expectations.

But core CPI in Tokyo for May, a leading indicator, rose 0.1 percent, much stronger than economists' average forecast of a 0.2 percent fall. Job availability also improved to the best level since June 2008.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: Major Japan banks' JGB holdings plunge in April - BOJ

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Major Japan banks' JGB holdings plunge in April - BOJ
May 31st 2013, 02:00

TOKYO | Thu May 30, 2013 10:00pm EDT

TOKYO May 31 (Reuters) - The balance of Japanese government bonds held by the country's major banks plunged in April to below 100 trillion yen ($991 billion), Bank of Japan data showed, a sign their selling played a major part in pushing up yields to a one-year high.

The total balance at the end of April stood at 96.27 trillion yen, down 10.8 percent from March and falling below the 100 trillion yen threshold for the first time since June 2011, the data showed.

The benchmark 10-year JGB yield hit a record low of 0.315 percent a day after the BOJ unleashed the world's most intense burst of stimulus on April 4, promising to inject $1.4 trillion into the economy in less than two years to meet its pledge of achieving 2 percent inflation in roughly two years.

But the bond yield has risen since then as the central bank's massive bond purchases jolted markets.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: IMF: weak yen not problematic if reforms follow

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IMF: weak yen not problematic if reforms follow
May 31st 2013, 03:49

TOKYO | Thu May 30, 2013 11:49pm EDT

TOKYO May 31 (Reuters) - The International Monetary Fund said on Friday that it does not see a weak yen as problematic if Japan's monetary easing is aimed at domestic goals and accompanied by comprehensive fiscal and structural reforms.

The Bank of Japan is taking appropriate steps to contain excessive volatility in the government bonds market, the IMF said in a statement following its annual review of Japan's economy and economic policies.

It also said the central bank could achieve its 2 percent inflation target in the near to medium term if fiscal and structural reforms are implemented.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 1-Japan deflation ebbs, output up; BOJ target still elusive

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UPDATE 1-Japan deflation ebbs, output up; BOJ target still elusive
May 31st 2013, 00:45

Thu May 30, 2013 8:45pm EDT

* April core CPI -0.4 pct yr/yr, as expected

* April output +1.7 pct from March vs forecast +0.6 pct

* Manufacturers forecast output weakness

* Aso affirms plan to raise sales tax

By Tetsushi Kajimoto and Kaori Kaneko

TOKYO, May 31 (Reuters) - Japan's factory output picked up in April and deflation abated slightly as a weaker yen and firmer overseas demand boosted growth, boding well for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's efforts to shake the world's third-largest economy out of nearly two decades of stagnation.

But core consumer prices continued to fall and manufacturers forecast further weakness ahead, government data showed on Friday, underscoring the challenges the Bank of Japan, under new Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, faces in meeting its 2-percent inflation target.

"The deflationary trend shows no signs of changing," said Yuichi Kodama, chief economist at Meiji Yasuda Life Insurance in Tokyo. He forecast the economy will continue to recover through the latter part of the fiscal year to March 2014.

"However, expectations for deflation, deeply embedded among the public, are very persistent," Kodama said. "It appears quite difficult for monetary easing implemented by Governor Kuroda to achieve a positive cycle of inflation and economic recovery."

Kuroda's BOJ unleashed the world's most intense burst of stimulus in April, promising to inject $1.4 trillion into the economy in less than two years to meet its pledge of achieving 2 percent inflation in roughly two years.

The move has bolstered Japanese share prices to five-year highs. But the massive scale of the BOJ's buying jolted bond markets and pushed up yields, casting doubt on the effectiveness of its policy aimed at slashing borrowing costs.

Core consumer prices, which include oil but exclude volatile costs for fresh food, fell 0.4 percent from a year earlier, matching the median market forecast. The sixth straight fall was a bit narrower than the 0.5 percent decline in March.

Industrial output rose 1.7 percent in April from March for a fifth consecutive increase, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said, as a pick-up in exports prompts companies to increase production. It marked the longest streak of gains since production rose between March 2009 and April 2010.

The rise beat the market forecast for a 0.6 percent increase and was faster than the 0.9 percent rise in March. Still, in a sign that the gains remain fragile, manufacturers surveyed by the ministry forecast production to be flat in May and fall 1.4 percent in June.

Private data showed that manufacturing expanded in May at the fastest pace in almost a year.

The Markit/JMMA Japan Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index rose to a seasonally adjusted 51.5, the highest since August, from 51.1 in April, staying above the 50 threshold that separates expansion from contraction for a third month.

STRUCTURAL REFORMS KEY

Japan's economy grew a faster-than-expected 0.9 percent in January-March from the previous quarter, as private consumption and the export rebound led a recovery from a slump last year.

Economists expect the recovery to firm up in the coming quarters backed by exports and private consumption. But risks to the outlook remain, including uncertainty in the global economy, underlined recently by a string of weak data from the United States and China, Japan's two biggest export markets.

"Abenomics," which has caused Tokyo shares to soar in recent months and the yen to fall sharply, appears to be showing early success. But the gains have been cast into doubt in the past few weeks as the bond market has become volatile and Tokyo shares have slumped sharply.

The government is under pressure to build on the improved sentiment by undertaking painful structural reforms, such as deregulation, to foster more sustainable growth.

A key test will be whether Abe proceeds with a plan to double the nation's sales tax in stages to 10 percent. Comments from within Abe's ruling party appeared to cast doubt on his resolve, but Finance Minister Taro Aso stuck to his guns on Friday.

Aso told a regular news conference he doesn't see any chance now of postponing the tax increase and that with the move, "we can ensure the path towards restoring Japan's fiscal health."

The OECD said on Wednesday that any delay by Japan's government in repairing public finances would raise the risk of a spike in Japan's long-term yields, as its central bank pursues massive quantitative easing through purchases of government bonds.

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