Tuesday, May 28, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ ticks weaker ahead of Bank of Canada decision

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ ticks weaker ahead of Bank of Canada decision
May 28th 2013, 13:52

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Tue May 28, 2013 9:52am EDT

  * C$ at C$1.0340 to US$, or 96.71 U.S. cents      * Bank of Canada rate decision eyed; move to neutral stance  an off-chance      * Prices of government bonds fall across the curve        By Alastair Sharp      TORONTO, May 28 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened  marginally in early trade on Tuesday, as the currency hovered  near recent lows ahead of a Bank of Canada rate decision due on  Wednesday.      The loonie, as Canada's currency is colloquially known, has  fallen sharply in recent weeks as domestic data suggests the  economy will lag behind its larger neighbor, the United States.      "There definitely seems to be a desire to take some exposure  to Canada off the table at the moment," said Shaun Osborne,  chief currency strategist at TD Securities.      At 9:20 a.m. (1320 GMT) the Canadian dollar was  trading at C$1.0340 to the greenback, or 96.71 U.S. cents,  compared with C$1.0337, or 96.74 U.S. cents, at Monday's North  American close.      Earlier in May, the loonie had almost breached equal value  with the greenback, while several months ago it was worth more  than the U.S. dollar as it looked like the Bank of Canada was  much more likely to hike rates before the U.S. Federal Reserve.      The Canadian central bank is scheduled to make its next rate  decision on Wednesday. A Reuters poll shows economists don't  expect any tightening until the end of next year as domestic  data keeps showing weakness.       Some economists have questioned whether the central bank  might drop a key phrase about plans to raise borrowing costs  eventually. That language makes it the only Group of Seven  central bank with an explicit tightening bias.      But others have suggested Governor Mark Carney is unlikely  to make a policy shift with the last rate announcement before he  leaves to head the Bank of England in July.      "There is a train of thought in the market that on the basis  of the data in Canada there is a justification perhaps for the  Bank moving to a neutral stance," Osborne said, adding that a  change in policy is not his base assumption.      He said the loonie could test C$1.06 within weeks, and that  dropping the tightening bias would likely push the currency  through C$1.04 on Wednesday.      The price of Canadian government debt fell across the curve,  with the two-year bond off 2 Canadian cents to yield  1.057 percent, while the benchmark 10-year bond fell  16 Canadian cents to yield 2.000 percent.  
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