Tuesday, July 23, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Dollar edges down, Aussie steady ahead of inflation data

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Dollar edges down, Aussie steady ahead of inflation data
Jul 23rd 2013, 07:05

Tue Jul 23, 2013 3:05am EDT

  * Aussie steadies as investors await inflation data on  Wednesday      * Dollar briefly drops to one-week low vs. yen, pares losses      * Drop in Portuguese yields helps bolster euro        By Lisa Twaronite      TOKYO, July 23 (Reuters) - The dollar edged lower in Asia on  Tuesday as the slide in U.S. Treasury yields over the past two  weeks gave investors less incentive to buy the greenback, while  the Australian dollar pared gains ahead of domestic inflation  data.      A low inflation reading on Wednesday would give fodder to  those expecting the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut rates  next month, which would weigh on the currency.      Sue Trinh, senior currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets  in Hong Kong, said ihat if inflation is near the lower end of  the central bank's target range, "it shouldn't really be an  obstacle to further rate cuts by the RBA if they're so  inclined."      Swap markets see a two-in-three chance of an interest rate  cut next month, while interbank futures have a  25-basis-point easing to a record low of 2.5 percent fully  priced in by October.      Also on Wednesday, HSBC will release its flash PMI for  China.       The Australian dollar was steady against its U.S.  counterpart at $0.9253, after earlier rising to a  one-week high of $0.9284. It faces stiff resistance in the  $0.9292 to $0.9306 area, but remains well above a three-year low  of $0.8998 set on July 12.      Against the yen, the U.S. dollar dipped to a one-week low of  99.13 yen in early trading but then quickly pared losses  to buy 99.51 yen, down about 0.1 percent from late U.S. trade.      The recent fall in U.S. yields came after top Federal  Reserve officials, including Chairman Ben Bernanke, stressed  that the timing of any reduction to the central bank's $85  billion in monthly purchases would depend on economic data.      Soft U.S. housing data on Tuesday led to dollar selling and  added to the perception that the Fed has no reason to rush to  trim its stimulus programme.      "There are fewer fears of an imminent Fed tapering, and  yields on U.S. Treasuries are off their recent highs," said  Masashi Murata, senior currency strategist at Brown Brothers  Harriman in Tokyo.      "With the Japanese election out of the way, resulting in a  confirmed victory for Prime Minister Abe, there is no particular  reason to sell yen right now. So we'll be looking at U.S. data  for near-term directional signals," he added.      Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's bloc won a widely  expected victory in elections for the parliament's upper house  on Sunday.      While the Fed is eventually expected to taper its stimulus,  the Bank of Japan is committed to keeping its ultra-easy  monetary stance as it aims for consumer inflation of 2 percent  within two years, even against a backdrop of an improving  domestic economy.       On Tuesday, the Japanese government raised its view on the  economy for a third straight month and said deflation was  abating as a result of the nation's expansionary policy mix of  monetary easing and generous spending.       The assessment is in line with the BOJ's view that the  world's third-largest economy is finally recovering, boosted by  the effects of a weakening yen and its massive monetary  stimulus.        Separately, an annual government economic report said on  Tuesday Japan's economy is showing some signs of bouncing back  from prolonged deflation as a result of Abe's monetary easing  and budget spending to revive the economy.                     The euro was up about 0.1 percent at $1.3191, after  touching a one-month high of $1.3218 in the previous session.  The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a  basket of major rivals, fell slightly to 82.190, holding above a  one-month low of 82.047 hit overnight.      The euro won some respite from political worries after  Portuguese President Anibal Cavaco Silva said the current  government will stay in office to keep an international bailout  on track. That led the spread of Portuguese bonds over German  bunds to narrow.  
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