Friday, July 19, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Yen on defensive before Japanese election

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Yen on defensive before Japanese election
Jul 19th 2013, 08:42

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Fri Jul 19, 2013 5:07am EDT

  (Corrects dollar/yen level in 3rd paragraph to 100.27 yen from  101.27)      * Dollar near one-week high against yen ahead of upper house  election      * Japanese PM Abe's party expected to win      * Abe victory would add momentum to economic programme, push  yen lower        By Anooja Debnath      LONDON, July 19 (Reuters) - The dollar held close to a  one-week high against the yen on Friday ahead of Japan's upper  house election this weekend, which could add momentum to Prime  Minister Shinzo Abe's aggressive economic reform drive.      Opinion polls show Abe's ruling bloc is on track to take a  hefty majority. That result would give him more freedom to push  his agenda of monetary easing, public spending and structural  reform, which could weigh on the yen.      The dollar was down 0.1 percent at 100.27 yen, still  close to the one-week high of 100.87 yen hit earlier in the  session. A large option expiry was reported at 101.50 yen and  could keep the currency pinned to that level. The dollar is up  more than 15 percent against the yen on the year.      "Everybody expects Abe to gain a majority in the upper house  and strengthen his position and policy ... that would leave the  door open for more easing if needed and see dollar/yen rise,"  said Niels Christensen, FX strategist at Nordea.      Earlier in the session, the yen rose after Japan's benchmark  Nikkei slipped. A fall in equities can increase risk  aversion and spark demand for the yen - a traditional safe-haven  currency.      Such gains have, however, been fleeting as the yen stayed  vulnerable to the Bank of Japan's massive monetary expansion,  while the dollar has been supported by expectations that the  U.S. Federal Reserve could start scaling back its stimulus.      The dollar had been boosted by higher U.S. bond yields   but doubts over when the Fed will start withdrawing  stimulus have kept it clear of three-year highs struck on July  9.       The dollar index was down 0.1 percent at 82.672,  above a three-week low of 82.342 set on Wednesday.      Traders said, with expectations so high, anything less than  a sweeping victory by Abe's ruling bloc could lift the yen.      The euro was flat at 131.60 yen, not far from a  seven-week high around 132.10 yen hit earlier on Friday on  trading platform EBS. Against the dollar, the euro edged up 0.2  percent to $1.3136.     (Additional reporting by Masayuki Kitano in Singapore; Editing  by John Stonestreet)  
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