Thursday, July 4, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 1-Sterling plunges as BoE guides against higher rates

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Reuters: US Dollar Report
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UPDATE 1-Sterling plunges as BoE guides against higher rates
Jul 4th 2013, 13:35

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Thu Jul 4, 2013 9:35am EDT

  * Sterling slides after BoE highlights concerns on rising  gilt yields      * BoE surprises markets by issuing statement      * Signals forward guidance could come in August        By Anooja Debnath      LONDON, July 4 (Reuters) - Sterling plunged and UK stocks  and government bonds rose on Thursday after the Bank of England  surprised markets by voicing concern that rising gilt yields  were not warranted by the state of the British economy.      While the BoE kept interest rates and the extent of its  bond-buying unchanged at its first policy meeting under new  governor Mark Carney, markets were caught unawares by the  central bank issuing a statement and signalling it could give  forward guidance on interest rates next month.       Sterling slipped 1.3 percent to a low of $1.5060,  its weakest since late May, and was on track for its worst daily  performance since December 2011.      The euro rose more than 1 percent against the  pound to a 2-1/2 month high of 86.34 pence before paring gains.       "The timing of the BoE statement was somewhat surprising and  this could keep sterling under pressure across the board," said  Valentin Marinov, head of European G10 FX strategy at Citi.      "The statement is a continuation of the dovish bias that was  communicated by the previous BoE governor, Mervyn King, and his  colleagues at the MPC ... they had highlighted the risks  emanating from premature tightening in the financial market  conditions."       Ten-year gilt prices surged after the BoE  announcement and yields slid 7 basis points to stand 5 bps lower  on the day at 2.35 percent at 1130 GMT.       Benchmark 10-year yields rose almost a percentage point  between early May and late June - an effective policy  tightening.       Short sterling rate futures - which reflect BoE rate  expectations - were up strongly across the strip, with March  2014 contracts up 9 ticks to 99.38 and September 2015  contracts as much as 17 ticks higher.      "We're seeing a big repricing of rate expectations across  the market," said Shahid Ladha, gilts strategist at BNP Paribas.      Tighter monetary conditions could threaten Britain's nascent  economic recovery, which seems to be taking hold in the second  quarter after a recent string of positive data.        The FTSE 100 stocks index was up 2.6 percent, at 6,404.99  points, hitting three-week highs and on track for its biggest  one-day gain since late 2011.      Sterling's rise has also been limited against the dollar,  which has been supported by expectations that the U.S. Federal  Reserve could pare back its bond-buying programme.       The yield spread between 10-year U.S. Treasuries   and UK gilts moved towards recent seven-year highs  in the dollar's favour.  
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