Wednesday, November 6, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ firms, but weakness seen on horizon

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ firms, but weakness seen on horizon
Nov 6th 2013, 15:15

Wed Nov 6, 2013 10:15am EST

  By Alastair Sharp      TORONTO, Nov 6 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar firmed  slightly against the U.S. dollar in subdued trade on Wednesday,  but is seen weakening in coming weeks and months as bond yields  likely slip back towards those of its southern neighbor and main  trading partner.      At 9:42 a.m. (1442 GMT) the Canadian dollar was  trading at C$1.0440 to the greenback, or 95.79 U.S. cents,  compared with C$1.0458, or 95.62 U.S. cents, at Tuesday's North  American close.      "Today there are a couple of Canadian data points that are  perhaps interesting to watch but probably not all that  influential for the Canadian dollar," said Greg Moore, currency  strategist at TD Securities.      Increased plans for housing construction helped edge the  value of Canadian building permits up by 1.7 percent in  September after permits were whipsawed by a gain and loss of  more than 20 percent in July and August.       Separately, the pace of purchasing activity in Canada jumped  in October, with supplier deliveries returning to growth,  according to Ivey Purchasing Managers Index data released on  Wednesday.       In a Reuters poll released on Wednesday, the currency was  seen slipping to C$1.06 a year from now as the combined effect  of tighter future U.S. monetary policy and no imminent rate  hikes in Canada take hold.       While much attention in coming weeks will be on whether the  U.S. Federal Reserve will start to trim back its monetary  stimulus, Moore said the Bank of Canada's recent dropping of a  rate-hike bias would likely cause weakness in the Canadian  currency as short-term bond yield spreads tighten.      "The Canadian yield advantage is on an eroding trend and  that should continue perhaps a little more sharply after the  messaging we heard in the past couple of weeks," he said.      The two-year bond was up 1.5 Canadian cents to  yield 1.123 percent, while the benchmark 10-year bond   rose 8 Canadian cents to yield 2.527 percent.  
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