Wednesday, November 6, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Euro rises as ECB rate cut seen unlikely, Dow at record high

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Euro rises as ECB rate cut seen unlikely, Dow at record high
Nov 6th 2013, 21:46

Wed Nov 6, 2013 4:46pm EST

  * Euro regains footing; ECB under pressure to boost stimulus      * Wall St gains on Fed rate expectations      * Fed's Williams says wait for more evidence before tapering      * European shares inch up to 5-year highs          By Herbert Lash      NEW YORK, Nov 6 (Reuters) - Global stock markets rose on  Wednesday and the Dow industrials marked a record closing high  as investors seized on signs that the Federal Reserve may keep  rates low for longer than expected.      Strong data from Germany also cheered investors and stoked  speculation that the European Central Bank will not cut rates  when it meets on Thursday despite a steep decline in inflation.      The expectations on the ECB lifted the euro 0.4 percent to  $1.3522, though traders said surveys showing only modest  growth in French and German businesses would likely cap the  currency's gains.      Expectations on the Fed's path were influenced by remarks by  John Williams, president of the San Francisco Federal Reserve  Bank, who late on Tuesday said the Fed should wait for stronger  evidence of economic growth before winding down its massive  bond-buying program.       Two of the Fed's top staff economists made the case in new  research papers for more aggressive action by the U.S. central  bank to drive down unemployment by promising to hold interest  rates lower for longer.       The notion of lower interest rates for longer helped lift  the Dow industrials to a record high, while a Reuters report  that Microsoft had narrowed its CEO search lifted  shares in the tech giant, buoying the S&P 500 index.      "What's seeping into the market is the increasing likelihood  (the Fed) will keep zero percent interest rates for 18 months  longer than they had signaled previously," said Steven Einhorn,  vice chairman at hedge fund Omega Advisors Inc., which oversees  about $9.7 billion in assets.      The Fed has concluded that its bond-buying is no longer that  effective, and the size of its balance sheet is getting to be  problematic, he added.      The Dow Jones industrial average finished at a record  closing high, up 128.66 points, or 0.82 percent, at 15,746.88,  after earlier reaching a lifetime high of 15,750.29. The  Standard & Poor's 500 Index ended up 7.52 points, or 0.43  percent, at 1,770.49.      A 14.5 percent plunge in shares of Tesla Motors Inc  , after the electric car maker gave a disappointing  outlook for its fourth quarter late Tuesday, weighed on the  Nasdaq Composite Index, which ended down 7.92 points, or  0.20 percent, at 3,931.95.      In Europe, the FTSEurofirst 300 of leading regional  shares rose 0.39 percent to close at 1,296.58, after briefly  touching 1,300 for the first time since early June 2008.      MSCI's all-country world stock index rose  0.45 percent.       Estimate-beating earnings from financial conglomerate ING   and staffing firm Adecco, among other  corporate results, gave fresh impetus to the largely  stimulus-driven rally.       U.S. government debt traded mixed. The benchmark 10-year  U.S. Treasury note was up 4/32 in price to yield  2.65 percent, while the 30-year bond was down in  price.      "The market is trying to digest whether the new Fed makeup  and the new Fed thinking will be more prone to be keeping the  short rates lower for longer and not depend so much on QE," said  Vishal Khanduja, a portfolio manager with Calvert Investments in  Bethesda, Maryland.      President Barack Obama nominated Fed Vice Chair Janet Yellen  last month to succeed Ben Bernanke when his term expires in  January.      Brent oil settled down 9 cents at $105.24 a barrel, while  U.S. oil $1.52 to $94.89 per barrel.      Data from the Energy Information Administration showed U.S.  gasoline stocks fell by 3.8 million barrels last week, compared  with forecasts in a Reuters poll for a 300,000 barrel decline.  
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