Thursday, June 28, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro falls to 3-week low vs dollar before EU summit

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro falls to 3-week low vs dollar before EU summit
Jun 28th 2012, 08:33

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Thu Jun 28, 2012 4:33am EDT

  * German govt source says no detailed decisions at summit      * Spanish 10-year yields top 7 percent, Italy bond sale due      * Euro at 3-week low vs yen, dollar index at 3-week high        LONDON, June 28 (Reuters) - The euro fell to a three-week  low against the dollar on Thursday on expectations that a  European Union summit starting later in the day will do little  to address the region's debt crisis.      Comments from a German government source that the two-day  meeting will produce no detailed decisions dampened lingering  hopes of progress.       German Chancellor Angela Merkel has consistently opposed the  idea of joint euro zone debt and on Wednesday rejected calls  from Spain and Italy for action to curb their soaring borrowing  costs.       Spanish 10-year borrowing costs rose above 7 percent   on Thursday, highlighting the market's concerns  about the debt crisis in the region. Italy is likely to have to  pay a high premium to attract buyers to a bond auction.         The euro fell 0.3 percent against the dollar to  $1.2408, its lowest since June 4.       Analysts said expectations for the summit were so low that  any positive headlines over the coming two days could lift the  euro, although any such gains were likely to be limited and  short-lived.      "If we get nothing from the European summit then that is  more or less what the market is expecting," said Carl Hammer,  chief currency strategist at SEB.      "If there are some headlines suggesting EU leaders are  reaching agreement on curbing bank runs or using the ESM to buy  peripheral bonds then that would boost the euro slightly."       The common currency also hit a three-week low versus the yen   of 98.615 yen on the EBS trading platform, while the  safe-haven dollar rose to a three-week high against a basket of  currencies and a three-week high versus the Swiss franc  .      "The summit will probably just show that the debt crisis  needs a lot of time to be resolved. I don't think it's time to  buy the euro," said Katsunori Kitakura, associate general  manager of the market-making unit at Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank  in Tokyo.        ECB EYED      While concrete steps towards further economic integration of  the currency bloc seen unlikely at present, traders said the  euro may be supported by expectations the ECB may cut rates or  announce more long-term fund injections at its meeting next  week.      Bank Executive Board member Peter Praet said on Wednesday  there was nothing to stop the bank cutting rates and 48 out of  71 economists polled by Reuters expected a cut.          U.S. economic data offered rare positive surprises on  Wednesday, with durable goods orders and pending home sales both  beating market expectations, helping to boost risk sentiment in  broad financial markets.      That helped to lift the Australian dollar by around 0.3  percent to a one-week high of $1.0126 before dropping  back to last trade down 0.1 percent at $1.0064.      The U.S. dollar fell 0.4 percent against the yen to around  79.39 yen largely due to month-end selling by Japanese  exporters, but it stayed within its trading range of the past  few days.      Traders also said trading was likely to be influenced by  month-end and quarter-end flows in an otherwise thin market  ahead of the EU summit.  
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