Thursday, June 28, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro hits more than 3-week low as EU leaders meet

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro hits more than 3-week low as EU leaders meet
Jun 28th 2012, 16:25

Thu Jun 28, 2012 12:25pm EDT

  * Euro falls to 3-week low vs dollar, yen      * Italy pays dearly to sell bonds, Spanish bond yields rise      * Dollar index rises to 3-week high        By Wanfeng Zhou      NEW YORK, June 28 (Reuters) - The euro fell against the  dollar for a fourth straight day on Thursday to hit its lowest  in more than three weeks as doubts persisted that a summit of  European leaders will make progress in resolving the region's  deepening debt crisis.      But investors were reluctant to punish the euro further as  expectations for the summit were also very low. Any surprise  positive development could spark a short-squeeze and give the  common currency a lift, analysts said.      "The fact that we're not lower than we are right now is  partially because investors are still hesitant to put on any  major positions on the off chance that we do get some kind of a  surprise from Europe," said Omer Esiner, chief market analyst at  Commonwealth Foreign Exchange in Washington.      European Union leaders began the summit on Thursday deeply  divided over how to resolve the euro zone's debt crisis.  Officials were working on urgent measures to ease financial  market pressure on Spain and Italy, which are too big to bail  out.       French President Francois Hollande said he expected  agreement on emergency steps to help euro zone partners whose  borrowing costs had reached unsustainable levels.      The euro fell as low as $1.2405 on Reuters data, the  weakest since June 4. It was last down 0.3 percent at $1.2433.      Traders said the euro extended losses after stop-loss sell  orders were triggered on the break below $1.2440. More losses  would see it target a two-year low hit in early June of $1.2286.      The euro also came under pressure after a spokesman for  German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said that a report  that Germany could be willing to move sooner than expected to  accept shared liability of euro zone debt was not true.         Against the yen, the euro slid 0.8 percent to 98.64  , having earlier fallen to 98.30 yen, the lowest since  June 6.      Spanish 10-year yields hovered near the 7 percent level that  forced other highly indebted countries to seek bailouts.  Investors worry that Spain, the euro zone's fourth-largest  economy, will have to ask for aid in excess of the 100 billion  euros already approved for Madrid to bail out its banks.      Italy sold more than 5 billion euros in five- and 10-year  bonds but at elevated borrowing costs.       Analysts said that with the market so focused on the outcome  of the summit, trade in the euro would remain choppy and driven  by headlines during the meeting.       "If you are a day trader it's easy to jump on different  headlines but if you are a normal trader you have to wait and  see what actually gets decided," said David Bloom, head of FX  research at HSBC in London. "But it will be hard to be  disappointed when expectations are so low."         ECB EYED       The prospect of active anti-crisis steps from the European  Central Bank, possibly including more long-term fund injections  and cutting interest rates, could support the euro.       ECB Executive Board member Peter Praet said on Wednesday  there was nothing to stop the bank cutting interest rates, now  at 1 percent, and 48 out of 71 economists polled by Reuters  expected a cut next week.        There are "some expectations that the ECB may have to pick  up the slack for EU policymakers," Esiner said. "There's growing  expectation that we could see either an interest-rate cut by the  ECB or some sort of new liquidity operations. Either of those  would be mildly supportive for the euro."       The dollar fell to a one-week low against the yen around  79.21 yen, helped by month-end selling by Japanese  exporters. It was last down 0.5 percent at 79.34.      The safe-haven dollar rose to a three-week high against a  basket of currencies and also a more than three-week peak  versus the Swiss franc.      With the market focused on Europe's debt problems, there was  little impact from a U.S. Supreme Court ruling on Thursday  upholding the centerpiece of President Barack Obama's signature  healthcare overhaul law that requires most Americans to get  insurance by 2014 or pay a penalty.      Earlier, data showed the number of Americans filing new  claims for jobless benefits fell last week but remained too  high, indicating the job market was struggling to gain traction.  The report had little impact on currencies.  
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