Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ falls on U.S. Fed statement; ECB eyed

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ falls on U.S. Fed statement; ECB eyed
Aug 1st 2012, 20:23

Wed Aug 1, 2012 4:23pm EDT

  * C$ ends at C$1.0052 vs US$, or 99.48 U.S. cents      * Currency touches session low after Fed disappoints      * Earlier, C$ touches C$1.0003 or 99.97 U.S. cents      * Bond prices slip across the curve        By Jennifer Kwan      TORONTO, Aug 1 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar sank against  its U.S. counterpart on Wednesday after the U.S. Federal Reserve  said the economy was weaker but left policy on hold, and  investors shifted their focus on the European Central Bank.      The U.S. Fed stopped short of offering new monetary stimulus  even as it signaled further bond buys could be in store, sending  riskier assets like stocks and some metals prices like copper  lower.       "The results will disappoint some in the equity markets that  had pinned their hopes on new measures today. Bearish for  equities and other risk assets as a result," said Avery  Shenfeld, chief economist at CIBC World Markets.      The Fed's policy decision comes a day before a key meeting  of the European Central Bank. ECB President Mario Draghi  heightened speculation of further bank purchases of Italian and  Spanish bonds when he said last week that he would do "whatever  it takes to preserve the euro."      Still, the risk of disappointment is fairly high and the  euro could sell off if the ECB does not deliver.       "There's obviously still a great deal of hope remaining for  the ECB to fulfill market expectations. I don't see that  happening," said John Curran, senior vice president at  CanadianForex. "There's no magic bullet."      The Canadian dollar ended at C$1.0052 against the  greenback, or 99.48 U.S. cents, after falling as low as  C$1.0057. On Tuesday, the currency finished at C$1.0029 against  the greenback, or 99.71 U.S. cents.       Investors were largely unmoved on Wednesday by economic data  that showed economies around the world showed signs of slowing.      In Canada, RBC Purchasing Managers' Index posted its first  decline in six months.       South of the border, data showed the U.S. private sector  added 163,000 jobs in July, topping economists' expectations of  120,000 new jobs. The report from payrolls processor ADP came  two days ahead of Friday's more important government monthly,  non-farm payrolls report.      Also on Wednesday, data pointed to a sluggish global  manufacturing picture. U.S. and euro zone factory activity  struggled again in July while Chinese manufacturing fell to an  eight-month low.                BONDS LOWER      Economists at Scotiabank revised their outlook for the next  Bank of Canada move on interest rates. They believe the central  bank will be on hold until early 2014 compared with their  earlier forecast of a rate hike in the third quarter of 2012.      "We think the Canadian economy will remain soft enough such  that it underperforms the speed limit to growth and builds more  spare capacity over time," Derek Holt and Dov Zigler wrote.    "That should remain broadly disinflationary in support of a  potentially very long pause on policy rates."      Most Canadian primary dealers expect the Bank of Canada to  hold interest rates steady until mid-2013 or later.       Canadian bond prices were flat to lower across the curve  with the two-year bond off by 4 Canadian cents to  yield 1.096 percent, and the benchmark 10-year bond   was down 33 Canadian cents to yield 1.711 percent.      Separately, the Bank of Canada's auction of two-year bonds  produced an average yield of 1.147.  
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