Friday, August 24, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Central bank, Greece uncertainty weighs on investors

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Central bank, Greece uncertainty weighs on investors
Aug 24th 2012, 12:20

Fri Aug 24, 2012 8:20am EDT

  * European shares dip 0.3 pct, MSCI global index down 0.5  pct      * Euro down from 7-week high vs dollar, dollar firm vs yen      * Central bank stimulus, global growth worries in focus        By Marc Jones      LONDON, Aug 24 (Reuters) - Investors sold riskier assets  across financial markets on Friday, in limbo until they learn  how much of a punch central banks will give to the stumbling  global economy.      The euro zone's struggle to prevent its own break-up  continues to dominate markets and play on economic confidence.      European shares, which have suffered their worst run  in over a month in the last few days as euro zone uncertainty  has returned, was down 0.2 percent in early afternoon trading   pulling MSCI's main global index down around a  third of a percent on the day.      The falls were accelerated by cautious comments from German  Chancellor Angela Merkel about Greece and by concerns that the  European Central Bank may not launch its new bond-buying-led  crisis plan as early as markets have been eyeing.      "We are in a vacuum, policy-wise, ahead of the Jackson Hole  meeting and the (European Central Bank) meeting on September 6  so we are in a wait and see mode," said Saxo Bank chief  economist Steen Jakobsen.      Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and other central bank  leaders meet in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, next week for an annual  get-together that often hints at what monetary policy is to  come.      "We are waiting to see whether we get QE3 (another round of  asset buying from the Fed) and to see how the ECB is going play  the promise that it will help the peripherals, so right now the  market is just concentrating on technicals."      After falls on Thursday, U.S. stock markets were expected to  open slightly higher when trading resumes on Wall Street at 1330  GMT.       Key global stock markets have risen 15-20 percent since June  as hopes of a resolution to the euro zone crisis have sustained  investor optimism despite a deterioration in company earning  outlooks.       But the rises appear to have come to a halt over the last  week. The S&P 500 has failed to break through 1425-30 points,  while Europe's top shares have been unable to climb above 1115  points.                    WILD CARD      The euro fell away from its recent seven-week highs  versus the dollar, to stand at a day-low of $1.2505 by 1130 GMT.      Pushing it down were fading hopes of a rapid new euro zone  drive to end its crisis as politicians signalled new plans could  take another month to put together. The dollar inched up 0.2  percent to 78.60 yen.       "The data calendar is fairly empty so we suspect that  trading will be technical in nature today," said KBC economist  Piet Lammens, pointing to a meeting in Berlin between Merkel and  Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras as the main point of  interest for markets.      "Merkel and Samaras is of course always a wild card but we  have had so many indications that the Greek issue will be put  back to the end of September," Lammens said.      Following the meeting, Samaras said he was convinced an  upcoming report by Greece's trio of international lenders would  show the government can get quick results with its new debt  cutting plans.      Comments from Merkel that Germany and France wanted Greece  to stay in the euro provided little comfort for markets looking  for more concrete action and helped accelerate the euro's drop.         Triple A-rated German government bonds,  traditionally favoured by risk-adverse investors, have rebounded  sharply in recent days, tracking the rise in U.S. Treasuries and  helped by a return of uncertainty among investors about the euro  zone's progress out of its debt crisis.      Bund futures were up 46 ticks at 143.96 as they continued to   bulldoze higher, while Spanish Italian   and Portuguese bonds saw falls  ranging between 0.1 and 0.8 percent.                       MESS      Oil prices, which have been trading in a tight range this  week, slipped below $115 per barrel but remained on track for  their fourth weekly gain. "It's no secret that the global  economy is in bad shape," said Tony Nunan, a risk manager at  Mitsubishi Corp in Tokyo.      "Europe's a mess, the U.S. is struggling and China, which was  seen as a growth engine, is also sputtering -- all of which  points to weak demand for crude."      Metal prices remained supported by expectations of central  bank support and unrest in producer countries. Spot gold dipped  on Friday but has risen more than 3 percent this week after  Federal Reserve minutes showed the bank is likely to deliver  another dose of stimulus "fairly soon".      With data from the world's biggest economy coming out mixed  so far this week, durable goods data was set to be one of  focuses of U.S. trading.       Investors were also watching Spain again on Friday, after  three euro zone sources told Reuters that Madrid is negotiating  with European partners over conditions for aid to bring down its  borrowing costs, though the country has not made a final  decision to request a bailout.       Madrid's IBEX had jumped nearly 30 percent since  comments by European Central Bank head Mario Draghi in late July  sparked expectations of fresh measures to help lower the  borrowing costs of Spain and Italy. But it has lost 4.7 percent  since a peak hit on Monday, although charts show the index has  managed to keep its four-week upward channel intact.       "Pullback would be welcomed by many money managers who  failed to take part in the recent move and at some stage will  need to tell clients of the underperformance," IG Markets  strategist Stan Shamu wrote in a note.  
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