Thursday, September 13, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ muted as markets await QE3

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ muted as markets await QE3
Sep 13th 2012, 12:15

Thu Sep 13, 2012 8:15am EDT

  * C$ up slightly at C$0.9756 vs, or $1.0250      * Bond prices climb across the curve        By Claire Sibonney      TORONTO, Sept 13 (Reuters) - Canada's dollar was little  changed against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, pausing after a  recent rally as investors waited to see whether the U.S. Federal  Reserve announces a new round of money-printing.      Analysts say the market is largely priced for the Fed to  launch a third round of quantitative easing, or QE3,  on  Thursday while signaling that a weak U.S. economy may warrant  ultra-low interest rates for at least another three years.         Not everyone believes the Fed will embark on a bond-buying  spree, and plenty of doubts remain about the likely efficacy of  such a move.      "If we don't get QE ... then we should see a big (U.S.  dollar) selloff across the board and that would see (U.S.)  dollar/CAD pushing higher," said Elsa Lignos, senior currency  strategist at RBC Capital Markets in London.      The Federal Open Market Committee announces its decision at  about 12:30 p.m. ET (1630 GMT) at the close of a two-day  meeting. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will then discuss the Fed's  decision during a news conference at 2:15 p.m.      "Of course Bernanke may then come out ... and perhaps signal  that QE could be coming at the next FOMC meeting, but in that  two-hour period it would be a lot of weakness for the Canadian  dollar," added Lignos.      If the Fed does in fact launch a large and open-ended  bond-buying program, markets then expect to see the current U.S.  dollar weakness momentum being maintained and the Canadian  dollar could test its 13-month highs seen earlier this week.      At 8:08 a.m., the currency stood at C$0.9756 versus  the U.S. dollar, or $1.0250, a tad firmer than Wednesday's North  American session close at C$0.9766 versus the greenback, or  $1.0240.      Lignos noted Canadian-dollar resistance around C$0.9728 and  C$0.9634, and support near C$0.9800, C$0.9886, followed by  parity.      Canada's dollar hit its strongest level since August 2011 on  Tuesday, propelled by a confluence of factors, including Fed  stimulus expectations, a hawkish Bank of Canada stance, strong  domestic job figures and a bond buyback plan announced by the  European Central Bank.      Ahead of the Fed, investors will also be watching U.S.  weekly jobless claims and the Canadian new house price index for  July, both due at 8:30 a.m.      Canadian government bond prices advanced across the curve,  tracking U.S. Treasuries higher.       The two-year bond rose 3 Canadian cents to yield  1.170 percent and the benchmark 10-year bond gained  26 Canadian cents, yielding 1.875 percent.  
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