Monday, September 10, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ holds near 12-month highs as Fed eyed

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ holds near 12-month highs as Fed eyed
Sep 10th 2012, 20:32

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Mon Sep 10, 2012 4:32pm EDT

  * C$ hits 12-month high at C$0.9755 vs US$, or $1.0251      * Bond prices higher across the curve        By Solarina Ho      TORONTO, Sept 10 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar hit its  loftiest level in more than one year against its U.S.  counterpart on Monday, outperforming other major currencies amid  hopes of further stimulus in the United States.      The market is pricing in some expectation that the Federal  Reserve will decide on a third round of monetary easing when it  meets later this week, following data last Friday that showed  U.S. jobs growth in August was well below what would normally be  needed to put a dent in the jobless rate.      "The risk backdrop remains positive here. The weaker-than-  expected U.S. employment number has fueled the fire for the  market looking for a potential nod to QE3 out of the Fed," said  Matt Perrier, a director of foreign exchange sales at BMO  Capital Markets.      The Canadian dollar finished at C$0.9775 against  the greenback, or $1.0230, firmer than Friday's North American  session close at C$0.9782, or $1.0223.      Earlier in the session, the currency hit a session  high of C$0.9755 to the U.S. dollar, or $1.0251, its strongest  level since Sept. 1, 2011.      Further stimulus will bolster non-U.S. currencies and  analysts say the market will be looking to see exactly how much  money the Fed will pump into the economy.      Traders also cited improved risk appetite in general after  the European Central Bank last week unveiled a plan to cut  borrowing costs for its most indebted countries.      Weak trade data out of China on Monday underlined the  likelihood of more Beijing-backed spending, which could also  bolster the commodities-linked Canadian dollar.      "The other outlier that people aren't talking about quite as  much is the pace of things in China and commodity prices," said  Dov Zigler, financial markets economist at Scotiabank.      "If there were to be meaningful stimulus measures out of  China, you'd definitely see a rally in the Australian dollar and  with it, a lot of the currencies that move in lockstep - CAD  being another one. It's one of those weird situations where bad  news becomes good news."      Chinese firms have been cutting production, inventories and  imports in the face of anemic global demand. It's grim news for  the country where exports generate 25 percent of gross domestic  product and support an estimated 200 million jobs.         Perrier pointed to the next resistance level around           C$0.9725, near the August 2011 high. Breaking through that could  open up the way toward C$0.95 and then C$0.94.      Canadian government bond prices were higher across the  curve, with the two-year bond off 1.5 Canadian cents  to yield 1.168 percent and the benchmark 10-year bond   up 28 Canadian cents, yielding 1.825 percent.  
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