Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies weaken on euro zone fears

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies weaken on euro zone fears
Sep 26th 2012, 17:22

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Wed Sep 26, 2012 1:22pm EDT

  * Madrid mass protests increase tensions in the euro zone      * Brazil real flat on central bank intervention fears      * Mexican peso 0.2 pct lower; Chilean peso down 0.1 pct        RIO DE JANEIRO, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Latin American  currencies fell slightly on Wednesday as growing opposition to  austerity measures in Spain added to jitters over the euro zone  debt crisis, tempering investors' optimism on recent stimulus  measures in the United States.      The Mexican peso lost 0.2 percent while the Chilean  peso dropped 0.1 percent as investors turned more  averse to emerging markets risk in general.      The Brazilian real  was near flat, however, in a  seventh consecutive session of very low volatility.      Worries about the future of the euro zone grew as mass  protests against austerity measures erupted in Madrid, making it  more difficult for Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy to request  international financial aid -- a condition for Spain to receive  support from the European Central Bank.      Investors fear that a delay in the ECB bond-buying program  would further complicate the euro-zone debt crisis, potentially  dragging more economies into recession.      "Markets are really bad out there. The losses are triggered  by Spain, which is delaying its request for financial  assistance," said Rodrigo Sarria, a trader at Celfin Capital in  Santiago. He added that the Chilean peso could weaken to around  474.00 per dollar in the short term.      Chile's currency last traded at 470.60 per dollar. Despite a  possible short-term weakening, the peso remains set to gain in  the medium term as U.S. stimulus measures increase dollar  inflows to emerging markets, said Sarria.      In Brazil, the real was little changed for yet another  session as investors refrained from making bigger bets in a  market that remains under constant threat of central bank  intervention.      Brazilian policymakers have bound the real to a very narrow  trading range of 2.0 to 2.1 per dollar as they vow to use all  means necessary to offset capital inflows resulting from the  U.S. Federal Reserve's stimulus measures.      "Investors got scared with all this intervention talk," said  Gustavo Godoy, manager of the treasury desk of Daycoval bank in  Sao Paulo. "You have the whole world to invest your money, why  bring it to a market that is subject to intervention?"      Concerns with the global economy drove Brazil's  interest-rate future lower for the fifth consecutive session,  showing a growing number of investors are betting the central  bank will cut the country's base Selic rate again in October.      At least half of the bets are for a 0.25 percentage point  cut in the Selic in October, the interest-rate curve shows . Earlier this month, the curve showed most investors  betting that Brazil's monetary easing cycle was over.              Latin American FX prices at 1600 GMT:               Currencies                         daily %    YTD %                                       change   change                              Latest              Brazil real                2.0325    -0.09    -8.07                                                  Mexico peso               12.8845    -0.19     8.42                                                  Argentina peso*            6.2700     0.80   -24.56                                                  Chile peso               470.5000    -0.11    10.37                                                  Colombia peso          1,798.1500    -0.06     7.80                                                  Peru sol                   2.5960     0.00     3.89                                                  * Argentine peso's rate between                       brokerages  
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