Tuesday, September 4, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil rate futures rise on industrial output data

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil rate futures rise on industrial output data
Sep 4th 2012, 14:20

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Tue Sep 4, 2012 10:20am EDT

  * Brazil industrial production rises above forecasts in July      * Investors await ECB meeting on Thursday for stimulus signs        By Danielle Fonseca      RIO DE JANEIRO, Sept 4 (Reuters) - Brazil's interest rate  futures rose on Tuesday after official data showed the country's  industrial production grew above expectations, suggesting the  central bank may be able to cut short its monetary easing cycle.      Uncertainty about additional monetary stimulus by central  banks elsewhere left investors on the edge, though. The Mexican  peso gained 0.3 percent while the Brazilian real    weakened 0.4 percent as investors awaited the  outcome of a key ECB meeting on Thursday.      In Brazil, interest rate futures maturing in January 2014   rose 4 basis points to 7.79 percent after data showed  industrial production grew 0.3 percent in July from the previous  month, in a sign that sweeping government stimulus measures are  beginning to bear fruit.       Economists had expected zero growth in July from June,  according to the median forecast a Reuters poll.      The data, albeit positive, was still not enough to ensure  the central bank will not cut interest rates again in October,  said Paulo Nepomuceno, a fixed-income strategist with  Coinvalores brokerage in Sao Paulo.      "The contracts are rising on the back of slightly better  industrial production numbers. The revised data was also  positive, and that supported market sentiment," Nepomuceno said.      "But the numbers were not extraordinary, considering that  tax breaks to automakers helped a lot. It doesn't mean  industrial production is improving as a whole."      Expectations that the European Central Bank would give  details of a program to help indebted euro zone members grew on  Monday after ECB president Mario Draghi said that purchases of  short-term sovereign bonds by the bank would not breach European  Union rules.       Still, investors remain cautious, hoping to see signs that  key euro zone members will find common ground to implement the  stimulus measures.                Latin American FX prices at 1410 GMT:         Currencies                         daily %    YTD %                                       change   change                              Latest              Brazil real                2.0395    -0.42    -8.38                                                  Mexico peso               13.1810     0.29     5.98                                                  Argentina peso*            6.3200     0.32   -25.16                                                  Chile peso               480.7000    -0.15     8.03                                                  Colombia peso          1,824.9000    -0.05     6.22                                                  Peru sol                   2.6060     0.04     3.49                                                  * Argentine peso's rate between                       brokerages  
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