Thursday, September 6, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies gain on ECB plan

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Latam currencies gain on ECB plan
Sep 6th 2012, 22:49

Thu Sep 6, 2012 6:49pm EDT

  * ECB bond-buying plan supports investor appetite for Latam  FX      * Brazil real constrained by holiday, possible cenbank  action      * Mexican peso gains 0.6 pct, Brazil real up 0.2 pct          By Natalia Cacioli and Anna  Irrera       SAO PAULO, Sept 6 (Reuters) - Latin American currencies  gained on Thursday after a much-awaited plan from the European  Central Bank to support indebted euro-zone countries and strong  U.S. economic data encouraged investors to take risk in emerging  markets.      The Mexican peso rose 0.4 percent to 13.08 per U.S.  dollar after trading as low as 13.0222, its highest level in  four months. The Chilean peso jumped 1 percent to  475.90, its strongest in a month.      Gains in the Brazilian real  were limited,  however, as investors avoided taking major positions before the  release of crucial U.S. payroll data on Friday, when markets  will be closed in Brazil for a national holiday.      "There is a key indicator tomorrow in the United States and  that always pressures the currency because domestic markets  don't know how global markets will react," said Ovidio Soares, a  currency trader at Interbolsa do Brasil brokerage.      Expectations that the U.S. payroll numbers will be strong  grew after data this morning showed U.S. private employers added  far more jobs than expected in August and new claims for  unemployment benefits fell last week to the lowest level in a  month.       The real edged up 0.5 percent to 2.0280 per dollar but was  constrained by expectations that the Brazilian central bank may  intervene if the currency nears the edges of the narrow range of  2.0-2.1 reais that it has been trading at since early July.      "Investors know that Brazil's government is going to uphold  that range in order to make its (economic stimulus) measures  more effective," said Enrique Alvarez, head of research for  Latin America at IDEAglobal in New York. "That's what is holding  the real."      Details of the ECB's new and potentially unlimited  bond-buying program boosted sentiment in global markets, driving  up Wall Street by about 2 percent. Nasdaq ended the session at  its highest since 2000, and the S&P closed at more than a  four-year high.      Brazil's interest rate-futures were little changed, however,  after minutes of the central bank's latest monetary policy  meeting left investors wondering whether the bank had finished  its monetary easing cycle last month, or whether it will cut the  base Selic rate one more time this year by 25 basis points.      The Selic currently stands at an all-time low of 7.5  percent, after a 50-basis-point cut by the central bank on Aug.  29.      In the minutes of that meeting, Brazilian policymakers  expressed confidence that the economy will pick up speed in  coming months and that the pace of annual inflation would resume   a downward trajectory after a temporary spike in food prices.         "I think the market didn't change its perception much" about  the future of the Selic, said Silvio Campos Neto, an economist  with Tendencias consultancy in Sao Paulo. "The minutes left the  decision on another Selic cut hinging on upcoming economic  data."       Interest-rate contracts maturing in January 2013   rose only 1 basis point to 7.28 percent while those maturing in  January 2014 traded at 7.79 percent, stable from Wednesday's  close.                     Latin American FX prices at 2220 GMT:         Currencies                         daily %    YTD %                                       change   change                              Latest              Brazil real                2.0280     0.52    -7.86                                                  Mexico peso               13.0821     0.35     6.78   Argentina peso*            6.3200     0.47   -25.16                                                  Chile peso               475.9000     1.03     9.12                                                  Colombian peso         1,803.6500     0.30     7.47                                                  Peru sol                   2.6080     0.12     3.41                                                  * Argentine peso's rate between                       brokerages  
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