Monday, September 3, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: RPT-EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX little changed on weak data, stimulus hopes

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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RPT-EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX little changed on weak data, stimulus hopes
Sep 3rd 2012, 19:36

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Mon Sep 3, 2012 3:36pm EDT

  * Trading volumes fall due to U.S. Labor Day holiday      * Weak Chinese data weighs on commodity exporters      * Stimulus expectations support Latam currencies          By Natalia Cacioli and Lorena Segura      SAO PAULO/MEXICO CITY, Sept 3 (Reuters) - Latin American  currencies were little changed on Monday after weak Chinese  manufacturing data dimmed the outlook for commodity exporters,  while hopes of further U.S. monetary stimulus supported  prospects for dollar inflows to emerging economies.      The Mexican peso was slightly stronger at 13.1820 per  dollar as trading volume slacked off due to the Labor Day  holiday in the United States.      "There's nothing going on today. The peso will likely trade  at 13.1821 from here to the end of the session," said Javier  Benavides, a trader at currency brokerage Base in Monterrey,  Mexico.       The Brazilian real  dipped 0.02 percent to  2.0305 per greenback after an official reading on China's  manufacturing sector fell below 50, the level separating growth  from contraction, for the first time since November. China is  Brazil's main trading partner.       A similar survey from Markit, sponsored by HSBC, showed  Chinese factory activity shrinking at its fastest pace since  March 2009.      Poor manufacturing data was also seen in the euro zone,  where activity contracted for the 13th month. The numbers added  to expectations the European Central Bank will soon provide  details about a much-anticipated bond-buying program to lower  borrowing costs for countries such as Spain and Italy.      Investors expect details to be released at the end of the  ECB's monetary policy meeting on Thursday.      Benavides said the ECB's announcement could be positive but  it unlikely will help the peso appreciate. A reading on Friday  in line or below expectations for the U.S. labor market could  weaken the peso, he said.      "We are still awaiting new stimulus measures; the focus now  is on the ECB meeting," said Mauricio Nakahodo, an economic  research consultant with Tokyo-Mitsubishi bank in Sao Paulo.      In Brazil, Nakahodo added, the real is expected to remain  trading within a narrow range of 2.0 to 2.1 per dollar, a level  "that stimulates exporters but does not bring inflationary  pressures."                    Latin American FX prices at 1920 GMT:     Brazil real                2.0305    -0.02    -7.98                                                  Mexico peso               13.1854     0.11     5.95                                                  Argentina peso*            6.3200     0.79   -25.16                                                  Chile peso               480.0000     0.08     8.19                                                  Colombia peso         Holiday      Market   Closed                                                  Peru sol                   2.6070     0.12     3.45                                                  * Argentine peso's rate between                       brokerages  
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