Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Yen crawls toward 4-month low vs dollar, euro steady

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Yen crawls toward 4-month low vs dollar, euro steady
Nov 1st 2012, 03:18

Wed Oct 31, 2012 11:18pm EDT

* Yen dips on Japanese importer selling

* Despite initial disappointment, BOJ easing may have teeth

* Euro hobbled by uncertainty over Spain, Greece

* China data not clear-cut enough to lift Aussie out of range

* U.S. jobs data, election big focus

By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO, Nov 1 (Reuters) - The yen dipped on Thursday, edging closer to a four-month low on Japanese importers' selling the currency and as the market viewed the Bank of Japan's latest easing steps more positively.

Other major currencies were mostly steady as investors looked to crucial events in the United States in coming days, including Friday's jobs report and elections on Tuesday.

The dollar rose 0.3 percent to 79.99 yen, fully recovering the lost ground on disappointment after the BOJ's easing on Tuesday and inching towards the four-month high of 80.38 hit last Friday.

"Those who just trade on news headlines sold dollar/yen after the BOJ. But the BOJ's latest stance is quite aggressive as it plans to keep easy policy until deflation ends, thus likely to keep the dollar supported," said Minori Uchida, chief FX strategist at the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ.

On Tuesday, the BOJ increased its asset purchase programme by 11 trillion yen, a move that was roughly in line with market expectations, though some traders were betting on a bigger move, partly as the BOJ's policy meeting lasted longer than usual.

The catalyst for the dollar's gain on Thursday was large bids from a Japanese importer. Analysts noted that corporate currency flows tend to favour the dollar these days because of Japan's trade deficit -- a sea change from just a few years ago when exporters' yen buying dwarfed importers' yen selling.

Nonetheless, there are dollar offers from Japanese exporters above the four-month high, suggesting the dollar's further advance would likely depend on a strong job growth figure in the United States from the payrolls data, traders also said.

The data is expected to show job growth picked up in October, to 125,000, but not enough to keep the unemployment rate from rising from a four-year low.

Another potential boost for the dollar would be the outcome of the U.S. presidential election. There is a rough consensus in financial markets that a victory by Republican candidate Mitt Romney would lift U.S. bonds yields and dollar/yen, which often tracks U.S. bond yields.

U.S. bonds are seen vulnerable to a Romney presidency because of Republican opposition to the Fed's bond buying programme as well as hopes for pro-business policies that would boost risk sentiment.

But analysts also say results of Congressional elections could be equally important, as Congress will have to deal with the so-called fiscal cliff -- up to $600 billion in expiring tax cuts and spending reduction that is set to kick in next year -- which threatens to hurt the U.S. economy severely.

PROGRESS? WHAT PROGRESS?

The euro bought $1.2966, little changed from its New York close, having again found the going tough above $1.3000. It remained well within a $1.2800-1.3200 range seen since early September.

Ongoing uncertainty about if and when Spain will seek a bailout and trigger the European Central Bank's bond-buying programme and whether Greece will secure more emergency loans continued to dog the single currency.

Concerns about Greece could come under the spotlight in coming days as international lenders and euro zone finance ministers try to seal a deal to keep the near-bankrupt state afloat at a euro zone finance ministers' conference on Nov. 12.

German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said there was considerable progress after a euro zone teleconference on Wednesday, but another person on the call said there was no real progress because the International Monetary Fund remained at loggerheads with Germany on the need for European government lenders to participate in reducing Greece's debt burden.

Parliament in Athens took a step forward by narrowly passing a required privatisation measure, but the precariousness of the government's majority fuelled doubts about the passage next week of other more contentious reforms international lenders demand.

Prime Minister Antonis Samaras has said that the country's euro cash reserves are running out on Nov. 16, unless it gets fresh bailout money.

The Australian dollar hardly budged as Chinese manufacturing data pointed to a tentative recovery but lacked the punch to dispel concerns about further slowdown.

The Aussie stood flat at $1.0371, near the top of its $1.02-1.04 range of the past few weeks.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares retreat ahead of China data

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-Asian shares retreat ahead of China data
Nov 1st 2012, 00:16

Wed Oct 31, 2012 8:16pm EDT

* MSCI Asia ex-Japan inches lower, Nikkei flat at open

* China official manufacturing PMI due at 0100 GMT

By Chikako Mogi

TOKYO, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Asian shares fell on Thursday as investors waited for China's official manufacturing PMI for insight into whether growth in the world's second largest economy was bottoming out.

The MSCI index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan eased 0.3 percent after ending October with a 0.5 percent gain, in contrast to September's 5.6 percent rise.

Australian shares fell 0.7 percent as miners and banks retreated ahead of the Chinese data, while South Korean shares opened down 0.4 percent.

The final reading of China's HSBC manufacturing PMI for smaller firms will also be reported.

"Last month, both (Chinese PMI) reports showed a rebound from the previous result and could be the start of a new trend if it continues to improve," said Neal Gilbert, currency strategist at GFT Forex in New Jersey, in a note.

"Any negative result could send the AUD/USD down to test and perhaps break support around 1.0350," he said. China is Australia's largest export destination and its data affects the Australian dollar, which stood steady around $1.0369.

China's official manufacturing PMI due at 0100 GMT will likely show a rebound to 50.3 in October from 49.8 in September to suggest factory output picking up again after two months of slowing growth.

Japan's Nikkei average opened flat.

European stocks dipped after a mixed batch of corporate earnings, and U.S. stocks were nearly flat in the wake of massive storm Sandy, that caused the market's first weather-related two-day closure since the late 19th century.

"New York shares were softer towards the closing, which doesn't leave a good impression. The market may take a wait-and-see stance as the U.S. job data is just around the corner," said Yutaka Miura, senior technical analyst at Mizuho Securities.

The dollar firmed 0.1 percent against the yen to 79.84 .

An uncertainty over bailouts for Greece and Spain, the pending "fiscal cliff" of tax increases and U.S. government spending cuts, and an outcome of a tight U.S. presidential race before the Nov. 6 elections have kept markets directionless.

Investors instead focused on third-quarter corporate earnings and outlook amid a lacklustre global economy.

A gauge of Australian manufacturing activity released on Thursday showed the sector contracted in October for an eight month, with the exports sub-index sliding to the lowest level in over a year.

Later on Thursday, investors will also eye the U.S. ISM index of national manufacturing conditions, seen holding above 50 for a second straight month in October.

After that, the next key event is the October U.S. payrolls number due on Friday, which is expected to have expanded by 125,000, with the unemployment rate ticking up to 7.9 percent from September's 7.8 percent.

The euro was pinned to the recent $1.28-$1.32 range, trading steady at $1.2962.

Euro zone finance ministers held a teleconference on Wednesday without any breakthrough on Greece, which said on Wednesday that it will overshoot its deficit and debt targets again next year because of a deeper than forecast recession.

Eurogroup chairman Jean-Claude Juncker said he expected a deal at the finance ministers' face-to-face meeting on Nov. 12 provided Greece had completed a list of prior actions.

Brent and U.S. benchmark crude posted losses for October for the second consecutive monthly declines, undermined by slowing global growth and expectations of more North Sea supply.

U.S. crude inched down 0.1 percent at $86.06 a barrel and Brent fell 0.2 percent to $108.45.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: TABLE-Foreign brokers set to buy Japanese stocks

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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TABLE-Foreign brokers set to buy Japanese stocks
Oct 31st 2012, 23:12

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro, AUD calm ahead of China PMI

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FOREX-Euro, AUD calm ahead of China PMI
Oct 31st 2012, 23:22

Wed Oct 31, 2012 7:22pm EDT

* Euro flat, struggles above $1.3000

* Market awaits China manufacturing data due 0100 GMT

* Investors looking for signs of China slowdown stabilising

By Ian Chua

SYDNEY, Nov 1 (Reuters) - The euro and commodity currencies got off to a steadier start on Thursday following a choppy session overnight that saw Wall Street end flat after a two-day closure due to Hurricane Sandy.

Trading was expected to remain subdued in early Asian dealings as investors wait for the latest reading on China's manufacturing data due around 0100 GMT.

Any confirmation that China's slowdown has stabilised could help lift risk sentiment, underpinning the euro and commodity currencies such as the Australian dollar in particular.

"Certainly the signs are there that China's economy may be stabilising and that's positive. But a lot of that kind of thinking is already priced in. There are still question marks over the leadership transition in China," said Greg Gibbs, senior FX strategist at RBS in Singapore.

The euro bought $1.2960, little changed from its New York close, having again found the going tough above $1.3000. It remained well within a $1.2800/1.3200 range seen since early September.

The pullback in the euro from levels above $1.3000 saw the dollar index climb off a one-week low of 79.270 to 79.933.

Ongoing uncertainty about if and when Spain will seek a bailout and trigger the European Central Bank's bond-buying programme and whether Greece will secure more emergency loans continued to dog the single currency.

Euro zone finance ministers made progress on Wednesday on ways to keep Greece afloat, but Athens still needs to push through spending cuts and tax measures worth 13.5 billion ($17.5 billion) as well as a raft of economic reforms to receive fresh bailout money.

Against the yen, the greenback fetched 79.82, having recovered from a fall to 79.26 on Tuesday when investors briefly unwound bearish yen positions after the Bank of Japan balked at taking bolder steps to stimulate the Japanese economy.

The Canadian dollar, meanwhile, stayed on the defensive after the Canadian economy unexpectedly contracted in August for the first time in six months. That helped the greenback rise back above parity.

"Despite the disappointment, we do not expect the monthly GDP report to have a significant impact on the BoC's current rhetoric that highlights a tightening bias to gradually removing policy accommodation over time," Bricklin Dwyer, analyst at BNP Paribas wrote in a client note. "We continue to expect the BoC to remain on hold until the middle of 2013."

The Aussie traded at $1.0371, taking a bit of breather after rising as high as $1.0400 on Wednesday, near the October peak of $1.0412. A break there would take it back to highs not seen since late September.

Following the Chinese data, all eyes will be on the influential U.S. non-farm payrolls report on Friday. The data is expected to show job growth picked up in October, but not enough to keep the unemployment rate from rising from a four-year low.

"Expect any significant surprises to force sharp moves in the U.S. currency as traders attempt to telegraph the U.S. Federal Reserve's next steps," said David Rodriguez, strategist at DailyFX.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: CANADA FX DEBT-C$ ends near flat after GDP data shows contraction

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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CANADA FX DEBT-C$ ends near flat after GDP data shows contraction
Oct 31st 2012, 20:54

Wed Oct 31, 2012 4:54pm EDT

  * C$ ends at C$0.9990 to US$, or $1.0010      * Weakened below parity before clawing back      * Canada GDP data shows 0.1 percent contraction in August      * Rate rise seen pushed farther out, bond prices rise        By Andrea Hopkins      TORONTO, Oct 31 (Reuters) - The Canadian dollar weakened  below parity against the U.S. currency before clawing back to  end little changed on Wednesday after data showed the Canadian  economy contracted unexpectedly in August.      The currency weakened to a session low shortly after the  gross domestic product data pointed to slower growth in the  third quarter and supported the Bank of Canada's message that  interest rate hikes are not imminent. It later pared those  losses.       "We are pretty much ending unchanged from where we started  the day, but we saw a 50-point range and that's the largest  we've seen in a week," said Dave Bradley, director of foreign  exchange trading at Scotiabank.      The Canadian dollar ended the North American  session at C$0.9990 to the greenback, or $1.0010, compared with  C$0.9993, or $1.0007, at Tuesday's close.      Bradley said the market was still suffering from poor  liquidity due to the absence of many U.S. traders recovering  from monster storm Sandy.      "Despite the U.S. equity markets opening again, a lot of New  York based participants are out of the market ... I think  liquidity and general flow is at a minimum," Bradley said.      With Oct. 31 marking the end of the financial reporting year  for Canadian banks, Bradley noted the Canadian currency was  virtually unchanged from a year ago within a few basis points of  parity.       Mark Chandler, head of Canadian fixed income and currency   strategy at Royal Bank of Canada, said the currency could be  weighed down by the August GDP numbers, which showed a 0.1  percent contraction, through to the end of the week.          "It'll linger for a little bit, the only thing that could  change the tune on this is we have payrolls," he said.       Canada and the United States are set to release monthly  employment data on Friday.       U.S. equity markets were mostly flat on Wednesday, opening  for the first time this week after shutting their doors ahead of  Hurricane Sandy.       With the GDP data backing up recent Bank of Canada comments  that rate rises are "less imminent", the price of Canadian  government debt turned positive after the data, especially at  the front end of the curve, and outperformed U.S. Treasuries.         The two-year bond was up 5 Canadian cents to  yield 1.076 percent, while the benchmark 10-year bond   rose 20 Canadian cents to yield 1.788 percent.      Overnight index swaps, which trade based on expectations for  the central bank's key policy rate, showed that after the data  traders pulled their bets on the possibility of a rate hike in  late 2013.  
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Reuters: US Dollar Report: Bank of Canada chief-"A lot" of headwinds hitting economy

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Bank of Canada chief-"A lot" of headwinds hitting economy
Oct 31st 2012, 21:06

Wed Oct 31, 2012 5:06pm EDT

* Central bank has signaled rate hike not imminent

* Warns that bond markets can also influence mortgage rates

* Says Canada's financial sector not too big

By Randall Palmer

OTTAWA, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney, on the heels of telling markets that an interest rate hike was not imminent, offered several reasons on Wednesday for why the central bank has kept rates exceptionally low.

"There are a lot of headwinds against the Canadian economy from the rest of the world, there's a challenge to encourage business to invest, there are pressures on the currency," Carney told a parliamentary committee.

"There are a variety of reasons why it's advantageous to have very accommodative monetary policy and that's what we have here in Canada, very accommodative monetary policy."

The Bank of Canada is the only central bank in the Group of Seven leading industrialized nations which has hinted at raising interest rates. But Carney has effectively cautioned that it will be some time before it withdraws monetary stimulus.

That message was reinforced on Wednesday by data showing the Canadian economy shrank in August for the first time in six months, an unexpected contraction that pointed to a sharp slowdown in third-quarter growth.

HOUSING MARKET, DEBT GROWTH COOLING

Carney, who was testifying to the Senate banking committee following the release of the bank's quarterly Monetary Policy Report, was asked what could be done to contain what has been a hot housing market and high household debt levels.

He repeated his line that moving rates higher should be the last line of defense, though he said that ideally monetary policy should be complementary to other government measures.

Carney said condominium markets remained hot while other parts of the housing sector were adjusting to government measures to tighten mortgage insurance rules.

He warned that even if the central bank does not raise its main policy rate, individuals face the risk of higher mortgages rates because of what happens to the bond market.

"There are scenarios where there could be an increase over time in government bond rates, not because of monetary policy but because of just the sheer level of borrowing and uncertainty that develop on a global scale about the sustainability, so a credit premium coming into those bonds, and so that would also affect mortgage rates as well over time," he said.

Carney is also chairman of the international Financial Stability Board, and he addressed the issue of banks being considered too big to fail.

"There are two broader issues for a country like Canada that need to be considered. The first is relative size of the financial sector versus the economy as a whole ... We don't think this is the case in Canada but there were other economies in the world where the size of their financial sector was multiples of their GDP," he said.

"Every economy has to think about this question of ending too big to fail, and ending the perception of too big to fail and ... ending too big to fail is central to the agenda of the Financial Stability Board and by extension to Canada as a whole."

Carney said he did not believe there should be a specific cap on the size of banks in Canada, as there is in some other countries. But he said there was an effective limit on concentration and size, with the ultimate responsibility held by the finance minister.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro up vs dollar, yen; posts 3rd straight monthly gain

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro up vs dollar, yen; posts 3rd straight monthly gain
Oct 31st 2012, 20:37

Wed Oct 31, 2012 4:37pm EDT

  * Euro gains may be unsustainable      * Dollar set to gain 2.5 pct vs yen in October -best since  Feb      * Trading subdued ahead of non-farm payrolls        By Wanfeng Zhou and Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss      NEW YORK, Oct 31 (Reuters) - The euro drifted higher against  the dollar and yen on Wednesday and posted its third straight  month of gains, but uncertainty about the heavily indebted  euro-zone economies could limit further strength.      Gains in equity markets early in the day lifted the euro  above $1.30, but momentum faded as Wall Street turned negative  and uncertainty remained about how to keep Greece afloat and  when Spain may ask for a bailout.      "We still don't see any reason to be buying the euro,  especially above $1.30," said John Doyle, currency strategist at  Tempus Consulting, in Washington.      "We're looking for optimism in (Greece and Portugal) and we   still don't really see it going long term. We're waiting for  Spain to act, and that hasn't happened."      The euro was slightly higher against the dollar at $1.2959  , after hitting a session peak of $1.3021 on Reuters data,  roughly a one-week high. The euro posted a gain of 0.9 percent  this month.      Trading was subdued, with many traders sidelined ahead of  the U.S. non-farm payrolls report for October.      It could take several sessions for U.S. trading to get back  to normal levels after a massive storm closed markets for two  consecutive days to begin the week.      Ahead of Friday's comprehensive look at the U.S. job market,  investors on Thursday will look to the all-important ISM index  of national manufacturing conditions, seen holding above 50 for  a second straight month in October. That would suggest an  expansion.      Against the yen, the euro climbed 0.2 percent to 103.40 yen  . The euro posted a 3.2 percent gain this month, its  best monthly performance against the currency since June.      Euro-zone ministers received more bad news on Wednesday when  Athens more than halved its forecast for a budget surplus before  debt-servicing costs next year, dimming one of its few bright  spots as rounds of austerity deepen a recession already into its  fifth year.       Greece needs to push through spending cuts and tax measures  worth 13.5 billion euros ($17.5 billion) as well as a raft of  economic reforms to appease EU and IMF lenders and secure  bailout money to avoid bankruptcy.       In Spain, Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy does not see an  urgent need to seek a rescue for government finances, a  government source told Reuters on Wednesday.       "He has spent nearly three months avoiding a decision, which  has frustrated euro officials," said Sean Cotton, foreign  exchange adviser at Bank of the West in San Ramon, California.      A Spanish bailout is widely seen as a positive step for  Europe because it would activate the European Central Bank's  bond-buying program aimed at lowering borrowing costs for  indebted countries.            JOBS DATA AHEAD      Insurance payouts in the wake of monstrous storm Sandy could  weigh on the dollar, although a rise in domestic demand for  repair work could boost it.       Investors' focus began to shift to Friday's U.S. jobs report  for October, which comes days before the presidential election.      "The market has to price in quite a few variables - weaker  earnings, the aftermath of Sandy, nonfarm payrolls and the U.S.  elections," said Dean Popplewell, senior currency strategist at  OANDA in Toronto.         The Labor Department said it will release the October jobs  data on Friday at 8:30 a.m. (1230 GMT), as scheduled, even  though the storm forced the government to shut down for two  days.       Employers are expected to have added 125,000 jobs to their  payrolls in October, up from 114,000 in September, according to  a Reuters survey of economists. The unemployment rate is  forecast to tick up a tenth of a percentage point to 7.9 percent  after a dramatic 0.3 percentage point fall in  September.       Against the Swiss franc, the euro hit a three-week low of  1.2065 francs on trading platform EBS, with some market players  citing increased repatriation flows from deleveraging by Swiss  Bank UBS, which cut 10,000 jobs this week.       The Swiss National Bank cut its holdings of euros to 49  percent in the third quarter from 60.1 percent in the second,  data showed on Wednesday.      The dollar was up 0.3 percent at 79.86 yen,  recovering from a fall to 79.25 yen on Tuesday. For the month of  October, the dollar posted a gain of 2.4 percent against the yen  - the best monthly performance since February.  
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Reuters: US Dollar Report: Bank of Canada's Carney speaks in Ottawa

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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Bank of Canada's Carney speaks in Ottawa
Oct 31st 2012, 20:00

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: UPDATE 1-Luxembourg's Yves Mersch to get ECB job latest Nov. 5

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UPDATE 1-Luxembourg's Yves Mersch to get ECB job latest Nov. 5
Oct 31st 2012, 19:24

Wed Oct 31, 2012 3:24pm EDT

* European Parliament wanted female candidate

* Mersch known for tough anti-inflation stance

By Claire Davenport

BRUSSELS, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Luxembourg central banker Yves Mersch is set to be appointed as the sixth member of the European Central Bank's executive board by Monday, following a delay amid calls for the bank to appoint a woman instead, EU sources said on Wednesday.

The 63-year old Luxembourg central banker would get the job even though the European Parliament had voted against his appointment to the post a week ago, the sources said.

"Written procedure was launched today with deadline Monday," one of the sources said.

Written procedure is the final step in an appointment for the executive board, where member states confirm their agreement a last time.

Mersch is an inflation-fighting hardliner whose policy views are close to those of the Bundesbank, the German central bank, which has lacked a close ally on the executive board since German Juergen Stark quit last year.

The decision follows complaints from the parliament that member states were not sufficiently considering female candidates fill the vacant post.

The ECB's last female policymaker, Austria's Gertrude Tumpel-Gugerell, left at the end of her term in 2011.

Currently, all the ECB's 23-member governing council - made up of the six executive board members and the 17 national central bank chiefs of euro zone states - are men. The next scheduled board vacancy will not be until 2018.

In a plenary vote last Thursday, the European Parliament rejected Mersch's candidacy by 325 votes to 300, saying insufficient effort had been made to find suitable women candidates for the post. Forty-nine lawmakers abstained.

The vote showed the parliament's willingness to take a tough stance on such a sensitive issue of economic management at a time of crisis for the single currency.

However, ECB President Mario Draghi said that the executive board should - especially in a time of crisis - be completed and that Mersch's nomination should go through.

Despite the parliament's vote, EU member states have the final say on ECB board members. Herman Van Rompuy, the head of the European Council, which represents member states, said that efforts had been made to secure female applicants, and that it was up to member states to put forward qualified candidates.

Mersch was nominated to replace Spain's Jose Manuel Gonzalez Paramo on the ECB's top decision-making body, the six-member executive board, at the end of May this year. Mersch is scheduled to take up his post on November 15.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares falter, gasoline rises after storm's damage

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GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares falter, gasoline rises after storm's damage
Oct 31st 2012, 19:51

Wed Oct 31, 2012 3:51pm EDT

* U.S. stocks near break-even as Wall Street reopens after 2-day closure

* Euro holds within recent ranges ahead of U.S. jobs data

* Oil settles below $109 a barrel in face of potential supply rupture

* Gasoline futures gain on refinery concerns, lumber futures soar

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Wall Street resumed trading on Wednesday with shares mostly flat after monster storm Sandy forced a two-day closure due to weather for the first time since 1888, but U.S. gasoline futures surged in the face of potentially long-term supply disruptions at the East Coast's second-largest refinery.

The storm left swaths of the region crippled by flooding and power outages, suggesting lower fuel consumption. But gasoline futures for November hit their highest level in more than two weeks as traders scrambled to cover positions ahead of the contract's expiry later Wednesday.

U.S. lumber futures soared on expectations for increased demand, while gasoline surged on concerns that a Phillips 66 refinery in Linden, New Jersey, could shut for an extended period after Sandy cut power to the plant that produces 238,000 barrels a day of fuel.

The storm, which killed at least 64 people, may cause up to $15 billion in insured losses, according to one disaster-modeling company. Speculators were behind much of the buying in lumber and gasoline futures in anticipation of rising demand, traders said.

"You see a lot of funds hedging themselves and speculation there could be a lot of damage" from Sandy, said Richard Ilczyszyn, chief market strategist and founder of iitrader.com LLC in Chicago.

Contracts for November, January and March lumber futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange rose by the daily trading limit of $10 per thousand board feet and remained locked at those levels, effectively shutting down trading.

Many traders were unable to get to their offices or work from home because of wide-ranging power outages and no or limited public transit across the region.

The New York Stock Exchange re-opened, though not everything was back to normal. Cell phone reception was sketchy on NYSE's floor, so traders milled outside to make calls, e-mail or text.

"The open was a positive relief after four days of sitting on edge," said Larry Leibowitz, chief operating officer at the exchange's operator, NYSE Euronext. "No matter how much planning you do, you can't foresee that kind of flooding."

The Dow Jones industrial average was down 0.34 point, or 0.00 percent, at 13,106.87. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was up 1.29 points, or 0.09 percent, at 1,413.23. The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 0.37 percent, or 10.91 points, at 2,977.04.

MSCI's all-country world equity index was up 0.05 percent at 329.30, on track for its first monthly loss since May. The index has gained more than 10 percent so far this year.

In Europe, stocks dipped after a mixed batch of corporate earnings, pressured by heavyweight British oil and gas firm BG Group, which warned of no production growth next year.

The FTSEurofirst 300 closed down 0.6 percent at 1,096.38. BG slumped 13.7 percent to 1,147.5 pence, the biggest loser on Britain's blue-chip FTSE 100 index.

Crude oil prices were mixed, with Brent crude closing below $109 a barrel. Brent for December delivery fell 38 cents to settle at $108.70. U.S. light sweet crude oil settled up 56 cents at $86.24 a barrel.

U.S. Treasury prices rose on month-end extension trades after trading resumed after Sandy shut the bond market for a day and a half.

Bond prices rose. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was up 5/32 in price to yield 1.691 percent.

The euro edged up against the dollar and headed toward its third straight month of gains. But uncertainty about the heavily indebted euro-zone economies was set to limit further strength.

The euro rose 0.06 percent against the dollar to $1.2964.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares trade flat, gasoline up after storm's damage

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares trade flat, gasoline up after storm's damage
Oct 31st 2012, 20:26

Wed Oct 31, 2012 4:26pm EDT

* U.S. stocks trade flat as Wall Street reopens after 2-day closure

* Euro holds within recent ranges ahead of U.S. jobs data

* Oil settles below $109 a barrel in face of potential supply rupture

* Gasoline futures gain on refinery concerns, lumber futures soar

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Wall Street resumed trading on Wednesday with shares ending near break-even after monster storm Sandy forced a two-day closure due to weather for the first time since 1888, but U.S. gasoline futures surged in the face of potentially long-term supply disruptions at the East Coast's second-largest refinery.

The storm left swaths of the region crippled by flooding and power outages, suggesting lower fuel consumption. But gasoline futures for November hit their highest level in more than two weeks as traders scrambled to cover positions ahead of the contract's expiry later Wednesday.

U.S. lumber futures soared on expectations for increased demand, while gasoline surged on concerns that a Phillips 66 refinery in Linden, New Jersey, could shut for an extended period after Sandy cut power to the plant that produces 238,000 barrels a day of fuel.

The storm, which killed at least 64 people, may cause up to $15 billion in insured losses, according to one disaster-modeling company. Speculators were behind much of the buying in lumber and gasoline futures in anticipation of rising demand, traders said.

"You see a lot of funds hedging themselves and speculation there could be a lot of damage" from Sandy, said Richard Ilczyszyn, chief market strategist and founder of iitrader.com LLC in Chicago.

Contracts for November, January and March lumber futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange rose by the daily trading limit of $10 per thousand board feet and remained locked at those levels, effectively shutting down trading.

Many traders were unable to get to their offices or work from home because of wide-ranging power outages and no or limited public transit across the region.

The New York Stock Exchange re-opened, though not everything was back to normal. Cell phone reception was sketchy on NYSE's floor, so traders milled outside to make calls, e-mail or text.

"The open was a positive relief after four days of sitting on edge," said Larry Leibowitz, chief operating officer at the exchange's operator, NYSE Euronext. "No matter how much planning you do, you can't foresee that kind of flooding."

The Dow Jones industrial average closed down 10.67 points, or 0.08 percent, at 13,096.54. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 0.22 points, or 0.02 percent, at 1,412.16. The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 0.36 percent, or 10.72 points, at 2,977.23.

For the month, the Dow fell 2.5 percent, the S&P 500 slipped 2 percent and the Nasdaq was off 4.5 percent.

MSCI's all-country world equity index was up 0.01 percent at 329.16, on track for its first monthly loss since May. The index has gained more than 10 percent so far this year.

In Europe, stocks dipped after a mixed batch of corporate earnings, pressured by heavyweight British oil and gas firm BG Group, which warned of no production growth next year.

The FTSEurofirst 300 closed down 0.6 percent at 1,096.38. BG slumped 13.7 percent to 1,147.5 pence, the biggest loser on Britain's blue-chip FTSE 100 index.

Crude oil prices were mixed, with Brent crude closing below $109 a barrel. Brent for December delivery fell 38 cents to settle at $108.70. U.S. light sweet crude oil settled up 56 cents at $86.24 a barrel.

U.S. Treasury debt prices rose on month-end extension trades as trading resumed after Sandy shut the bond market for a day and a half.

The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was up 4/32 in price to yield 1.6962 percent.

The euro edged up against the dollar and headed toward its third straight month of gains. But uncertainty about the heavily indebted euro-zone economies was set to limit further strength.

The euro rose 0.01 percent against the dollar to $1.2957.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: HIGHLIGHTS-Bank of Canada's Carney speaks in Ottawa

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
HIGHLIGHTS-Bank of Canada's Carney speaks in Ottawa
Oct 31st 2012, 18:41

Wed Oct 31, 2012 2:41pm EDT

Oct 31 (Reuters) - Below are key quotes from an appearance by Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney on Wednesday in Ottawa:

"When you're in a situation, as we are, where debt as a whole is very high relative to income in the economy, the possibility of procyclicality happening when there is a shock to the economy, so there is a shock, unemployment goes up, some people start to be unable to service their mortgage for obvious reasons, that starts to hit house prices. That reduces the willingness of people to buy houses. At the moment they hold back as prices move down, and there is less activity in the housing sector, there's more unemployment. These types of procyclicalities can cause the problem. It's one of the reasons why we obviously focus on the debt side and the liquidity and the ability to service that debt side on a variety of circumstances. All that said, our warnings about this issue are driven from a position of the country and officials and individuals being able to do something about it. The horse is not out of the barn."

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: Thomson Reuters investigates foreign exchange client

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
Thomson Reuters investigates foreign exchange client
Oct 31st 2012, 18:25

Wed Oct 31, 2012 2:25pm EDT

Oct 31 (Reuters) - Thomson Reuters Corp is investigating whether one of its currency trading customers gained an unfair advantage when making high speed foreign exchange trades on its platform.

Lucid Markets, a privately held electronic trading firm registered in Great Britain, may have benefited from trades using several connections on the Thomson Reuters Matching platform.

"As the operator of one of the largest FX dealing communities, providing a level and fair playing field for the community is paramount," said a Thomson Reuters spokeswoman.

The spokeswoman confirmed that an investigation was initiated when Thomson Reuters became aware of the issue, saying, "Thomson Reuters takes any accusations seriously and uses all the tools at its disposal to enforce its rules." She declined to provide further details as the investigation has not yet concluded.

Dierk Reuter, a founding partner at Lucid Markets in London who has no other known association with Thomson Reuters, said his firm is collaborating with Thomson Reuters on the probe. "We believe that we have been in compliance with Thomson Reuters instructions at all times," he said.

Clients are allowed two connections: one for trading and another as a backup.

A spokesperson for Lucid Markets in New York said the company is "still currently connected and trading through Thomson Reuters."

The investigation was first reported on Wednesday by Dow Jones, which competes with Thomson Reuters.

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Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares fall, gasoline rises after storm's damage

Reuters: US Dollar Report
Reuters.com is your source for breaking news, business, financial and investing news, including personal finance and stocks. Reuters is the leading global provider of news, financial information and technology solutions to the world's media, financial institutions, businesses and individuals. // via fulltextrssfeed.com
GLOBAL MARKETS-Shares fall, gasoline rises after storm's damage
Oct 31st 2012, 18:35

Wed Oct 31, 2012 2:35pm EDT

* U.S. stocks flat to lower as Wall Street reopens after 2-day closure

* Euro holds within recent ranges ahead of U.S. jobs data

* Oil above $109 a barrel as U.S. East Coast refineries return

* Gasoline futures gain on refinery concerns, lumber futures soar

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Wall Street resumed trading on Wednesday with shares moving lower after monster storm Sandy forced a two-day closure due to weather for the first time since 1888, but U.S. gasoline futures surged in the face of potentially long-term supply disruptions at the East Coast's second-largest refinery.

The storm left swaths of the region crippled by flooding and power outages, suggesting lower fuel consumption. But gasoline futures for November hit their highest level in more than two weeks as traders scrambled to cover positions ahead of the contract's expiry later Wednesday.

U.S. lumber futures soared on expectations for increased demand, while gasoline surged on concerns that a Phillips 66 refinery in Linden, New Jersey, could shut for an extended period after Sandy cut power to the plant that produces 238,000 barrels a day of fuel.

The storm, which killed at least 50 people, may cause up to $15 billion in insured losses, according to one disaster-modeling company. Speculators were behind much of the buying in lumber and gasoline futures in anticipation of rising demand, traders said.

"You see a lot of funds hedging themselves and speculation there could be a lot of damage" from Sandy, said Richard Ilczyszyn, chief market strategist and founder of iitrader.com LLC in Chicago.

Contracts for November, January and March lumber futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange rose by the daily trading limit of $10 per thousand board feet and remained locked at those levels, effectively shutting down trading.

Many traders were unable to get to their offices or work from home because of wide-ranging power outages and no or limited public transit across the region.

The New York Stock Exchange re-opened, though not everything was back to normal. Cell phone reception was sketchy on NYSE's floor, so traders milled outside to make calls, e-mail or text.

"The open was a positive relief after four days of sitting on edge," said Larry Leibowitz, chief operating officer at the exchange's operator, NYSE Euronext. "No matter how much planning you do, you can't foresee that kind of flooding."

The Dow Jones industrial average was down 12.37 points, or 0.09 percent, at 13,094.84. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index was down 0.45 points, or 0.03 percent, at 1,411.49. The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 0.47 percent, or 14.11 points, at 2,973.84.

MSCI's all-country world equity index was down 0.03 percent at 329.02, on track for its first monthly loss since May. The index has gained more than 10 percent so far this year.

In Europe, stocks dipped after a mixed batch of corporate earnings, pressured by heavyweight British oil and gas firm BG Group, which warned of no production growth next year.

The FTSEurofirst 300 closed down 0.6 percent at 1,096.38. BG slumped 13.7 percent to 1,147.5 pence, the biggest loser on Britain's blue-chip FTSE 100 index.

Crude oil gained, with Brent crude rising above $109 a barrel. Brent for December delivery was up 5 cents at $109.13. U.S. light sweet crude oil rose 82 cents to $86.50 a barrel.

U.S. Treasury prices rose on month-end extension trades after trading resumed after Sandy shut the bond market for a day and a half.

Bond prices rose. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was up 4/32 in price to yield 1.6962 percent.

The euro edged up against the dollar and headed toward its third straight month of gains. But uncertainty about the heavily indebted euro-zone economies was set to limit further strength.

The euro rose 0.07 percent against the dollar to $1.2964.

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