Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Mexico peso gains on US fiscal hopes; real down

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Mexico peso gains on US fiscal hopes; real down
Nov 28th 2012, 20:22

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Wed Nov 28, 2012 3:22pm EST

  By Danielle Fonseca and Jean Arce      SAO PAULO/MEXICO CITY, Nov 28 (Reuters) - Latin American  currencies were flat to stronger on Wednesday on optimism over  U.S. fiscal cliff negotiations, but the Brazilian real slid as  investors tested the central bank's tolerance to a weaker  currency.      The Mexican peso gained 0.4 percent to 12.9920 per  dollar, and looked set to hold past the level of 13 per dollar  for the first in three sessions.      It erased early losses after a top Republican voiced  optimism that his party could broker a deal with the White House  to avoid harsh spending cuts and tax hikes that are set to kick  in next year, potentially driving the world's largest economy  into recession.      Most Latin American currencies trimmed losses after the  comments by U.S. House Speaker John Boehner, and after President  Barack Obama said he hoped an agreement could be reached before  Christmas.        "Above all, the comments made by U.S. lawmakers bolstered  currency markets, especially the Mexican peso which is extremely  linked to the U.S. fiscal cliff discussions," said Ezequiel  Aguirre, a strategist with Bank of America Merrill Lynch in New  York.      The Brazilian real  weakened 0.4 percent to  2.0893 per dollar, however, as investors wondered if the central  bank would intervene again if the currency continued to approach  the level of 2.1 per dollar.       Last Friday, as the real traded around 2.11 per dollar, the  central band called an auction of traditional currency swaps,  derivative contracts that emulate the sale of dollars in the  futures market.       The bank sold about half of the 62,800 swaps offered at the  auction, partly cancelling some reverse swaps that are due to  expire early next month, and raising questions whether it would  offer the other half in the next few days.        Traders said some investors were also weakening the exchange  rate to push for a more favorable month-end Ptax rate -- an  average dollar-real rate which is used to settle everything from  export payments to foreign loans.      "It's very likely for the market to push the dollar higher  (against the real) in the next few days as we start to have that  fight over the Ptax. I see chances of a weaker real in the next  few days," said Marcos Trabbold, a currency trader at B&T  brokerage in Sao Paulo.          Latin American currencies at 2005 GMT:         Currencies                         daily %    YTD %                                       change   change                              Latest              Brazil real                2.0893     -0.4   -10.73                                                  Mexico peso               12.9896     0.39     7.54                                                  Argentina peso*            6.4500     0.00   -26.67                                                  Chile peso               480.6000    -0.06     8.05                                                  Colombia peso          1,823.3500     0.04     6.31                                                  Peru sol                   2.5850     0.04     4.33                                                  * Argentine peso's rate between                       brokerages  
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