Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro edges lower as Greece, U.S. fiscal woes weigh

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro edges lower as Greece, U.S. fiscal woes weigh
Nov 28th 2012, 21:24

Wed Nov 28, 2012 4:24pm EST

  * Lack of clarity on Greek deal dents sentiment      * German lawmakers expected to pass deal on Friday      * Yen regains ground as investors unwind short positions      * U.S.' Boehner optimistic about U.S. fiscal deal        By Wanfeng Zhou      NEW YORK, Nov 28 (Reuters) - The euro fell for a third  straight session against the dollar and yen on Wednesday on  worries about how a deal on Greek debt would be implemented and  uncertainty over whether the United States would avoid the  "fiscal cliff."      The yen, which typically benefits during times of economic  uncertainty, rose broadly, helped partly by reduced expectations  of near-term monetary easing by the Bank of Japan.          International lenders agreed on a plan to cut Greek debt  this week, allowing Athens to avoid a chaotic default. But the  lack of details and skepticism on how Athens will implement the  reforms needed to reach the new targets kept investors wary.      German lawmakers and media accused the government of  deceiving taxpayers over the true costs of saving Greece and  said the euro zone would eventually have to write off much of  its Greek debt. The Bundestag, the lower house of Germany's  parliament, will vote on Friday on the deal, and approval is  expected.      "Greece is insolvent, and Europe is playing a Ponzi game,"  said Stephen Jen, managing partner at SLJ Macro Partners in  London.      The euro fell 0.1 percent to $1.2938. Traders cited  bids at $1.2870 and $1.2850, which could limit losses in the  near term, with some attributing the euro's weakness to talk of  dollar demand for month-end portfolio adjustments. Offers were  cited at $1.2940.      The euro zone's common currency pared some losses after U.S.  House Speaker John Boehner, a Republican from Ohio, voiced  optimism that Republicans could broker a deal with the White  House to avoid year-end austerity measures. But he repeated his  opposition to raising income-tax rates.       "The proof is still in the pudding, though, when it comes to  actual action on the part of politicians," said Neal Gilbert,  market strategist at GFT in Grand Rapids, Michigan.      "Remember that there were pleasantries bandied about almost  two weeks ago that quickly turned to further entrenching of  ideals a few days later. So I remain skeptical that the public  pronouncement of optimism is truly sincere."      The so-called U.S. fiscal cliff refers to a combination of  automatic tax increases and spending cuts due to start to kick  in at the beginning of the year that could tip the world's  biggest economy into recession and depress the global outlook.      Against the yen, the euro slid 0.3 percent to 106.04 yen  , moving away from a seven-month high of 107.13 yen set  on Monday. It also fell to a 2-1/2-month low against the Swiss  franc, another safe haven, at 1.2024. It was last down  0.1 percent at 1.2034 francs.      The dollar slid 0.2 percent to 81.96 yen, retreating  from last week's 7-1/2-month high of 82.84 yen. Market players  cited demand for the dollar at 81.70 yen, which could limit the  yen's gains.      The U.S. economy trucked along at a "measured" pace in  recent weeks and hiring remained modest, according to the  Federal Reserve's anecdotal Beige Book report that did little to  calm concerns about slow growth and high unemployment.         Earlier, data showed new U.S. single-family home sales fell  slightly in October and the previous month's pace of sales was  revised sharply lower, casting a shadow over one of the brighter  spots in the U.S. economy.           The yen rose as investors unwound long dollar and euro  positions built in recent weeks on expectations that a fresh  election on Dec. 16 will result in the election of a new prime  minister. The new Japanese leader is widely expected to put  pressure on the Bank of Japan to further ease monetary policy.      The Japanese currency had lost about 4 percent against the  dollar over the past two weeks as investors started to price in  aggressive monetary policy action after the Japanese election.      Shinzo Abe, who is likely to emerge as premier, has called  for more aggressive easing, but some investors have begun to  question how much impact he will have on monetary policy.  
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