Friday, November 30, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro buoyed by Greek deal approval, month-end buying

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro buoyed by Greek deal approval, month-end buying
Nov 30th 2012, 16:59

Fri Nov 30, 2012 11:59am EST

  * Yen falls vs dollar, euro, traders cite month-end selling      * Euro hits 7-month high versus yen, 5-week high vs dollar      * Expectations of BoJ easing add to demand to sell yen      * Euro extends gains despite weak euro zone data        By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss      NEW YORK, Nov 30 (Reuters) - The euro hit a seven-month high  against the yen and a five-week peak versus the dollar on  Friday, bolstered by the approval of the latest Greek bailout  deal by German lawmakers and month-end buying from Japanese  importers.      Gains in Europe's shared currency came despite weak euro  zone data that included a sharp drop in German retail sales, a  fall in French consumer spending and record-high unemployment  for the euro zone.           The euro has advanced for a third straight month in November  against both the yen and dollar, rising 3.8 percent and 0.4  percent, respectively.      "Today's move is about the German parliament approving the   Greek bailout, which gives traders and investors a bit more  confidence about the euro zone debt crisis," said Chris Gaffney,  co-chief investment officer at Everbank Wealth Management in St.  Louis, Missouri.       That doesn't mean that investors would be buying more euros  from now on, Gaffney said. "With unemployment still sitting at  11 percent in the euro zone and inflation at just two percent, I  can't see how the euro can move up from here, other than people  looking at an alternative to the dollar."      The yen, meanwhile, was pummeled across the board amid  speculation Japanese monetary policy could be aggressively eased  when a new government is formed.       Although main opposition leader Shinzo Abe, a front-runner  to become the new prime minister, seemed to have softened his  aggressive stance on Bank of Japan independence, he did  reiterate his desire for the bank to buy foreign bonds.   Analysts said that helped push the yen lower  both against the euro and dollar.      In midday New York trading, the euro rose 7  percent to 107.28 yen. Earlier it climbed to 107.66, its highest  since late April. Market players cited month-end demand for the  euro from Japanese importers.      The euro has posted its best monthly performance in November  since June.      Against the dollar, the euro was up 0.2 percent at  $1.3006, having earlier touched $1.3027, its strongest level  since Oct. 23. Traders reported offers at $1.3040-50 which may  limit its gains.      German lawmakers on Friday approved the latest Greek bailout  by a large majority, helping the euro's cause.       The euro zone currency, however, dipped to session lows  against the dollar after weak U.S. personal income and spending  data. The data dented the market's risk appetite as investors   sought the dollar for its safety appeal.       "The disappointing data has dampened the modest enthusiasm  that major economies are gaining strength," said Joe Manimbo,  senior market analyst at Western Union Business Solutions in  Washington. "The report also  reinforces the fact that U.S.  growth in Q4 would be weak."       The dollar climbed 0.4 percent to 82.48 yen, close to  a near eight-month high of 82.84 yen hit last week, and up 3.4  percent on the month. That would be the dollar's best monthly  performance since February.      Market players said uncertainty over whether U.S.  policymakers can reach a deal to avert a looming "fiscal cliff"  of tax hikes and spending cuts may also temper dollar gains  against the yen, although many still expected weakness in the  Japanese currency to persist.      The dollar overall has held up pretty well amid uncertainty  about the U.S. budget. The dollar index ended the month  of November up 0.2 percent after two straight months of losses.       Investors tend to sell the euro and buy the safe-haven  dollar on any headlines that suggest that U.S. budget talks are  not going well. Failure to reach a deal before tax hikes and  spending cuts kick in early next year could tip the world's  largest economy into recession.      "The dollar is holding its ground only because of liquidity  flows. It's a liquidity haven, nothing more," Everbank's Gaffney  said. "Once everything stabilizes, we will see a move out of  both dollars and euros into some of these emerging market  currencies."  
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