Wednesday, December 5, 2012

Reuters: US Dollar Report: FOREX-Euro down from 7-week high after Spain auction, weak data

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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FOREX-Euro down from 7-week high after Spain auction, weak data
Dec 5th 2012, 18:54

Wed Dec 5, 2012 1:54pm EST

  * Spanish yields sharply higher after disappointing bond  sale      * Weak euro zone retail sales data      * ECB rate decision and U.S. jobs data ahead        NEW YORK, Dec 5 (Reuters) - The euro fell from a seven-week  high against the dollar on Wednesday after a disappointing  Spanish bond auction and weak euro zone economic data caused  investors to bet the single currency has risen too far, too fast  in recent days      Optimism that Greece will receive more money from its  international lenders had buoyed the euro over the past week,  but the rally lost steam as worries about Spain resurfaced. The  technical outlook also looked bearish after a break above $1.31  even as the euro's recent gains have pushed it up 1.1 percent  year to date.      Investors are also reluctant to make big bets on the euro  ahead of a policy meeting of the European Central Bank on  Thursday. While the bank is expected to keep its benchmark rate  on hold at 0.75 percent, investors will be looking for clues on  whether ECB President Mario Draghi will show a greater  willingness to cut borrowing costs in the future as the euro  zone recession deepens.        "The euro is struggling to hold its ground ahead of the  European Central Bank interest rate decision amid the negative  developments coming out of the region," said David Song,  currency analyst at DailyFX in New York. "The single currency  may continue to give back the rebound from the previous month as  the fundamental outlook for the euro-area deteriorates."      Spain auctioned fewer bonds than it hoped to, sending yields  sharply higher and reviving talk of an official bailout request  from Europe's fourth-largest economy.       A sharp fall in euro zone retail sales for October dented  hopes of a consumer-led recovery from recession, which also  pressured the euro.        The euro fell 0.1 percent to $1.3083, retreating from  a session peak of $1.3126 on Reuters data, the highest since  Oct. 18. It was the first fall in the euro against the dollar in  six trading sessions.      Further chart resistance is located at the October high  around $1.3140 and the September high around $1.3170.      Against the yen, the euro rose 0.5 percent to 107.72  , having risen as high as 107.95 on Reuters data, a  7-1/2 month high. It also hit a 2-1/2 month high against the  Swiss franc, extending recent gains after Switzerland's largest  banks said they would charge for some franc deposits.      The dollar rose 0.6 percent to 82.32 yen.      Investors have been expecting a more dovish stance from the  Bank of Japan if the main opposition party wins a Dec. 16  election as seems likely.            ECB, U.S. JOBS DATA AHEAD      Camilla Sutton, chief currency strategist at Scotia Capital  in Toronto, said she expects a broader range of $1.26 to $1.32  in the euro in the near term.      "There is still too much uncertainty to drive euro back to  its year-to-date highs (near) $1.35; accordingly we would expect  the current rally to top out."      On Friday, the U.S. Labor Department releases non-farm  payrolls data for November.      U.S. private-sector employers added 118,000 jobs in  November, a report by a payrolls processor showed on Wednesday.  Economists surveyed by Reuters had forecast the ADP National  Employment Report would show a gain of 125,000 jobs.       A separate report showed the pace of growth in the U.S.  services sector increased more than expected in November.   The data had a limited impact on currencies.      Some strategists said the euro could also weaken if signs  intensify that U.S. policymakers are struggling to avert the  so-called fiscal cliff, fuelling worries the global economy  could suffer, and lifting demand for the safe-haven dollar.      The fiscal cliff is a combination of tax hikes and spending  cuts due to kick in early next year that could tip the world's  biggest economy into recession.      "Nothing is going on" in the talks," House Majority Leader  Eric Cantor told reporters following a meeting with fellow  Republicans. "We ask the president to sit down with us."  
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