Wednesday, January 30, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil real drops on finmin comments, cenbank intervenes

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil real drops on finmin comments, cenbank intervenes
Jan 30th 2013, 20:00

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Wed Jan 30, 2013 3:00pm EST

  * US GDP disappointment weighs on Latin American currencies      * Brazil real drops as Mantega says dollar "will not melt  down"      * Real trims losses as central bank sells dollars        By Walter Brandimarte      RIO DE JANEIRO, Jan 30 (Reuters) - The Brazilian real  weakened on Wednesday, following gains of over 2 percent since  the beginning of the week, after Finance Minister Guido Mantega  warned that the government was ready to correct any excessive  moves in the exchange rate.      The real trimmed its losses, however, after the central bank  announced it was selling dollars with an agreement to repurchase  them in two months, effectively rolling over a line worth some  $1.2 billion that expires later in the week.       The real  closed at 1.9875 per dollar, 0.2  percent weaker than Tuesday's close.       An unexpected contraction in the U.S. fourth-quarter GDP  also weighed on Latin American foreign exchange markets in  general, keeping the currencies of Mexico and Chile   little changed against the dollar.      Disappointment over the performance of the world's largest  economy tamed investors' appetite for taking risk in emerging  markets.             MONETARY POLICY INSTRUMENT?      The Brazilian central bank's decision to roll over its $1.2  billion line was seen by analysts as the latest sign that the  monetary authority is willing to keep the real weaker than 2 per  dollar to help anchor inflation expectations.      "The central bank is using the currency as an instrument of  monetary policy," said Paulo Petrassi, a partner at Leme  Investimentos in Florianopolis, Brazil.      "I believe the real will now trade between 1.96 and 2.0 per  dollar -- that is a level that helps curb inflation without  hurting the competitiveness of industry."      The central bank's action came right after Mantega's  comments weakened the real to nearly 2 per dollar.       The real had strengthened past that level on Tuesday as a  central bank decision to roll over some currency swaps was  interpreted as a green light for a stronger exchange rate in the  short term.      Piercing the 2-per-dollar mark was a symbolic development in  Brazil's foreign exchange market because that had been a limit  to an informal trading band of 2.0-2.1 per dollar in effect  since early July.      For most of last year, the central bank intervened in the  market to weaken the real in a strategy to benefit exporters and  boost local industry. Just as late as November, Mantega had  promised Brazilian businessmen that a real weaker than 2 per  dollar "was here to stay."      Despite the recent rally, Mantega still sounded comfortable  with the current exchange rate, telling reporters in Brasilia  that the real has been "spontaneously moving to a more balanced  level."       He warned, however, that the government would correct any  "excesses" in the exchange rate and assured that the dollar  would not "melt down" against the real.             Latin American FX prices at 1950 GMT:         Currencies                         daily %    YTD %                                       change   change                              Latest              Brazil real                1.9875    -0.18     2.64                                                  Mexico peso               12.7300    -0.08     1.05                                                  Chile peso               471.1000     0.08     1.61                                                  Colombia peso           1776.5100    -0.19    -0.59                                                  Peru sol                   2.5670    -0.23    -0.62                                                  Argentina peso             4.9775    -0.05    -1.31     Argentina peso             7.8900    -1.14   -14.07  
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