Thursday, January 31, 2013

Reuters: US Dollar Report: GLOBAL MARKETS-U.S. stocks flat; euro climbs; jobs data ahead

Reuters: US Dollar Report
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GLOBAL MARKETS-U.S. stocks flat; euro climbs; jobs data ahead
Jan 31st 2013, 19:41

Thu Jan 31, 2013 2:41pm EST

  * U.S. stocks flat, European stocks extend losses      * Weak earnings, Deutsche loss, German retail sales weigh      * Euro climbs for a third straight day        NEW YORK, Jan 31 (Reuters) - The euro rose for the third  straight day against the dollar on Thursday on the way to its  best monthly performance in more than a year, while U.S. stocks  fell as investors awaited a key U.S. jobs report slated for  release on Friday.        U.S. data continued to paint a mixed picture of the world's  largest economy. A measure of business activity in the U.S.  Midwest rose in January to its strongest since April, but an  earlier report indicated a rise in U.S. jobless claims in the  latest week.       A drop in German retail sales initially put the euro under  pressure, but the recent bullish trend resumed during U.S.  trading. The single currency was headed for its best month in 15  months against the dollar, as signs of recovery in the euro  zone's economy and its banks helped the euro.      The euro hit a peak of $1.3593 on Thursday before  paring gains. The Federal Reserve's promise of continued support  was widely expected to keep downward pressure on the dollar. The  euro zone common currency was last at $1.3570 and up 2.9 percent  this month against the dollar, its best month since October  2011.          The dollar, meanwhile, touched a fresh 2-1/2 year high  against the yen.       "The overall recent trends are intact," said Nick  Bennenbroek, head of currency strategy, at Wells Fargo Bank in  New York. "The euro probably wants to go higher and the yen  probably wants to go lower."           Recent gains in risky assets such as equities, commodities,  and high-yield debt have eased after sharp advances in the last  six months. Growth in emerging economies such as China has  picked up and fears of a collapse of the euro have been calmed  by the European Central Bank.      Data on Wednesday showed U.S. GDP slipped 0.1 percent where  a rise had been expected, although the Federal Reserve indicated  the pullback was likely to be brief and repeated its promise to  continue supporting the economy.       But the main focus is on U.S. payrolls data on Friday for a  take on the health of the world's biggest economy.       "Unfortunately it's still a mixed picture. It appears we are  just getting a lot of conflicting data right now," said Jack  Ablin, chief investment officer at BMO Private Bank in Chicago.      "With 1,500 (in the S&P stock index) right here, my guess is  there is just not enough conviction to push us substantially  higher yet."      The Dow Jones industrial average was down 18.07  points, or 0.13 percent, at 13,892.35. The Standard & Poor's 500  Index  was down 0.78 points, or 0.05 percent, at  1,501.18. The Nasdaq Composite Index  was up 5.01  points, or 0.16 percent, at 3,147.32.       The S&P 500 is up 5.3 percent this month, its best month  since October 2011 and its best January since 1997, using  Reuters data.             EUROPE SUFFERS       The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 was down 0.6  percent, as was the MSCI world index.  Disappointing results from heavyweights AstraZeneca and Royal  Dutch Shell also took their toll on market sentiment.      Falling German retail sales, stagnant French consumer  spending and a big quarterly loss at Deutsche Bank dashed hopes  of a rebound for European shares, which had their biggest daily  fall of the year on Wednesday. Those stocks are still up 3.7  percent this month.        Spot gold drifted down to $1,660.40 an ounce after  hitting a one-week high on Wednesday.      German Bund futures pared gains on Thursday, continuing a  recent shift away from safe-haven debt. Bund futures   were last 36 ticks higher on the day at 141.79, having risen as  high as 142.17.      Prices for U.S. Treasuries were volatile a day after the Fed  said it would continue buying bonds as the economy temporarily  stalled, but uncertainty about growth in the world's biggest  economy kept yields within recent ranges.      The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note was up  2/32, with the yield at 1.9849 percent.  
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